EURSpecial

2023.10.18：

很多人看不懂这个策略，以为是EURUSD与USDCHF的对冲。实际上，虽然这两个货币对同时进场，同时出场，但是他们并不构成对冲。一多一空，对于USD而言，方向是相同的。比如，EURUSD多单，USDCHF空单，如果USD下跌，两单同时盈利。考虑三个货币的变动，EUR、USD、CHF，只要两单的合计利润达到目标时，他们同时退场。很多时候，两单的利润不一样，有的时候一单获利，另一单微亏，只要合计利润够了，他们也会退出。

因此，此策略的优势是，在价格波动过程中，比单一货币对的波动，更容易捕获获利机会，从而提高了盈利概率。

如果进场错误，策略会加仓。这种加仓不应被看成马丁，而是看成对首次进场错误的纠错措施。马丁策略的获利原理是逆势加仓，没有逆势就没有利润。

这个策略属于头皮+逆势纠错。

2024.1.2 上一周，由于EURCHF单边趋势比较大，造成很大浮亏。让人感到焦虑。尽管如此，我欣赏平仓部分获利单的做法。上周和今天，平仓部分USDCHF和EURUSD获利单，同时带走部分亏损单。这种做法的好处是降低仓位手数。价格走势总是有反复的。在有利的情况下，降低仓位的手数，在逆势的情况下增加仓位，是不错的策略。相比等待所有头寸变成盈利才去平仓的策略，这种策略的风险更小。

poor trade accuracy

Be careful, it's a martingale, so evaluate the possible risk

It's grid system and won't work someday.

Too much DD caused by grid/martingale strategy. Will blown up at one day soon.

martingale/grid,... systems unfortunately don't work in the long term. A drawdown of almost 50% (€400 equity) with a movement of 150 pips in EURUSD will always crash an account in the long run. I can do that too...

Отвратительный сигнал, просадка достигла 35%. Нет никаких стопов, советник торгует до тупого просто, просто входит где попало одновременно покупая EURUSD (по сути покупая доллар) и продавая USDCHF (да да, опять таки по сути покупает доллар!) Т.е о не хеджирует свои входы,а просто усиливает просадку если цена не идет в нужную сторону и "раздвижка" не схлопывается,усиливает он эту просадку на паре USDCHF. Если бот не вышел сразу в + он тупо включает мартингейл, до тех пор пока у вас не кончится депозит. Средний профит 1 доллар, а просадка может достигать 35%. На данный момент все еще в просадке 30% и выйдет ли он из не или сольет депо - неизвестно. На вопросы автор отвечает неохотно, на контакт выходить не любит. На вопрос про неправильное копирование лотов - не смог точно ответить что нужно сделать (и что нужно установить в настройках), т.е забил болт. Складывается ощущение что автор дилетант и просто опубликовал сигнал с первым попавшимся ботом. Не вздумайте подписываться на сигнал,это обычный мартингейл, я думаю там несколько строк когда, бот торгует на "раздвижке" EURUSD и USDCHF, но повторюсь, при сделках, он ничего не хеджирует, он просто наращивает минус по обеим парам!Гениально. Там максиму 20 строк когда и один индикатор.

Сейчас открыто 13 ! отрицательных ордеров,все они в минусе 35%.

И еще, обратите внимание на статистику, каждый месяц бот зарабатывает все меньше и меньше в процентах.Сейчас 28 сентября,а доходность не более 5%. Автор просто разогнал депозит со 100 долларов с начальными лотами 0,01 и ему повезло не слиться а заработать, к примеру в марте 92%, но потом доходность неуклонно падает, потому что лотность остается 0,01 (начальная, да и усредняющая тоже),а доходность в долларах как была около 1 доллара так и осталась,поэтому в процентном выражении доходность упала, да еще и просадка в 35%.

Сам автор положил на счет 100 долларов, ему все равно если он их сольет, это мелочь.

Так что категорически не рекомендую вам влезать в это болото. Отписыватесь от сигнала как только вы выйдете в безубыток из текущей просадки.

Описания стратегии нет.

Во вкладке "проскальзывание" вообще отсутствует информация у какого брокера какое проскальзывание.

Плюс еще свопы съедают большую часть и без того маленькой прибыли (если у вас свопы в 2 раза больше чем у автора этого сигнала, то у вас вообще ничего не останется). У моего брокера, отрицательные свопы больше чем у автора этого сигнала в два раза.

Bei einem 1800€ Konto 230€ Verlust nach 2Tagen ,kein Stopp wo ist die Grenze wenn alles weg ist oder was

20% Verlust das kann ich selber auch !!!!!!

Alle Positionen geschlossen und ein Plus von 50€ alles wieder gut👍🍺

在趨勢向下時買入多次，亦沒有止損

顺势交易出场，效果不错。

无法复制

hi why your position are not have stop los and take profit my position was open for 2 days

Ze Zhen Xie (EURSpecial) is doing a great job, thank you very much. I made 5% profit in my first month. Please keep it up.

Very good signal provider.

Symbols don't match.

This signal provider uses the correlation between EURUSD and USDCHF to provide stable returns for clients. In essence, the strategy buys EURUSD and sells USDCHF at the same time. The typical correlation between EURUSD and USDCHF is around negative 0.80. The principle that the system works on is short-term correlation divergences between the two pairs to build positions in the hope of correlation returning back to normal. As you can imagine, when the correlation stays outside of normal ranges for an extended period of time, the strategy will need to keep adding positions in larger and larger sizes to make up for the drawdowns. In case a black swan event occurs and the correlation breaks, it is very likely that the account will be completely blown up. Therefore, keep withdrawing from the account on a periodic basis and keep adjusting the lot-size parameters, if you can.

There are risks associated with this approach. During periods of elevated volatility, drawdowns can be extreme - up to 30%! A general guideline I have used is to assume that the drawdown for 0.01 lots will be around $7 - $10. So if you are trying to scale up the strategy to a larger account, use those risk parameters. DO NOT SIMPLY USE THE LOT MULTIPLIER FEATURE IN A TRADE COPIER AND ASSUME THAT YOUR RISK WILL BE MANAGED WELL. If you do this, the short-term drawdowns will completely destroy your account.

In my experience so far, the number of simultaneous positions may be 2 - 6. Therefore, for every 0.01 lot correlation trade, with scale-ins and adjustments, your notional exposure could be between $20 -$100 on average. So investors have to be extremely careful applying this strategy to their personal accounts with small capital. Also, trades may be held overnight and through rollover periods, which could expose investors to gap risks and swap fees. I am currently using the general guideline of having $400 as the lowest account size for copying the signal and trading the lot size with a 1:1 ratio. This means that for 0.01 lots traded in EURUSD and USDCHF correlation trade, in order to be well capitalized, you need ~$400 in the account. Average returns on a 4-5 day basis for every $400 dollars invested is about 3 - 5%. This means that you will earn about $12 - $20 on a weekly basis. As an example, if you are trading a $100K funded prop account, the maximum you should multiply the lot size by a factor of 10 because most funded prop firms have a daily drawdown limit of 5%. If you go any higher, you will likely blow up your account.

In essence, this is a hedging strategy. When hedging based on correlation, volatility is your worst enemy. So please be careful in applying this strategy. You will likely experience extreme drawdowns during major news events, like NFP, CPI, Fed Meetings, etc. As long as you don't get greedy, don't use a crazy lot multiplier like 50 or 100, don't overleverage your account, and don't let the initial balance drop below $400 for the position size that the signal provider is trading, you will enjoy stable returns over the long run.

Update at the end of Signal Service 8/30/2023:

After finishing signal service for one month, because of the irresponsible management by the signal provider, I lost one $200 account. Also, paying for the signal plus ($30) and VPS ($15) incurred an overall $245 cost to subscribe to the signal. The small account was blown because of the the fact that signal provider's strategy had its worst drawdown last month, just as I was subscribing. There were no stop losses and take profits either, so I was noticeably shaken after a seemingly "safe" strategy had such a $100 - $200 drawdown in my account, very frequently. I continued with the signal by funding a slightly bigger account in hopes of recovering some of my costs. On this bigger account, I made ~$30 from the signal provider. So I am at a net loss. Additionally, the provider is using a broker that uses a suffix Eg. EURUSD.p, USDCHF.p. It's not very easy to copy these trades over on MQL because of the suffix. I had to use a demo account the same size as the provider to copy the signal and then copy it over to the main account. This added an additional $20 to my overall cost because I used Social Trader Tools for the copying. Otherwise, MQL will proportionately increase the lot size on your account based on equity and you will definitely blow up your account.

The provider keeps changing the profit target for this strategy. When I first subscribed, the provider had $1 as the profit target. Recently, the provider has changed the profit target to $2 without notifying any of the subscribers. This is especially bad because your holding times are longer and you have to martingale into more positions to make the strategy work. Consequently, your drawdown and risk are also much larger. Typically, you quadruple your risk if you double your profit target based on this strategy. I am not comfortable with that at all because I know that sooner or later, even my slightly bigger account will be blown. Based on another algorithm that analyzes this strategy, the most optimal profit target is $0.66. However, having a profit target that low, for most subscribers, you will barely break even after spread, commissions, and swaps. Swap fees are high because the provider will have to keep holding positions through the rollover periods if he is caught in a position where the correlation has not been corrected.