InstaForex Wave Analysis - page 202
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Technical analysis of EUR/USD for July 21, 2015
Given lack of macroeconomic data, today is understandably a quiet day on the euro and USD markets. Things should pick up rapidly on Friday, however as we don't have a number of high-impact data releases to look forward. The pair closed below 20Wsma.
The pair reached a large distribution territory between 1.1467 and 1.1437. In the daily chart, the pair lost all moving averages. The nearest support is found at 1.0785. We advised selling on rises with a target at 1.0720. The 20Wsma is seen at 1.1080. In different time intervals (hourly and daily charts), the oscillators indicate oversold levels.
The pair has been reaching lower lows and lower highs, falling below the lower end of the ascending trendline. We recommend fresh selling only below 1.0780 with an initial target at 1.0720 and extending towards 1.0630 later.
Intraday resistance is seen at 1.0840, 1.0870, and 1.0910. Support is found at 1.0790, 1.0750, and 1.0720.
Weekly resistance is seen at 1.0920, 1.0960, and 1.0980. Support is found at 1.0790, 1.0720, and 1.0650.
Monthly support is found at 1.0730.
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Technical analysis of USD/JPY for July 22, 2015
USD/JPY is expected to consolidate with bullish bias. USD/JPY is underpinned by the positive dollar sentiment (ICE spot dollar index last 97.96 versus 97.66 early Friday) on a larger-than-expected 9.8% on-month increase in the US June housing starts (versus forecast +7.1%), while +0.3% US June CPI (matching forecast) bolstered expectations that the Federal Reserve will begin tightening its policy this year. USD/JPY is also supported by the Bank of Japan's ultra-loose monetary policy, reduced safe-haven appeal of the yen as investor risk aversion recedes (VIX fear gauge eased 1.32% to 11.95; S&P 500 closed up 0.11% at 2,126.64 Friday) amid easing concerns about Greece and signs of stabilization in China stock markets. But USD sentiment is dented by the weaker-than-expected US July preliminary University of Michigan consumer sentiment index of 93.3 (versus forecast 95.5). USD/JPY upside is also limited by the profit-taking on short JPY positions and buy-yen orders from Japan's exporters. Technical comment: The daily chart is still positive-biased as the MACD and stochastics are bullish, although the latter one is at overbought levels. Five-day moving average is above 15-day moving average and is advancing. Trading recommendations: The pair is trading above its pivot point. It is likely to trade in a wider range as long as it remains above its pivot point. As long as the price holds above its pivot point, long positions are recommended with the first target at 124.35 and the second target at 124.60. In the alternative scenario, short positions are recommended with the first target at 123.70 if the price moves below its pivot points. A break of this target is likely to push the pair further downwards, and one may expect the second target at 123.35. The pivot point is at 123.90.
Resistance levels: 124.35 124.60 124.90
Support levels: 123.70 123.35 123
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Technical analysis of EUR/USD for July 27, 2015
When the European market opens, economic news Private Loans y/y, M3 Money Supply y/y, German Ifo Business Climate, and German Import Prices m/m is due. The US will release data about Durable Goods Orders m/m and Core Durable Goods Orders m/m. So amid the reports, EUR/USD will move low to medium volatility during this day.
TODAY TECHNICAL LEVELS:
Breakout BUY Level: 1.1025.
Strong Resistance:1.1019.
Original Resistance: 1.1008.
Inner Sell Area: 1.1997.
Target Inner Area: 1.0972.
Inner Buy Area: 1.0947.
Original Support: 1.0936.
Strong Support: 1.0925.
Breakout SELL Level: 1.0919.
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Daily analysis of GBP/USD for July 28, 2015
On the daily chart, GBP/USD is trading slightly bullish, but it is still ins the zone around the 200 SMA. We should expect a rally towards the resistance zone of 1.5640 and also, a higher continuation towards new highs. However, if a pullback take place at currentl evels, it would be expected to test the support zone of 1.5450.
GBP/USD found a strong bottom around the level of 1.5502 and now it is trading above the 200 SMA on the H1 chart. There is a resistance level of 1.5568 still to be broken during this bullish road, but eventually, the pair could trade higher again in order to reach new highs. We should expect a bullish consolidation for the mid-term when GBP/USD moves above that moving average again.
Daily chart's resistance levels: 1.5543 / 1.5640
Daily chart's support levels: 1.5450 / 1.5332
H1 chart's resistance levels: 1.5568 / 1.5594
H1 chart's support levels: 1.5524 / 1.5502
Trading recommendations for today: Based on the H1 chart, place buy (long) orders only if the GBP/USD pair breaks a bullish candlestick; the resistance level is at 1.5568, take profit is at 1.5594, and stop loss is at 1.5542.
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Technical analysis of EUR/USD for July 30, 2015
When the European market opens, economic data on the Italian 10-y Bond Auction, ECB Economic Bulletin, German Unemployment Change, Spanish Flash GDP q/q, Spanish Flash CPI y/y, and German Prelim CPI m/m is due. The US will publish data on Natural Gas Storage, Advance GDP Price Index q/q, Unemployment Claims, and Advance GDP q/q. So amid the reports, EUR/USD will move low to medium volatility during this day.
TODAY TECHNICAL LEVELS:
Breakout BUY Level: 1.1034.
Strong Resistance:1.1028.
Original Resistance: 1.1017.
Inner Sell Area: 1.1006.
Target Inner Area: 1.0981.
Inner Buy Area: 1.0966.
Original Support: 1.0945.
Strong Support: 1.0936.
Breakout SELL Level: 1.0929.
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Technical analysis of USD/JPY for August 03, 2015
In Asia, Japan will release data on the Final Manufacturing PMI. The US will publish economic news about Vehicle Sales, ISM Manufacturing Prices, Construction Spending m/m, ISM Manufacturing PMI, Final Manufacturing PMI, Personal Income m/m, ersonal Spending m/m, and Core PCE Price Index m/m. So, there is a strong probability that USD/JPY will move with low to medium volatility during the day.
TODAY TECHNICAL LEVELS:
Resistance. 3: 124.61.
Resistance. 2: 124.36.
Resistance. 1: 124.12.
Support. 1: 123.83.
Support. 2: 123.58.
Support. 3: 123.34.
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Technical analysis of EUR/USD for August 04, 2015
When the European market opens, some data on the PPI m/m and Spanish Unemployment Change is due.The US will release data on the Loan Officer Survey, IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism, and Factory Orders m/m. So amid the reports, EUR/USD will move low to medium volatility during this day.
TODAY TECHNICAL LEVELS:
Breakout BUY Level: 1.1004.
Strong Resistance:1.0998.
Original Resistance: 1.0987.
Inner Sell Area: 1.0976.
Target Inner Area: 1.0951.
Inner Buy Area: 1.0926.
Original Support: 1.0915.
Strong Support: 1.0904.
Breakout SELL Level: 1.0898.
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EUR/USD Technical Levels and Trading Recommendations for August 5, 2015
When the European market opens, economic data on Retail Sales m/m, Italian Industrial Production m/m, Final Services PMI, German Final Services PMI, French Final Services PMI, Italian Services PMI, and Spanish Services PMI is due. The US will unveil data about Crude Oil Inventories, ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI, Final Services PMI, Trade Balance, and ADP Non-Farm Employment Change. So amid the reports, EUR/USD will move low to medium volatility during this day.
TODAY TECHNICAL LEVELS:
Breakout BUY Level: 1.0937.
Strong Resistance:1.0931.
Original Resistance: 1.0920.
Inner Sell Area: 1.0909.
Target Inner Area: 1.0884.
Inner Buy Area: 1.0859.
Original Support: 1.0848.
Strong Support: 1.0837. Breakout SELL Level: 1.0831.
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USD/CAD intraday technical levels and trading recommendations for August 5, 2015
Overview: When bulls pushed the price further above 79.6% Fibonacci level, the market looked quite overbought. That is why, the price failed to hold above 1.2650 - 1.2680 (previous highs) resulting in a formation of successive lower highs (within the depicted consolidation zone) enhancing the bearish side of the market. Daily fixation below 1.2300 opened a way towards the levels of 1.2000 and 1.1940 (the depicted weekly uptrend). Bullish support was found around these levels. Successive higher lows were established. Bullish pressure was applied against the resistance levels of 1.2450 and 1.2500 (previous tops). On the other hand, the previous weekly candlestick came frank bullish. That is why, an extensive bullish movement is seen on the chart. A bullish breakout above the price zone of 1.2770-1.2800 has been executed. Earlier, signs of lacking bullish momentum were manifested on the chart. A bearish corrective movement was initiated towards the levels of 1.2900-1.2850. However, a new bullish swing is taking place today, especially after Friday's bullish engulfing candlestick. The long-term bullish projection target would be located at the level of 1.3270 if enough bullish support is maintained.
Trading recommendations: Traders can wait for a bearish pullback towards the recent breakout zone (1.2800-1.2750) for a valid buy entry as the Breakout level constitutes the recent support. Stop Loss should be located below the level of 1.2700. T/P levels should be located at 1.2850 and 1.2900.
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Technical analysis of AUD/USD for August 7, 2015
Trading recommendations: As it is known, sellers are asking for a higher price as well as buyers are looking for a lower price. Therefore, the first key level will set at 0.7420. The second key level will set at 0.7380 today. Equally important, the AUD/USD pair has been trading between 0.7420 and 0.7283. Additionally, it should be noted that the range was about 76 pips today and around 173 till next week. Furthermore, the trend was very clear and was indicating downtrend. We expect that the trend is going to call for a bearish market at the level of 0.7420 in the H1 chart (last top). As a result, sell at the level of 0.7420 with the first target at 0.7314. It might resume to 0.7283 in order to test the support. Also, it should be noted that the double bottom will set at 0.7234. On the other hand, your stop loss should be placed above the level of 0.7420, Thus, it will be helpful to set it at the level of 0.7463.
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