Jiming Huang / Blog
EUR/USD has been trading within a wide range since mid-January, as investors remain sceptical about further gains. After hitting 1.2537 on January 25th, the single currency has been grinding lower and moved as low as 1.2206 before stabilising at around 1.2320...
After last week’s carnage, we foresee an Asian recovery this week. Hang Seng is now trading at 29’706 points (+0.70%), Shanghai Composite at 3’145 (+0.78%), Kospi at 2’385 (+0.91%) and S&P/ASX 200 at 5’820 (-0.30%), Japan’s market is closed for a holiday...
Last week’s volatility in equities spurred investors into safe-haven US treasuries, pushing the 10-yr yield from 2.8% down to 2.6%. This Wednesday’s US consumer price data, we believe, will come in lower than expected, thanks to easing energy prices...
While resurgent volatility suggest that risk asset are still in jeopardy, in general high beta FX have not been materially affected. S&P 500 saw all sectors close down over 300bps as US yields rallied yet FX remained stable...
The FX market has been only slightly affected by the sell-off in equities. Moreover, even risk-haven currencies, such as the Japanese yen and the Swiss franc, were of limited interest to investors. Overall, the US dollar enjoyed renewed interest from traders. The dollar index hit 90...
Providing strong growth numbers following 2017 Annual GDP growth of 7.10%, 2017 December CPI and WPI Y/Y of 5.21% and 3.58% respectively, we see further potential for recovery in India...
The UK economy is doing fine. According to the first estimates, the economy grew by 1.5%y/y in the last quarter (beating estimates of 1.4%), which indicates that the UK also benefited from the acceleration of the global economy, together with a little help from a weaker pound sterling...
With markets focused on global yield, curves and risk environment RBNZ policy meeting will increase in relevance. There is growing faith in the reflation and central bank “normalization” story, which, counter to economic data has drifted to New Zealand...
The FX market has been only slightly affected by the equity market rout of the last few days; the same cannot be said of the bond market. Indeed, it seems that investors’ panic reaction has been contained to the equity and bond market as investors dumped stocks to rush into bonds...