Shahryar Yeganeh Hajahmadi / 个人资料

What we often call "chance" whether it’s the roll of a die or the rise and fall of currency markets isn’t truly random. It’s just our way of labeling the things we don’t fully understand. A die doesn’t land on a number by magic; it follows the laws of physics with precision. Just like a currency doesn’t spike or crash out of nowhere ,it moves in response to countless human decisions, economic pressures, and patterns of sentiment.

In both cases, the outcome is determined by real, measurable forces. For dice, it’s things like speed, spin, and the angle of impact. For markets, it’s supply and demand, political events, emotional reactions, and algorithmic trades. But because we can't measure or compute all those factors in real time, we call the results "random."

Truth is, the randomness isn't out there in the world, it's in our models, in our blind spots. With enough data and computing power, we could, at least in theory, predict both the roll of a die and tomorrow’s exchange rate just as surely as we track the orbit of a planet. These systems are not chaotic—they're just complex beyond our current reach.