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Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
12.12.2023 | XAUUSD : Price Forecast | XAUUSD Analysis | Daily Price Projection | Spot Gold Analysis by Piyush Ratnu
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Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
🆘XAUUSD @M15VS2 M30VS1 H1VS5
17:30 USD Core CPI (MoM) (Nov) 0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
17:30 USD Core CPI (YoY) (Nov) 4.0% 4.0% 4.0%
17:30 USD Core CPI Index (Nov) 312.25 311.37
17:30 USD CPI (MoM) (Nov) 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
17:30 USD CPI (YoY) (Nov) 3.1% 3.1% 3.2%
17:30 USD CPI Index, n.s.a. (Nov) 307.05 306.90 307.67
Impact of NEWS:
USD -
XAUUSD+
I will sell HIGHS: XAUUSD at R2
I will buy LOWs: USDJPY at S1
17:30 USD Core CPI (MoM) (Nov) 0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
17:30 USD Core CPI (YoY) (Nov) 4.0% 4.0% 4.0%
17:30 USD Core CPI Index (Nov) 312.25 311.37
17:30 USD CPI (MoM) (Nov) 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
17:30 USD CPI (YoY) (Nov) 3.1% 3.1% 3.2%
17:30 USD CPI Index, n.s.a. (Nov) 307.05 306.90 307.67
Impact of NEWS:
USD -
XAUUSD+
I will sell HIGHS: XAUUSD at R2
I will buy LOWs: USDJPY at S1
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
11.12.2023 | XAUUSD : Price Forecast | XAUUSD Analysis | Daily Price Projection | Spot Gold Analysis by Piyush Ratnu
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Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
$1985 price target achieved, as projected at $2023/2048/2069/2121 price range on and after 28.11.2023.
Today's low: $1985 | Crash observed in last 11 days: $2145-1985
#PiyushRatnu #SpotGold #analysis #forex #XAUUSD
Today's low: $1985 | Crash observed in last 11 days: $2145-1985
#PiyushRatnu #SpotGold #analysis #forex #XAUUSD
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
As projected on 28.11.2023:
XAUUSD price crashed back to $1985 zone before 12.12.2023, marking this year's high at $2145.
XAUUSD price crashed back to $1985 zone before 12.12.2023, marking this year's high at $2145.
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
08.12.2023 | XAUUSD: Daily Price Forecast | XAUUSD Analysis | Daily Price Projection | Spot Gold Analysis by Piyush Ratnu
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Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Buying at and below $2009 gave us good exit: CMP $2009
RT from $2003 - 2009 achieved
RT from $2003 - 2009 achieved
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
As projected: A pattern achieved | M15 M30 H1
Buying below A pattern zone: gave us neat exit.
RT observed:
2014-2024: 1000 pips | EXIT BUY Positions.
Buying below A pattern zone: gave us neat exit.
RT observed:
2014-2024: 1000 pips | EXIT BUY Positions.
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
07.12.2023 | XAUUSD: Daily Price Forecast | XAUUSD Analysis | Daily Price Projection | Spot Gold Analysis by Piyush Ratnu
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Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
✔️R2: $2040 zone achieved | Sell Positions in NAP.
🆘Exit SELL Positions.
✔️Net Profitable Pips: 900+
🟢CMP $2031
🆘Exit SELL Positions.
✔️Net Profitable Pips: 900+
🟢CMP $2031
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
🆘 ALERT:
Asian equities attracted substantial foreign investment in November, signalling the prospects of continued inflows next year, bolstered by a decrease in U.S. Treasury yields and rising optimism for potential Federal Reserve rate cuts.
According to data from stock exchanges across Taiwan, South Korea, India, Indonesia, the Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam, foreign investors bought a net $11.16 billion in stocks last month, the most since May.
The inflows were underpinned by cooler-than-expected U.S. October inflation data and dovish comments from Federal Reserve officials, which led to sharp declines in both U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar last month.
In the last month, Taiwanese stocks attracted foreign inflows of $7.58 billion, the highest since at least 2008. South Korean shares attracted $3.26 billion, while Indian equities received net inflows of $1.08 billion.
Over the medium term, Asia's strong fundamentals and growth prospects mean the region is well-placed to attract large capital inflows.
🟢Impact: -USD DXY +US F + XAUSD XAGUSD
🆘 Expected Date:
First week of January or Quadruple witching (Dec/Jan)
Why is it called witching day?
Witching days refer to sessions when multiple options and futures contracts expire simultaneously. Normally, options expire on the third Friday of each month. Witching sessions occur only four times a year, on the third Fridays of March, June, September and December.
What is the witching hour in trading?
The witching hour is the last hour of trading on the third Friday of each month when options and futures on stocks and stock indexes expire. This period is often characterized by heavy volumes as traders close out options and futures contracts before expiry.
Asian equities attracted substantial foreign investment in November, signalling the prospects of continued inflows next year, bolstered by a decrease in U.S. Treasury yields and rising optimism for potential Federal Reserve rate cuts.
According to data from stock exchanges across Taiwan, South Korea, India, Indonesia, the Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam, foreign investors bought a net $11.16 billion in stocks last month, the most since May.
The inflows were underpinned by cooler-than-expected U.S. October inflation data and dovish comments from Federal Reserve officials, which led to sharp declines in both U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar last month.
In the last month, Taiwanese stocks attracted foreign inflows of $7.58 billion, the highest since at least 2008. South Korean shares attracted $3.26 billion, while Indian equities received net inflows of $1.08 billion.
Over the medium term, Asia's strong fundamentals and growth prospects mean the region is well-placed to attract large capital inflows.
🟢Impact: -USD DXY +US F + XAUSD XAGUSD
🆘 Expected Date:
First week of January or Quadruple witching (Dec/Jan)
Why is it called witching day?
Witching days refer to sessions when multiple options and futures contracts expire simultaneously. Normally, options expire on the third Friday of each month. Witching sessions occur only four times a year, on the third Fridays of March, June, September and December.
What is the witching hour in trading?
The witching hour is the last hour of trading on the third Friday of each month when options and futures on stocks and stock indexes expire. This period is often characterized by heavy volumes as traders close out options and futures contracts before expiry.
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
The Japanese Yen (JPY) catches aggressive bids on Thursday and advances to over a three-month top against the US Dollar (USD) in the wake of firming expectations for an imminent shift in the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) policy stance. BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda met Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida and said that his explanation of monetary policy included the wage hike outlook. This, in turn, fueled speculations that a second consecutive year of significant wage hikes will offer an opportunity for the BoJ to consider stepping away from a decade-long monetary stimulus.
JPY Price Movers: (ref. FxS)
Japanese Yen strengthens across the board amid bets for a hawkish BoJ pivot
• Signs that a tight US job market is loosening raise concerns about an economic slowdown and weigh on investors' sentiment, benefitting the safe-haven Japanese Yen.
• The US Labor Department reported Tuesday that job openings declined by 617K to 8.73 million in October, or their lowest level in two-and-a-half-years.
• The ADP report showed that US private-sector employers added just 103K jobs in November, down from the previous month's downwardly revised 106K.
• The readings reaffirmed market expectations about an imminent shift in the Federal Reserve's policy stance and bets for a 25 basis points rate cut at the March policy meeting.
• The slew of key US jobs data will continue on Thursday and Friday with the release of Weekly Initial Jobless Claims and the key Nonfarm Payrolls, respectively.
• Israeli forces stormed southern Gaza's main city on Tuesday in the most intense day of combat of ground operations against Hamas militants, worsening the humanitarian crisis.
• The mixed Trade Balance data from China showed that imports unexpectedly declined by 0.6% in November, fueling concerns about weak domestic demand amid looming recession risks.
• BoJ Governor Ueda told PMI Kishida that the central bank hopes to che whether wages will rise sustainably, whether wage rises will push up service prices and whether demand will be strong.
• Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda said this Thursday that accommodative monetary policy and stimulus measures are supporting the Japanese economy.
• Ueda added that his explanation of monetary policy to PM Kishida included the wage hike outlook for next year, reaffirming bets that the central bank will move away from negative interest rates regime.
• Ueda earlier said that they have not yet reached a situation in which they can achieve the price target sustainably and stably and with sufficient certainty.
CMP $145.300 | Net crash today till now: 2000+ pips
JPY Price Movers: (ref. FxS)
Japanese Yen strengthens across the board amid bets for a hawkish BoJ pivot
• Signs that a tight US job market is loosening raise concerns about an economic slowdown and weigh on investors' sentiment, benefitting the safe-haven Japanese Yen.
• The US Labor Department reported Tuesday that job openings declined by 617K to 8.73 million in October, or their lowest level in two-and-a-half-years.
• The ADP report showed that US private-sector employers added just 103K jobs in November, down from the previous month's downwardly revised 106K.
• The readings reaffirmed market expectations about an imminent shift in the Federal Reserve's policy stance and bets for a 25 basis points rate cut at the March policy meeting.
• The slew of key US jobs data will continue on Thursday and Friday with the release of Weekly Initial Jobless Claims and the key Nonfarm Payrolls, respectively.
• Israeli forces stormed southern Gaza's main city on Tuesday in the most intense day of combat of ground operations against Hamas militants, worsening the humanitarian crisis.
• The mixed Trade Balance data from China showed that imports unexpectedly declined by 0.6% in November, fueling concerns about weak domestic demand amid looming recession risks.
• BoJ Governor Ueda told PMI Kishida that the central bank hopes to che whether wages will rise sustainably, whether wage rises will push up service prices and whether demand will be strong.
• Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda said this Thursday that accommodative monetary policy and stimulus measures are supporting the Japanese economy.
• Ueda added that his explanation of monetary policy to PM Kishida included the wage hike outlook for next year, reaffirming bets that the central bank will move away from negative interest rates regime.
• Ueda earlier said that they have not yet reached a situation in which they can achieve the price target sustainably and stably and with sufficient certainty.
CMP $145.300 | Net crash today till now: 2000+ pips
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
🟢 USDJPY approaching 145.600 zone
Net crash observed: 1800 pips.
Possible impact on XAUUSD: $50+ price move
RT in USDJPY might push XAUUSD to $2009/1985 zone.
Net crash observed: 1800 pips.
Possible impact on XAUUSD: $50+ price move
RT in USDJPY might push XAUUSD to $2009/1985 zone.
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
Santa Rally Ahead: Stay Alert. BUY DIPS. PG 100
Exit in NAP | Exit Dates: 09/10 Jan or NAP.
Exit in NAP | Exit Dates: 09/10 Jan or NAP.
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-12-05/israel-would-consider-another-cease-fire-to-get-back-hostages?srnd=premium-middle-east
🟢 Probable IMPACT:
Scenario A: Rejection of truce/surprise attack might result in another + rally of $75
Scenario B: Reversal: XAUUSD might make enter in next set of technical correction extending to $1985/1966.
🟢 Probable IMPACT:
Scenario A: Rejection of truce/surprise attack might result in another + rally of $75
Scenario B: Reversal: XAUUSD might make enter in next set of technical correction extending to $1985/1966.
Piyush Lalsingh Ratnu
The US Dollar (USD) appreciated significantly in the European trading session on Tuesday after rating agency Moody’s downgraded China’s credit outlook from stable to negative due to rising debt.
More US Dollar Strength comes from European Central Bank (ECB) member Isabel Schnabel, who said she is surprised by the substantial decline in inflation and no more interest-rate hikes are further needed.
XAUUSD price factors: Pressure building to Nonfarm Payrolls
• Rating agency Moody’s has issued a negative outlook for China, a downgrade from the previous “stable” label.
• European Central Bank (ECB) board member Isabel Schnabel said that she is surprised by the shere speed of decline in inflation in the Eurozone, and no further hikes should be needed. Schnabel is considered to be a hawk, which makes these comments even more important and signals a change in the stance and outlook of the ECB.
• At 18.45, the S&P Global Purchasing Managers Indices are expected:
1. The Services PMI is expected to stay stable from its preliminary reading at 50.8.
2. The Composite flash reading for November stood at 50.7.
• Chunky batch of data at 19:00 GMT:
1. The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) will release its November numbers:
2. Headline Services PMI for November expected to increase from 51.8 to 52.
3. Services Employment Index for October was at 50.2. No forecast.
4. Services New Orders Index for October was at 55.5. No forecast pencilled in.
5. Services Prices Paid for October was at 58.6. No forecast.
6. JOLTS Job Openings for October is expected to decline a little from 9.553 million to 9.3 million.
• Equities are bleeding severely this Tuesday with nearly all Asian equity indices down over 1%, with China’s leading indices down more than 2%. European equities are trading in the red, and US futures trade directionless.
• The CME Group’s FedWatch Tool shows that markets are pricing in a 97.5% chance that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged at its meeting next week.
• The benchmark 10-year US Treasury Note steadies at 4.23%. Yields in Europe, on the other hand, are falling.
🟢 Crucial zones:
C: $2009/1985/1966
R: $2048/2069/2096
More US Dollar Strength comes from European Central Bank (ECB) member Isabel Schnabel, who said she is surprised by the substantial decline in inflation and no more interest-rate hikes are further needed.
XAUUSD price factors: Pressure building to Nonfarm Payrolls
• Rating agency Moody’s has issued a negative outlook for China, a downgrade from the previous “stable” label.
• European Central Bank (ECB) board member Isabel Schnabel said that she is surprised by the shere speed of decline in inflation in the Eurozone, and no further hikes should be needed. Schnabel is considered to be a hawk, which makes these comments even more important and signals a change in the stance and outlook of the ECB.
• At 18.45, the S&P Global Purchasing Managers Indices are expected:
1. The Services PMI is expected to stay stable from its preliminary reading at 50.8.
2. The Composite flash reading for November stood at 50.7.
• Chunky batch of data at 19:00 GMT:
1. The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) will release its November numbers:
2. Headline Services PMI for November expected to increase from 51.8 to 52.
3. Services Employment Index for October was at 50.2. No forecast.
4. Services New Orders Index for October was at 55.5. No forecast pencilled in.
5. Services Prices Paid for October was at 58.6. No forecast.
6. JOLTS Job Openings for October is expected to decline a little from 9.553 million to 9.3 million.
• Equities are bleeding severely this Tuesday with nearly all Asian equity indices down over 1%, with China’s leading indices down more than 2%. European equities are trading in the red, and US futures trade directionless.
• The CME Group’s FedWatch Tool shows that markets are pricing in a 97.5% chance that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged at its meeting next week.
• The benchmark 10-year US Treasury Note steadies at 4.23%. Yields in Europe, on the other hand, are falling.
🟢 Crucial zones:
C: $2009/1985/1966
R: $2048/2069/2096