Mochamad Briend Mega Bayu Angkasa / Profilo

#DXY 🇺🇸

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4️⃣ Trading without clear rules – structure brings consistent profits.

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his XAUUSD 4H chart reflects a classic Elliott Wave structure followed by a corrective A-B-C pattern within a contracting wedge, suggesting the potential end of Wave 2. Wave 1 completes with a clear 5-wave impulsive rally, topping near 3,500, followed by a corrective zigzag (A-B-C) forming Wave 2. The internal structure of Wave C also exhibits a 5-wave decline, terminating precisely at confluence support formed by the ascending trendline and horizontal demand zone around 3,200. The symmetry and textbook wave count strongly imply that Wave 2 has ended, and price is poised for a bullish impulsive Wave 3. Fundamentally, gold remains supported by persistent macroeconomic uncertainty, potential rate cuts from the Fed amid slowing inflation, and ongoing geopolitical tensions, all favoring renewed demand for safe-haven assets. A break above the descending wedge resistance near 3,400 would confirm bullish momentum and initiate the next impulsive leg upward.

NZDUSD on the 4H chart is exhibiting a classic bullish continuation structure, having respected the 0.5860–0.5880 demand zone, which previously acted as a strong resistance and has now flipped into support. Price action confirms this zone as a key S/R flip, aligning with the broader bullish structure. The recent rejection from this area, combined with the formation of a higher low, suggests renewed bullish momentum targeting the 0.6030–0.6050 monthly resistance zone. As long as the price holds above the support, the pair remains technically poised for a potential rally toward the next significant supply level, confirming buyers’ control in the current market context.

EURCAD (1D) has completed a clear five-wave impulsive structure to the upside, with Wave (5) ending within a rising wedge pattern, indicating potential exhaustion. The current breakdown below the wedge support and the corrective structure labeled as (A)-(B)-(C) suggests a deeper retracement toward the previous Wave (4) and horizontal support around the 1.5200 area. Additionally, bearish RSI divergence confirms momentum weakening during Wave (5), supporting the bearish bias. A sustained move below 1.5550 could accelerate the downside, making 1.5200 a key target for bears in the coming sessions.

#EURUSD 🇪🇺🇺🇸

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XAUUSD on the daily timeframe is currently completing a Elliott Wave corrective structure, with Wave 4 likely finalizing within a key Fibonacci confluence zone (50%-61.8% retracement of Wave 3). Price action has shown a potential bullish rejection near the 61.8% level, suggesting a possible Wave 5 rally targeting a new high above the previous peak at 3,500. From a fundamental standpoint, persistent inflation concerns, ongoing geopolitical tensions, and dovish expectations from the Fed amid slowing U.S. economic indicators continue to support gold as a safe-haven asset. If bullish momentum holds above the current reversal zone, we could see a strong impulsive continuation toward new highs, validating the bullish Elliott Wave count

#US100 🇺🇸

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👉🏻 All you need to do is to identify the trend direction on the upper timeframes and trade the impulses on the lower timeframes.

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Price Supporting.. Movement According to My last Idea

#DAX 🇩🇪

👉🏻 Successful trading is about waiting for the right moment, not chasing every move!

USDJPY on the 4H chart has completed a clear five-wave decline followed by a corrective ABC retracement, which has now broken its internal trendline—confirming potential for a new impulsive drop. Technically, this structure signals the start of wave (3) down. Fundamentally, dollar weakness from soft economic data and rising Fed cut expectations contrasts with BOJ’s hawkish tone, favoring further JPY strength. Risk-off sentiment adds pressure, supporting a bearish continuation.

The 4H XAUUSD chart illustrates a completed five-wave impulsive structure followed by a classic ABC corrective pattern, consistent with Elliott Wave Theory. The initial impulse (waves 1 through 5) reflects strong bullish momentum likely driven by escalating inflation concerns and persistent geopolitical tensions that spurred safe-haven demand for gold. Post wave 5, a corrective decline unfolded in a downward-sloping channel forming waves A, B, and C, signaling temporary profit-taking and consolidation as markets priced in expectations of a potential Fed pause. The correction completed at wave C, setting the stage for a new bullish impulse where wave 1 initiated the reversal, wave 2 provided a shallow retracement, and the market has now progressed through wave 3 with wave 4 forming a minor pullback. We anticipate the final wave 5 to target the prior resistance zone near as fundamental support grows from recent weak U.S. macro data and increasing speculation around rate cuts, adding fuel to renewed bullish sentiment in gold.

The USD/CHF pair has continued its bearish momentum, currently trading near 0.8230 as shown on the daily chart, which aligns with the completion of a Wave (4) corrective structure under the Elliott Wave principle. The technical setup indicates that the market is now preparing for the final Wave (5) leg to the downside, suggesting further weakness toward the 0.8000 or possibly 0.7800 levels. This move is being supported by a broader bearish impulse sequence, despite the upbeat US Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data for April. Interestingly, the US Dollar failed to gain traction from the strong employment report, likely due to market reactions to President Trump’s public pressure on the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates via Truth Social. Meanwhile, investors are now eyeing the upcoming Swiss Consumer Price Index (CPI) data scheduled for Monday, which could further impact the Swiss Franc's strength and drive the next leg of this anticipated downward wave.

Technically, Gold (XAUUSD) has completed a classic 5-wave impulse followed by an ABC corrective structure within a well-defined falling wedge—a strong bullish reversal pattern. The recent breakout above the wedge and the key support-turned-resistance zone around 3280 confirms bullish momentum, targeting 3400 and beyond. Fundamentally, increasing geopolitical tensions and dovish signals from the Fed are supporting gold as a safe haven, with expectations of rate cuts adding further upside pressure. As long as price holds above the breakout zone, buyers remain in control.

#DXY 🇺🇸

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👉🏻 Risk management protects your money.

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EURGBP has respected the 50% Fibonacci retracement level, pulling back into a key support zone that previously acted as resistance—now a classic case of resistance-turned-support. The pair appears to have completed an impulsive Wave 3 and is currently in a Wave 4 correction, finding stability at a critical structural level. As long as the price holds above this zone, the probability of a bullish continuation remains high, setting the stage for the final push towards Wave 5. This level will be crucial for confirmation, and a sustained move above it could trigger the next leg higher in line with the Elliott Wave structure.

EURCHF has staged a strong rebound off the key support zone, signaling a clear shift in momentum as buyers regain control. The clean break above minor resistance confirms bullish intent, and the subsequent retest has held firmly—strengthening the case for continuation. With this structure, the pair is now set to challenge the higher-timeframe supply zone, where the last significant sell-off began. As long as the retest remains intact, the path of least resistance is to the upside, and we anticipate a measured move toward the upper resistance zone in the coming sessions.

Gold is currently in a corrective phase, and the decline appears to be unfolding as Wave (4), with the price still holding above the termination point of Wave (1)—preserving the integrity of the impulsive wave structure. As long as this non-overlap condition remains intact, the wave count is technically valid. Given the sharp and swift nature of Wave (2), we can reasonably anticipate a more complex and time-consuming correction in Wave (4), possibly taking the form of a triangle or a sideways flat. The current structure is still developing, and forcing early conclusions would be premature. In such phases, patience is not just a virtue—it’s a trading edge. The key now is to wait for confirmation through price action and structure, rather than reacting emotionally to short-term moves. I continue to monitor the chart closely and will adjust bias the moment clarity emerges.

#US500 #SP500 🇺🇸

👉🏻 Sometimes, the best trading insights come from higher timeframes. Stepping back helps reveal the bigger picture, major trends, and clearer market structures.

⭐️ Identify the direction of the trend on the upper timeframes so you can trade with the trend!
⭐️ Identify corrections on the lower timeframes so you can trade for high RRR opportunities!

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USDCAD remains confined within a well-defined descending channel, and price action suggests that wave C has likely been completed. With the market positioned near the channel's lower boundary, the probability of a corrective recovery toward the descending resistance is increasing. While early signs of a reversal are emerging, more reliable confirmation will likely develop closer to the key support zone. A sustained move above intraday structure levels would further validate the recovery scenario, offering higher-probability trade setups in line with channel dynamics.

#USOIL 🛢

👉🏻 In trading, a sprinter mentality will kill you. Only the marathoners succeed.

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