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Added topic Bank of England MPC decision on interest rates/QE now released 14 July 2016
bank rate +0.5% vs +0.25% exp vs +0.5% prev QE £375bln vs £375bln prev vote 8-1 9-0 to keep QE on hold As I thought. GBPUSD spiked but being sold into. 1.3500 the big level I highlighted held The Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee
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Added topic Why the sky is the limit for gold
The best reason not to buy gold is gone Warren Buffett is a long-time skeptic of gold and for most of his life, his reasons were sound. "The problem with commodities is that you are betting on what someone else would pay for them in six months. The
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Added topic EUR/USD: Downside Limited To 1.08 On Brexit's Political Contagion Risk
The political contagion from Brexit should become one of the major EUR drivers in coming months.  While we do not expect any other in-orout EU referendums in the Eurozone, the upcoming political events – the Austrian presidential and German
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Added topic USD/JPY: To Top Out Around 106 Before Dropping Towards 100 in 3 Months
In Japan, we note that the outcome of the Upper House election was a supermajority for PM Abe's LDP, in concert with allies. While much focus will be on what Abe does now with respect to pushing through revisions to Japan's pacifist constitution, Abe
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Added topic Truck attack in Nice reflects 'new normal' for Europe
European leaders and security chiefs have a sobering message after the Bastille Day killings in Nice: such lone attacks using ordinary vehicles are nearly impossible to prevent and can be carried out by almost anyone. "We have moved into a new era,"
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Added topic The Top Events/Releases for next week
What to look out for in your trading next week. ECB rate decision.  Thursday at 7:45 AM ET/1145 GMT.  No change is expected but post Brexit comments and thoughts from Mario Draghi will be monitored. His press conference begins at 8:30 AM
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Added topic Man versus machine: computer-driven hedge funds win on Brexit night
As hedge fund manager Buford Scott sat at home, watching the TV in shock as it emerged Britain had voted to leave the European Union, his computer-based trading models were quietly boosting his business by 1.5 percent. Scott's algorithm-driven fund
thenews
Added topic What Is Helicopter Money? Goldman Explains
Whether Japan admits it or not, helicopter money - thanks to Ben Bernanke - is here, and the market's reaction this week was simply the first stage of pricing it in, as confirmed by the biggest drop in the Japanese currency this century
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Added topic EUR/USD Unlikely To Hit A New Cycle Low: Where To Target?
The post-referendum fall in sterling has been precipitous, but orderly.  The UK 10Y real yield currently matches the record lows reached in the spring of 2013. Interestingly, the nominal trade-weighted sterling is currently at levels prevailing
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Added topic GBP: Use Any Bounce As An Opportunity To Sell Into Next Week's BoE
BoE rate cuts.  Given the uncertainty and likely economic downturn, we expect the BoE to use its financial crises play book. That means ignoring sterling driven inflation, quickly taking interest rates to, or close to, zero and subsequently
thenews
Added topic Week Ahead: Relative Value Trades With Degrees of Separation From The Brexit Trade
Markets are held hostage by the lingering political and economic uncertainty in the UK.  The Brexit trades still attract considerable interest  with the GBP TWI having hit fresh multi-year lows recently. In addition, all European G10
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Added topic EUR/USD will head lower, slowly -- SocGen
EUR/USD will drift lower but unlikely to hit a new cycle low EUR/USD is down 25 pips today after bouncing in a 110 pip range in the aftermath of non-farm payrolls . Here's what SocGen thinks is coming next: The post-referendum fall in sterling has
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Added topic Bankers Predict Brexit Pain More Intense for UK than Europe
Many bankers worldwide have said that the UK will suffer more after the surprising Brexit outcome, emphasizing Europe's professional expertise and institutions as the main advantage in a period of uncertainty. "For the first time, we cannot count on
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Added topic Pound to Dollar Forecasts Range from Parity, 1.15 Through to 1.20
Two prominent financial market sages have forecast the GBP / USD exchange rate is at risk of a fall to parity, however most analysts appear content to call the bottom at 1.20. With the implications of the UK’s Brexit vote begin to sink in, research
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Added topic Germany Can’t Save 'Most Dangerous Bank'
Deutsche Bank (DE: DBKGn ) hit fresh new lows this week on the fear that Germany will not be able to bail out the bank. DBK appears to be headed for bankruptcy, which would wreak havoc thanks to the fallout from the bank's complicated derivatives
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Added topic The collapse of the monetary system as we know it will push gold to $4,200
Here's a bold call. After the post-Brexit, face-ripping comeback in gold prices, Christopher Wood at CLSA believes that the precious metal is set up to more than triple in price. Since the start of 2016, gold bullion has gained 24.6%, said Wood, who
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Added topic The highs and lows of the pound
As the nation anxiously waited for the EU referendum results last month, currency traders were busy making bets on which way the vote would go. The pound started to rise just before the first results came in as traders predicted a win for the Remain
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Added topic Dollar dips as Fed unlikely to hike this year even with U.S. jobs
The dollar slid against the yen and some currencies on Friday in choppy trading on the view that the much stronger-than-expected U.S. employment payrolls report will not persuade the Federal Reserve just yet to raise interest rates again this year
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Added topic BoE Preview: Bank Seen Cutting Rates in July to Counter Uncertainty
In the face of the profound and direct negative effects of Brexit on UK economic activity, the Bank of England (BoE) is expected to enact more stimulus next Thursday, with both an interest rate cut and additional measures delivered during both the
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Added topic Jamie Dimon: Brexit could be reversed
Jamie Dimon has a message for Brexit Britain: There's nothing wrong with changing your mind. The chief executive of JPMorgan ( JPM ) said before the June 23 referendum he thought Brexit would be a "terrible deal for the British economy." Asked by an