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Ming Kin Ip
Financial markets have always attracted two very different kinds of people.
Some approach the markets as gamblers, hoping that luck will favor them. Others approach them as investigators — believing that beneath the apparent chaos of price movements lies structure, probability, and logic waiting to be understood.
This series is written for the latter.
The title of this series, “Prepared, Win — The Science of Market Edge,” reflects a simple belief: lasting success in speculative markets is rarely accidental. Over time, victory tends to belong to those who prepare more thoroughly, think more critically, and understand the mechanisms of the market more deeply than others.
The idea for this series was inspired, in part, by a book titled Calculated Brilliance — The Statistics of Horse Racing. I do not personally know the author, cxwong, nor have I ever met him. Reading that book did not lead me to participate in horse-race betting. However, many of the ideas discussed in this series — particularly the use of mathematics, statistics, and analytical reasoning — were influenced by perspectives presented in his work.
More importantly, I admire the spirit behind it. Mr. cxwong demonstrated a rare willingness to share knowledge openly, without fear that others might learn his methods and compete with him. Such generosity of intellect is uncommon, and it deserves recognition.
Of course, both he and I are merely ordinary individuals. Writing a book or producing a series such as this cannot realistically provide a complete livelihood. Nor do we intend to disclose every piece of knowledge accumulated over a lifetime. What is presented here should therefore be understood for what it truly is: an introduction — a starting point for those who wish to explore this field further.
For readers who may enter speculative markets without sufficient preparation, a word of caution is necessary. Expectations should remain reasonable, and stakes should remain modest. In every competitive arena, the winners will always be a small minority — those who are the most prepared.
If one approaches speculation merely for amusement, then the size of the wager should reflect that intention.
In my view, the greatest value of a university education lies not merely in the knowledge acquired, but in the cultivation of a critical mindset. When encountering any theory, I have developed the habit of asking three simple questions:
Why should this be true?
What evidence supports it?
Could there be a better explanation?
This habit of questioning has been fundamental to my own exploration of technical analysis.
Another person whom I deeply admire, and whose work encouraged me to continue researching and writing this series, is Fire Deep (火燎深), the author of The First Ten Million Borrowed from Warren Buffett.
What impressed me most about his writing was the fire within it — a fire that drives the pursuit of success, and a fire that demands excellence. It was this same fire that enabled him to achieve financial success at a relatively young age, to leave conventional employment behind, and to pursue a life of his own design.
Such determination is both admirable and inspiring.
And so, this series begins.
If fortune has brought you to these pages, I hope you will find within them ideas that sharpen your thinking, challenge your assumptions, and perhaps illuminate a path of your own.
Some approach the markets as gamblers, hoping that luck will favor them. Others approach them as investigators — believing that beneath the apparent chaos of price movements lies structure, probability, and logic waiting to be understood.
This series is written for the latter.
The title of this series, “Prepared, Win — The Science of Market Edge,” reflects a simple belief: lasting success in speculative markets is rarely accidental. Over time, victory tends to belong to those who prepare more thoroughly, think more critically, and understand the mechanisms of the market more deeply than others.
The idea for this series was inspired, in part, by a book titled Calculated Brilliance — The Statistics of Horse Racing. I do not personally know the author, cxwong, nor have I ever met him. Reading that book did not lead me to participate in horse-race betting. However, many of the ideas discussed in this series — particularly the use of mathematics, statistics, and analytical reasoning — were influenced by perspectives presented in his work.
More importantly, I admire the spirit behind it. Mr. cxwong demonstrated a rare willingness to share knowledge openly, without fear that others might learn his methods and compete with him. Such generosity of intellect is uncommon, and it deserves recognition.
Of course, both he and I are merely ordinary individuals. Writing a book or producing a series such as this cannot realistically provide a complete livelihood. Nor do we intend to disclose every piece of knowledge accumulated over a lifetime. What is presented here should therefore be understood for what it truly is: an introduction — a starting point for those who wish to explore this field further.
For readers who may enter speculative markets without sufficient preparation, a word of caution is necessary. Expectations should remain reasonable, and stakes should remain modest. In every competitive arena, the winners will always be a small minority — those who are the most prepared.
If one approaches speculation merely for amusement, then the size of the wager should reflect that intention.
In my view, the greatest value of a university education lies not merely in the knowledge acquired, but in the cultivation of a critical mindset. When encountering any theory, I have developed the habit of asking three simple questions:
Why should this be true?
What evidence supports it?
Could there be a better explanation?
This habit of questioning has been fundamental to my own exploration of technical analysis.
Another person whom I deeply admire, and whose work encouraged me to continue researching and writing this series, is Fire Deep (火燎深), the author of The First Ten Million Borrowed from Warren Buffett.
What impressed me most about his writing was the fire within it — a fire that drives the pursuit of success, and a fire that demands excellence. It was this same fire that enabled him to achieve financial success at a relatively young age, to leave conventional employment behind, and to pursue a life of his own design.
Such determination is both admirable and inspiring.
And so, this series begins.
If fortune has brought you to these pages, I hope you will find within them ideas that sharpen your thinking, challenge your assumptions, and perhaps illuminate a path of your own.
Ming Kin Ip
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