Hasanboy Beknazarov / 个人资料
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Developer
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MQL5.com
I’m an MT4/MT5 EA & Indicator Developer with over 10 years of experience (since 2014).
I specialize in building custom, reliable, and efficient trading solutions for MT4/MT5. Whether you need a complex automated strategy, a unique indicator, or optimization of an existing system, I can deliver results that work in real trading conditions.
Proven track record: 2800+ successful projects completed
Specialized expertise: 100% focused on MT4/MT5 (no distractions)
Reliable delivery: fast turnaround, clean code, full support
Custom-tailored solutions: built exactly to your requirements
I’m always ready to start right away and provide long-term support after delivery.
If you’re looking for a developer who knows MT4/MT5 inside out and can turn your trading idea into a proven, working solution — let’s connect!
I specialize in building custom, reliable, and efficient trading solutions for MT4/MT5. Whether you need a complex automated strategy, a unique indicator, or optimization of an existing system, I can deliver results that work in real trading conditions.
Proven track record: 2800+ successful projects completed
Specialized expertise: 100% focused on MT4/MT5 (no distractions)
Reliable delivery: fast turnaround, clean code, full support
Custom-tailored solutions: built exactly to your requirements
I’m always ready to start right away and provide long-term support after delivery.
If you’re looking for a developer who knows MT4/MT5 inside out and can turn your trading idea into a proven, working solution — let’s connect!
Hasanboy Beknazarov
Predicting Future Prices on the Forex Chart
This is the closest and most painful topic for traders 🙂
📊 Research (Trader Statistics)
70–90% of retail traders lose money
The main reason is not lack of accuracy, but poor risk management
📈 Realistic Forecast Accuracy
Basic technical analysis: 45–50%
Combined approach
(trend + session + volatility): 52–58%
Professional systems
(algorithms + risk control): 55–65%
High-frequency / institutional trading: 60–70%
(but this is inaccessible to retail traders)
🎯 Very Important Point
In Forex, 60% accuracy is considered extremely high.
🧠 Mathematical Reality
If:
Win rate = 55%
Risk/Reward = 1:2
👉 You will be consistently profitable in the long run.
🎲 What does 50% mean?
50% is a coin toss
Up ↕ down
No edge at all
🎯 What does 55% mean?
55% is an edge
It may look small, but mathematically it makes a huge difference
📊 Example
1,000 trades
55% wins → 550 wins / 450 losses
If:
Loss = 1R
Win = 2R
Result:
Profit = (550 × 2) − (450 × 1) = +650R
👉 Conclusion
This is the real secret of professional trading:
not chasing accuracy, but edge + risk management.
This is the closest and most painful topic for traders 🙂
📊 Research (Trader Statistics)
70–90% of retail traders lose money
The main reason is not lack of accuracy, but poor risk management
📈 Realistic Forecast Accuracy
Basic technical analysis: 45–50%
Combined approach
(trend + session + volatility): 52–58%
Professional systems
(algorithms + risk control): 55–65%
High-frequency / institutional trading: 60–70%
(but this is inaccessible to retail traders)
🎯 Very Important Point
In Forex, 60% accuracy is considered extremely high.
🧠 Mathematical Reality
If:
Win rate = 55%
Risk/Reward = 1:2
👉 You will be consistently profitable in the long run.
🎲 What does 50% mean?
50% is a coin toss
Up ↕ down
No edge at all
🎯 What does 55% mean?
55% is an edge
It may look small, but mathematically it makes a huge difference
📊 Example
1,000 trades
55% wins → 550 wins / 450 losses
If:
Loss = 1R
Win = 2R
Result:
Profit = (550 × 2) − (450 × 1) = +650R
👉 Conclusion
This is the real secret of professional trading:
not chasing accuracy, but edge + risk management.
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