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Cointegrated Pairs Trading Robot

1

IMPORTANT NOTE: This robot trades two or more symbols at the go and as such it can not be tested with strategy tester in Metatrader 4. The reason being that Metatrader 4 strategy tester cannot synchronize price timing for more than one symbol at the time. To test this robot successfully, one has to run it in real-time on a demo account and monitor it for days.

Cointegrated Pairs Trading Robot is an expert advisor executable on any PC running Metatrader 4. A linear regression is applied on two instruments’ (i.e. Stocks or Forex symbols) historical prices and the cointegration test is performed on the residual from the regression. If the two instruments are cointegrated then the residual will be a stationary process (i.e. white noise) which is a lot more predictable than the individual instrument price which is often nonstationary (i.e. random walk) thus hard to predict. This robot is based on trading such a stationary residual process whereby it exploits the mean-reversion property of stationary processes. That is, when conditions allow, the robot will always bet on the residual crossing the mean from time to time.

In its usage, the user will need to register with one broker of choice. It is recommended that there be $50 for every 0.01 lots (standard). Now given that this robot opens a pair of orders in each of its entry phase, the minimum deposit will be between $150 and $200. Withdrawals should be made with care not to violate the funds-to-lot relationship as stated above. This model has a sufficiently low risk and good returns in a long run. However, the entry opportunities are rare (i.e. can go several days without any good entry for one chosen pair of instruments) so the user might compensate for this by trading several pairs to make up for the rareness of the entry & exit opportunities.


Input Parameters:

1.  N is the data size for building cointegration model.

 

2.  OpMode selects operation mode from four (values 01, 02, 03 & 04).


3.  Magic & magik are magic numbers (should never be the same) used to uniquely identify trades opened by this robot. As such, every magic number should be a uniquely chosen positive integer. 

 

4.  MaxRatio limits the slope relating the two traded instruments.

 

5.  CurLevel is the current level of residual process relative to Standard deviation.

 

6.  LimLevel is the maximum level you allow the residual process to reach. This level acts as a stop loss level since everything is closed at this level.

 

7.  AlertsOn allows you to either see or hide Alerts during the robot operation.

 

8.  ModeDemo is the switching Boolean parameter. When true the model will work on Demo accounts but if false, it will work on live accounts.

 

9.  Lots is the nominal lot size. Minimum usually 0.01.

 

10.       Scale is a scaling factor used to modify the Standard deviation when necessary (i.e. When standard deviation is less that spread of the two instruments the it has to be scaled up to avoid all profits being taken up by spread).

 

11.       Multiplier works in a similar spirit to Scale but rather than being multiplicative on Standard deviation, it is additive to it. That is, it multiplies the total spread and add it to Standard deviation to bias/threshold it.

 

12.       pVThreshold is the threshold for p-Value (in percentage) above which the cointegration is considered weak and trading stops.

 

13.       RSThreshold is the threshold for R^2 goodness of fit measure below which trading will not happen.

 

14.       CCThreshold is the threshold for correlation coefficient measure below which no trading will happen.

 

15.       MarginLevel sets the minimum Margin level below which trading stops. 

 

16.       Symbols are two instruments to be tested for cointegration and traded if the test succeeds.


17.       Username and Password already provided by default.

 

18.       TFrame is the time frame for the price data used.

 

19.       Update is the time frame for updating the cointegration model.


20.      Parallelism allows EAs to run in parallel. 

With smaller model sizes the standard deviation tends to become small and if it is so small that it is on the order of the instrument spread then the system will result in losses due to symbol spread. As shown in the last figures above, model size reduction is only sensible when the symbol spread is very close to zero or exactly zero. For safety stick with higher model sizes (>500) and higher timeframes (>= 1Hour).

 


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Introducing our MT5 EA: Designed with advanced algorithms and utilizing deep learning technology, our Expert Advisor (EA) is crafted to assist you in the intricate world of forex trading. The system analyzes market behaviors and conducts transactions based on specific criteria, empowering you to engage with market trends more effectively. With the backing of nearly a decade of data, the EA employs deep learning to examine past market conditions, aiming to provide enhanced decision-making. Recom
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Fanur Galamov
5 (9)
Diamond PRO is enhanced powerful version of Diamond for advanced traders. Pro version includes optimized cores, new impoved entry points filters, new multistage profit closure algorithm and сontains number of external control parameter that allows build and fine tune own tradind decisions and algorithms. The system provides more accurate market entries, analyzes and filters upcoming economic news, contains spread protection and an advanced position management algorithm. Main goal of Diamond PRO
XG Gold Robot MT4
Marzena Maria Szmit
4.57 (21)
The XG Gold Robot MT4 is specially designed for Gold. We decided to include this EA in our offering after   extensive testing . XG Gold Robot and works perfectly with the   XAUUSD, GOLD, XAUEUR   pairs. XG Gold Robot has been created for all traders who like to   Trade in Gold   and includes additional a function that displays   weekly Gold levels   with the minimum and maximum displayed in the panel as well as on the chart, which will help you in manual trading. It’s a strategy based on  Price
Position Trader EA
LEE SAMSON
4.67 (6)
Trasforma qualsiasi strategia di trading in una strategia di trading di posizione o scambia le comprovate strategie di trading di posizione basate su RSI e ADR, incluso il sistema di controllo automatizzato del prelievo per le posizioni che si muovono contro di te. Questo EA è un'evoluzione e una semplificazione dell'MRA EA che è stato utilizzato per molti anni per le strategie di trading di posizione insegnate sul sito web Market Structure Trader. Vedi il mio profilo per un collegamento al sit
Boring Pips MT4
Thi Thu Ha Hoang
5 (12)
Ti sei mai chiesto perché la maggior parte degli esperti consulenti non è efficace nel trading reale, nonostante la loro perfetta performance nei backtest? La risposta più probabile è Over-fitting. Molti EA vengono creati per 'imparare' e adattarsi perfettamente ai dati storici disponibili, ma falliscono nel prevedere il futuro a causa di una mancanza di generalizzabilità nel modello costruito. Alcuni sviluppatori semplicemente non conoscono l'esistenza del Over-fitting, o ne sono a conoscenza
Gold Trading Algo
Ho Tuan Thang
4.63 (8)
ONLY 3 COPIES OUT OF 10 LEFT AT $199! After that, the price will be raised to $299. Limited price $199 is only for 10 first sales. After 10 sales, the price will be raised +$100. Final price for Gold Trading Algo is $1999. IMPORTANT! Contact me immediately after the purchase to get instructions and Manual Guide to set up EA. Forex EA Trading Channel:  Update the latest news from me Some Features: - No Martingale, No Grid - The order is always protected by Stoploss - EA is using in-b
SSX Titan TT MT4
Artem Minchuk
2.55 (11)
Delving deep into the sphere of finance and trading strategies, I decided to conduct a series of experiments, exploring approaches based on reinforcement learning as well as those operating without it. Applying these methods, I managed to formulate a nuanced conclusion, pivotal for understanding the significance of unique strategies in contemporary trading. Neural network advisors, despite showcasing impressive efficiency in the initial stages, proved to be highly unstable in the long run. Vario
Candle EA MT4
Mansour Babasafary
4.58 (38)
This expert is based on patterns The main patterns of this specialist are candlestick patterns Detects trends with candlestick patterns It has a profit limit and a loss limit, so it has a low risk The best time frame to use this expert is M30 time frame The best currency pairs to use with this expert is the EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, USDCAD currency pairs The price will increase by 100$ after every 10 purchases! Final price 2450$ Get a 50% bonus by buying (or even renting) any of our product
Altri dall’autore
NOTE: This robot trades three symbols at the go and as such it can not be tested with strategy tester in Metatrader 4. The reason being that Metatrader 4 strategy tester cannot synchronize price timing for more than one symbol at the time. To test this robot successfully, one has to run it in real-time on a demo account and monitor it for days. Triangular Statistical Arbitrage Robot is an expert advisor executable on any PC running Metatrader 4. A linear regression is applied on three instrumen
NOTE: THIS IS A MULTICURRENCY INDICATOR AND AS SUCH MAY NOT BE COMPARTIBLE WITH MT4 BACKTESTING. EASIEST WAY TO TEST IT IS BY SIMPLY RUNNING IT IN REAL-TIME ON MT4. Model Lelothoane is a forex trading system model packaged into an indicator executable on a PC running Metatrader 4. The model exploits the mean-reversion property of stationary processes. Stationarity is determined or confirmed by performing cointegration tests between two forex instruments. In the case that there is strong eviden
NOTE: THIS IS A MULTICURRENCY EXPERT ADVISOR AND AS SUCH MAY NOT BE COMPARTIBLE WITH MT4 BACKTESTING. EASIEST WAY TO TEST IT IS BY SIMPLY RUNNING IT IN REAL-TIME ON MT4. Model Lelora is a forex trading system model packaged into an indicator executable on a PC running Metatrader 4. The model exploits the mean-reversion property of stationary processes. Stationarity is determined or confirmed by performing cointegration tests between three forex instruments that form a triangle (i.e have a prod
Filtro:
Umberleigh
248
Umberleigh 2022.11.11 15:38 
 

Sadly, this EA is not profitable.

Victor Angel Revilla Marquez
2158
Victor Angel Revilla Marquez 2021.05.25 11:23 
 

Hi, please send me working set files since I don’t get most of the inputs , as well as some recommendations in which to use the bots (combinations ) I’ll give a great review Thanks

Naleli Jubert Matjelo
683
Risposta dello sviluppatore Naleli Jubert Matjelo 2021.05.25 13:31
Hi Victor, most parameters/inputs are already set to good default values for users. In the case that you wish to change some and you're uncertain about how to do that, you can messege me here or on luhshah@gmail.com.
Rispondi alla recensione
Versione 1.30 2022.05.28
Fixed some bugs including some issues raised by users. Also reduced the number of input parameters for ease of use.
Versione 1.2 2021.09.22
Removed some bugs associated with deviations of more than 2 std deviations.
Versione 1.1 2021.04.16
Now allows running multiple instances of the robot by choosing the appropriate value for a new input variable named "Parallelism".