Indicators: Trade Excursion: how much of each winner you actually kept (MFE/MAE from your own history)
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Trade Excursion: how much of each winner you actually kept (MFE/MAE from your own history):
Your statement tells you what you KEPT. It does not tell you what you HAD. This indicator reads your own closed trades from the account history and draws, for each one, the full range it travelled: the best unrealised profit it ever showed (MFE) and the worst unrealised loss it survived (MAE). The gap between what a trade showed and what it paid is where two common problems hide, and neither is visible in a balance curve: winners closing far below their best point (the exit leaves money behind), and losers whose worst excursion barely passed the stop (the stop sits inside the noise). The number to look at is the CAPTURE RATIO: of the profit a winner showed at its best, how much did you take home? 90% says the exits are well placed; 30% says the market kept offering and the exit kept refusing. Limit, stated up front: excursions come from the bars each trade spanned, on the chart timeframe; the path inside a bar is unknown. Predicts nothing; measures trades that already happened.
Author: Joao Prata Silva Yglesias