Mochamad Briend Mega Bayu Angkasa / 个人资料

XAGUSD (Silver) continues to show a strong bullish structure over the past few sessions, with price maintaining its position above key dynamic levels and confirming trend continuation on higher timeframes.

Technically, the market is printing a sequence of higher highs and higher lows, indicating sustained buying pressure. Price remains supported above the 50 & 200 MA, while RSI holds in bullish territory without signaling exhaustion—suggesting momentum is still intact. The recent breakout followed by a clean retest of the previous resistance (now acting as support) reinforces a classic continuation setup.

From a price action perspective, the pullback respected the 0.382–0.5 Fibonacci zone, which often acts as a healthy retracement in trending conditions. Volume expansion during impulsive moves further validates buyer dominance in the current structure.

As long as XAGUSD holds above its key support zone, the bullish bias remains valid, with potential continuation toward the next psychological resistance area.

Trade with confirmation, manage your risk, and avoid emotional decisions.

#XAGUSD #Silver #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #SmartMoney #Trading #Commodities #MarketStructure #RiskManagement

#usoil
U.S. oil on the 4H timeframe is compressing within a well-defined symmetrical triangle, with price repeatedly respecting both the descending resistance and ascending support trendlines, signaling a maturing consolidation phase after a complex corrective structure. The rejection near the upper boundary around the C leg suggests distribution rather than continuation, and the recent breakdown attempt from the lower trendline indicates sellers are beginning to gain control. Momentum has shifted from impulsive upside moves to corrective pullbacks, and the failure to hold above the rising support opens the door for a deeper bearish expansion. If price confirms acceptance below the structure, it favors a continuation move to the downside, likely evolving into a broader impulsive leg as liquidity beneath the triangle gets targeted.

👉🏻 “Your job is not to win.”
Unless you deeply understand this one sentence, you will trade forever in anxiety and fear.

👉🏻 Winning or losing is a “result,” not a “job.”
Your only job is to “consistently execute the rules.”

👉🏻And only through the accumulation of those actions will the “results” finally follow.

👉🏻 If that sounds like the mindset you’re aiming for, we already have a place ready for you.

Small losses keep you in the game long enough to see big wins. This separates professional traders from those who blow accounts.

Look at the GBPUSD structure above. We’ve been tracking this correction. We need one final push higher into the 0.5 - 0.618 Fibonacci zone (1.351 - 1.359) to complete wave (5) of C..

Amateur traders see this volatility and panic. They cut winners early and hold losers too long. They think every red candle means disaster.

We think differently:

✅ Stick to the plan
✅ Risk max 1% per trade
✅ Let the structure confirm before entering
✅ Accept small losses as business costs

One high-RRR setup like this can recover 10 small stop losses. That’s how professional trading works.

Silver on the four hour timeframe is showing a corrective structure after a clear impulsive decline, with price carving out an ascending channel that looks like a classic counter-trend move rather than a true reversal. The internal structure suggests a completed five wave drop followed by an ABCDE-type consolidation, now approaching the upper boundary where liquidity is likely resting. Momentum is fading as the structure matures, indicating distribution rather than accumulation, and this zone aligns well with a potential lower high formation. A rejection from this channel resistance would confirm continuation to the downside, targeting the previous lows and possibly extending further as sellers regain control. The overall bias remains bearish unless a strong breakout and acceptance above the channel occurs, in which case the structure would need to be reassessed.

#audcad

AUDCAD on the three hour timeframe is printing a mature ascending channel with a clean five wave structure pushing into the upper boundary, suggesting the move is running out of momentum. The repeated taps into resistance combined with increasingly shallow pullbacks reflect exhaustion rather than strength, while the internal swings show a loss of impulsive behavior and more corrective overlap. This type of structure often precedes a liquidity sweep above the highs followed by a sharp rejection, trapping late buyers at the top. A failure to sustain above the channel resistance would likely trigger a rotation back toward the lower boundary, with downside expansion as sell-side pressure returns. The bias shifts cautiously bearish at this stage, with confirmation dependent on rejection and breakdown structure rather than blind anticipation.

Btc correction in the channel

AUDJPY on the 12H timeframe shows a mature impulsive structure completing a potential Elliott Wave cycle, with price rejecting from the wave (5) highs and now rotating lower. The break below the internal trendline signals weakening bullish momentum while price is likely seeking liquidity toward the higher timeframe ascending trendline and horizontal support around 105.00. This confluence zone becomes key either we see a reactive bounce confirming continuation within the broader uptrend, or a clean breakdown that opens the door for a deeper corrective phase. Short term flow remains bearish into support but higher timeframe structure still favors buy-side reactions unless that major trendline decisively fails.

On the 4H chart of USD/JPY, price has completed a clean five-wave impulsive structure within a rising channel, with wave 5 showing clear signs of exhaustion near the upper boundary. The rejection from this premium zone, followed by a decisive break below channel support, suggests a shift in market structure and a potential transition into a corrective phase. This move is likely a liquidity-driven distribution, trapping late buyers before continuation lower. As long as price remains below the broken trendline, bearish momentum is favored, with downside targets aligning toward previous inefficiency zones and demand around 156–157. Any pullback into the broken structure should be treated as a sell opportunity rather than a reversal, confirming that smart money is positioning for a deeper retracement.

Yet every day, we get messages: “When will DXY crash?” “Should I short the Dollar now?” “This rally can’t last forever!”

Here is the hard truth: Your opinion about what “should” happen is irrelevant. The market doesn’t care about your political views. It doesn’t care about your economic predictions. It only cares about one thing: the structure.

The structure says UP. The invalidation is clear at 98.880. Until that level breaks, fighting this trend is fighting the market itself.

This is why most retail traders lose money. They trade their emotions instead of the waves. They short strength and buy weakness because it “feels right.”

Professional traders do the opposite. We follow the structure. We wait for corrections to join the trend. We let the market tell us what it wants to do.

EURUSD on the four hour timeframe is compressing within a clean descending triangle, with consistent lower highs respecting the trendline while price keeps testing a rising support that is gradually losing strength. The internal structure shows a completed corrective phase, and the latest rejection from the upper boundary confirms sellers remain in control beneath the key resistance zone. Each bounce is weaker than the previous one, signaling distribution rather than accumulation, and the current pressure on support suggests a likely breakdown scenario. If price confirms below this structure, the market is positioned for a continuation move toward the next liquidity areas to the downside, with momentum favoring bears as the trend develops further.

AUDUSD on the 4H timeframe is approaching a critical decision zone as price compresses inside a descending structure while reacting to a well defined support area around 0.6900 the market has printed a series of lower highs showing bearish pressure but the repeated defense of this support suggests strong demand remains intact a clean rejection with bullish confirmation could trigger a relief rally towards the descending trendline and potentially 0.7050 while a decisive breakdown and close below support would invalidate the base and open continuation towards 0.6850 and lower liquidity zones smart money focus remains on reaction at support with patience required before committing to directional bias.

EURGBP on the daily timeframe is clearly respecting a well-defined range structure, with price repeatedly reacting from a solid demand zone around 0.8600 while facing consistent rejection near the 0.8780–0.8800 resistance band. The recent price action shows a higher low formation off support, suggesting buyers are gradually stepping in with strength, and the current bullish momentum points toward a potential retest of the resistance zone. However, given the multiple rejections at the top, this area remains a key supply zone where smart money may look to distribute positions. A clean breakout and daily close above 0.8800 would shift the bias toward continuation targeting higher liquidity, while failure to break could result in another rotation back toward the support base. For now, the market favors range-bound trading with a slight bullish tilt unless resistance decisively gives way

#EURUSD 🇪🇺🇺🇸

The correction is still alive. Don’t rush the entry.

Wave 4 is painting a complex structure that’s testing every amateur trader’s patience. The recent bounce from 1.14162 (1.618 extension) looks corrective, not impulsive.

Current price action shows we’re likely in a Wave Y of the 4th wave.

Here’s what separates professionals from amateurs: We don’t chase every 50-pip wiggle. We wait for the correction to complete its full cycle before positioning for Wave 5.

The bigger picture remains bearish. But this is not your entry zone yet but soon!

USDCAD on the 4H timeframe is trading into a well-defined horizontal resistance aligned with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, completing a corrective ABC structure after a clear 5-wave impulsive move to the downside. Price is showing rejection behavior at this confluence zone, suggesting liquidity grab above equal highs before potential continuation lower. As long as price holds below this resistance cluster, the bias remains bearish with expectations of a move back toward the range lows near 0.0% Fibonacci. A clean rejection candle or lower timeframe breakdown would offer confirmation for short positions, while a sustained break and close above 61.8% would invalidate the setup and shift momentum toward further upside expansion.

My opinion on gold

#XAGUSD 🥈
The initial rally is over. The pullback is in progress.

Silver is currently tracing out its Wave 2 correction. We are not buying blindly. We are letting the market drop into our prime accumulation zone: the 0.5 - 0.618 Fib levels ($78.62 - $74.91).

USDJPY on the 4H chart is moving in a clear bullish trend after forming a strong double bottom which started the upward momentum. Price continued to create higher highs and higher lows and completed a clean wave structure from 1 to 4. Now the market is approaching a strong horizontal resistance near 159 where wave 5 is expected to complete. This level is important because it may act as a barrier for further upside. If the price fails to break this resistance the market could face a bearish rejection and move down toward the 157 to 156 area as a correction. Traders should watch the reaction at this resistance zone carefully.

#xauusd on track

USDCAD on the daily timeframe is developing a clear bearish structure after completing a corrective ABC pattern near the upper boundary of the ascending channel where strong rejection appeared and shifted momentum to the downside. Price has already produced an impulsive decline forming waves one two and three which confirms that sellers have taken control of the market. The recent consolidation inside the small rising structure looks like a corrective wave four which is typically followed by the final impulsive leg. As long as price remains below the descending resistance line the bias remains bearish and the market is likely preparing for wave five which could drive price toward the lower boundary of the channel near the 1.3400 zone. This structure reflects classic trend continuation behavior where smart money distributes during corrections before pushing the market into the next bearish expansion.