Dollar us

Specification

Dollar sedang menuju pelemahan mingguan karena kekhawatiran perang dagang serta data ekonomi AS yang bervariasi. Terhadap mata uang safe haven, seperti yen dan Swiss franc, dollar melemah karena investor mencari asset lindung nilai. Dollar juga tertekan karena investor khawatir bahwa data ketenagakerjaan AS yang dirilis hari ini gagal memenuhi ekspektasi. Sepanjang minggu ini, indeks dollar terus mengalami penurunan sekitar 1%. Sementara itu, performa yang baik ditampilkan oleh mata uang New Zealand (kiwi). Selama sepekan kiwi berhasil membukukan penguatan sekitar 1,8% dan menyentuh level tertinggi dalam empat bulan karena ekspektasi bahwa pelonggaran moneter RBNZ akan berakhir.

Poundsterling unggul atas beberapa mata uang utama dunia lainnya. Terhadap Euro, pounsterling naik ke level tertinggi 2,5 tahun pada level 84,28 dan menguat 1,7% atas dollar minggu ini. Hasil polling yang menunjukkan Partai Konservatif akan memenangkan pemilu telah menghapus kekhawatiran mengenai ketidakpastian Brexit, yang telah memperberat sentimen sterling dalam beberapa tahun terakhir.

Harga emas cenderung mendatar karena absennya berita perang dagang. Beberapa data ekonomi yang terakhir dirilis tidak cukup menjamin adanya revisi prospek kebijakan moneter the Fed, yang kemungkinan akan mempertahankan kebijakannya, setidaknya dalam dua bulan ke depan, meski ada tekanan dari Gedung Putih. Sinyal bahwa the Fed akan menghentikan siklus pemangkasan suku bunga, serta kemungkinan terhindarnya hard Brexit, mendorong pelarian dana asset yang berbasis emas bulan lalu. Di bulan November, telah terjadi pelarian dana dari asset ETF berbasis  emas sekitar $1,3 miliar di Amerika Utara, Eropa dan Asia. 

Harga minyak koreksi dari level tertinggi 2,5 bulan di tengah berita yang bervariasi mengenai kesepakatan pemangkasan output. Indikasi terbaru bahwa OPEC dan aliansinya sepakat untuk menyesuaikan target produksi, namun masih perlu dilihat apakah pengurangan tersebut mengasilkan hasil yang nyata, meski masih ada prospek kelebihan pasokan. Harga minyak cenderung flat karena pasar khawatir mengenai kemampuan OPEC dan produsen minyak lainnya mengatasi kelebihan di tahun mendatang. Pada pertemuan di Wina, OPEC setuju untuk memangkas produksi lebih dalam, meski ada perdebatan seberapa lama pemangkasan tersebut akan berlangsung, menurut Menteri Perminyakan Rusia Alexander Novak. Novak juga mengatakan bahwa pertemuan tersebut membahas mengenai pemangkasan produksi lebih dalam sebesar 500 ribu bph, menjadi 1,7 juta bph dari sebelumnya 1,2 juta bph. Harga minyak jenis WTI flat di $58,34, sementara Brent menguat 3,6% menjadi $60,39.

Saham-saham Asia menguat hari ini di tengah retorika Presiden Trump, yang menjaga investor berharap adanya kesepakatan dagang antara AS dan China. Trump kemarin mengatakan bahwa pembicaraan perdagangan AS-China terus dilakukan, mendorong optimisme, meski masih dibayangi kekhawatiran kenaikan tarif. Indeks MSCI Asia-Pacific di luar Jepang naik 0,19%, sementara indeks Nikkei menguat 0,28%.

Fokus Hari Ini :
Fokus utama pasar hari ini tertuju pada data ketenagakerjaan AS, yang didalamnya meliputi Non-farm payroll, yang diperkirakan tumbuh 180 ribu di November. Data tersebut akan menunjukkan seberapa sehat sektor tenaga kerja AS, yang juga akan menjadi pertimbangan the Fed untuk menentukan arah kebijakan. Selain data ketengakerjan, juga akan dirilis sentimen konsumen, yang diperkirakan berada di angka 96,5.
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Project information

Budget
30+ USD
For the developer
27 USD