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Predictor of the MA

Description

I think, almost all traders dream about non-lagging MA. I have realized that dream in my indicator. It allows forecasting future MA values! The indicator can be used in four different ways:

  • The first one - forecast for the desired amount of bars. Thus, you are able to evaluate future price behavior.
  • The second one - generating non-lagging "averages". That can be implemented by moving MA back by the half of the averaging period and setting the forecast the necessary amount of bars ahead.
  • The third one is well-liked crossing of two or more MAs, though not a present but a future one. Using a future МА crossing, you will be able to eliminate the main drawback of this method - lagging entry and exit signal.
  • Finally, this indicator will be of use for Bill Williams' followers. You can create "Alligator" consisting of predicted averages to sort out multiple false entries and increase your system's profitability.

The indicator contains all settings of standard terminal МАs. You can set a backward/forward shift, select averaging method and the price the averaging is applied to.

The forecast can be made using five different methods that can be specified in the settings. The first method - spectral analysis using Fourier transform. The remaining four ones are the methods of linear prediction in different variations.

The indicator shows good results if past bars = 1 000, harm No = 400 and the first method is used. If you are going to use linear prediction methods, I recommend past bars = from 2 000 to 5 000.

Settings

  • Method - prediction method (1 - using Fourier transform, 2, 3, 4, 5 - linear prediction methods).
  • LastBar - bar number, at which you start the forecast (0 - current bar, any other bar means the number of bars in the past).
  • PastBars - the number of bars used for analysis (the recommended value for Fourier transform is from 100 to 1 000, a greater number will slow down; you may use more than 10 000 for other methods, but you will have to wait).
  • LPOrder - prediction accuracy from 0 to 1 (used only for linear prediction methods).
  • FutBars - the number of bars to predict (should not exceed PastBars, better 2-3 times less than it).
  • HarmNo - the maximum number of frequencies for Fourier transform (recommended 1/2 or 1/3 of PastBars, strongly affects calculation speed; the higher the number is, the slower it calculates. Should not exceed PastBars; if the value is large, a notification will appear on your screen).
  • FreqTOL - prediction accuracy for Fourier transform (the higher the accuracy is, the slower it calculates. Recommended no more than 0.00000001).
  • FreqMax - maximum number of iterations for frequencies convergence (can be left unchanged).
  • BurgWin - a function for weighted averaging (for linear prediction methods; 0 = no weighted averaging, 1 = Hamming method, 2 = Parabolic method).
  • ma_period - MA period placed similar to the standard indicator.
  • ma_shift - shifting the average forward/backwards, like in the standard indicator. Set a negative number of bars to shift backwards.
  • ma_method - averaging method. 1 - simple, 2 - exponential, 3 - weighted, 4 - linear regression.
  • applied_price - price type - what price is to be used for averaging. 1-  CLOSE, 2 - OPEN, 3 - HIGH, 4 - LOW, 5 - HL/2, 6 - HLC/3, 7 - HLCC/4.

Operation Principles

To make non-lagging МА, set Last bars = ma_shift =1/2 ma_period. ma_shift value should be negative.

Calculations may take from a fraction of a second to several minutes or tens of minutes and even days, depending on the depth of history involved in the analysis. If the terminal does not respond, then the indicator is being calculated. Just wait a little. The indicator never causes terminal hang, it eventually will finish calculation. Do not use more than 3 000 bars for Fourier transform (for other methods do not use more than 20 000), since this greatly slows down the process.

The indicator is recalculated on each new bar. Thus, make sure that the calculation duration does not exceed the specified timeframe. If you set a large number of past bars, it is recommended to check the time of calculation on H4 first. Otherwise, the calculation may never be finished (you can safely set M5 timeframe in case recommended parameters and ordinary computer are used).

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Currently 20% OFF ! Best Solution for any Newbie or Expert Trader! This dashboard software is working on 28 currency pairs plus one. It is based on 2 of our main indicators (Advanced Currency Strength 28 and Advanced Currency Impulse). It gives a great overview of the entire Forex market plus Gold or 1 indices. It shows Advanced Currency Strength values, currency speed of movement and signals for 28 Forex pairs in all (9) timeframes. Imagine how your trading will improve when you can watch the e
CURRENTLY 26% OFF Best Solution for any Newbie or Expert Trader! This Indicator is a unique, high quality and affordable trading tool because we have incorporated a number of proprietary features and a new formula. With only ONE chart you can read Currency Strength for 28 Forex pairs! Imagine how your trading will improve because you are able to pinpoint the exact trigger point of a new trend or scalping opportunity? User manual: click here That's the first one, the original! Don't buy a worthle
Currency Strength Wizard is a very powerful indicator that provides you with all-in-one solution for successful trading. The indicator calculates the power of this or that forex pair using the data of all currencies on multiple time frames. This data is represented in a form of easy to use currency index and currency power lines which you can use to see the power of this or that currency. All you need is attach the indicator to the chart you want to trade and the indicator will show you real str
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If an Expert Advisor cannot make profit on any instrument or any timeframe, it is a bad Expert Advisor. This algorithm used the regularities inherent to any market. You can adjust this EA for working on virtually any instrument, or even on all of them at once, it all depends on your trading style. The algorithm determines the reversal points with a certain probability based on the statistical data. The market is considered to be a random process. A random process has a normal distribution of pro
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The indicator looks for market Highs and Lows. They are defined by fractals, i.e. the market creates the indicator algorithm and structure, unlike ZigZag having a rigid algorithm that affects the final result. This indicator provides a different view of the price series and detects patterns that are difficult to find on standard charts and timeframes. The indicator does not repaint but works with a small delay. The first fractal level is based on the price, the second fractal level is based on t
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Version 1.1 2020.03.24
Скомпилировано в версии терминала 1260