bota mircea
Draghi stops before validate scenarios previously circulated
ECB kept interest rate at 0.25 % fulfilling the general weather ( two thirds of respondents Bloomberg ) - and here the similarities stop between estimates and reality. Markets were set to get "support" from the ECB in the market either by leaving a portion of the proceeds support program introduced by the peripheral , even the promise of a future interest rate cuts . Have not received anything from them : Mario Draghi announced the press - and the markets - satisfaction in relation to movements in the economy, avoiding hazards and fulfillment of the basic scenario of returning estimated 1.2% in 2014. Questions bank passivity audience gasped Draghi replied serenely . Euro PRECUP not suggested , talking down 0.4 points to inflation by 10% due to the appreciation of the currency. Leap Euro was spent in total disregard of indicators than-expected U.S. labor market . Dax 's suffered but respecting disappointment bets on cheaper rates.
A concession was made , however, the wing " mild " even after economic conditions improve , due to incomplete use of resources , monetary policy will remain mild , so interest will be uploaded too quickly. Too little material for reversing direction . In another interpretation , the dollar was not easily traded Thursday after a series of contradictory data : First the good of the labor market , and weak prospects for the industry , and favorable risk aversion due warning that it will not tolerate breaking of Ukraine and Crimea U.S. military moves . Any trading approach which tackles extreme price scenarios , including capital market becomes more relevant in the next sessions .
source: xtb.ro
ECB kept interest rate at 0.25 % fulfilling the general weather ( two thirds of respondents Bloomberg ) - and here the similarities stop between estimates and reality. Markets were set to get "support" from the ECB in the market either by leaving a portion of the proceeds support program introduced by the peripheral , even the promise of a future interest rate cuts . Have not received anything from them : Mario Draghi announced the press - and the markets - satisfaction in relation to movements in the economy, avoiding hazards and fulfillment of the basic scenario of returning estimated 1.2% in 2014. Questions bank passivity audience gasped Draghi replied serenely . Euro PRECUP not suggested , talking down 0.4 points to inflation by 10% due to the appreciation of the currency. Leap Euro was spent in total disregard of indicators than-expected U.S. labor market . Dax 's suffered but respecting disappointment bets on cheaper rates.
A concession was made , however, the wing " mild " even after economic conditions improve , due to incomplete use of resources , monetary policy will remain mild , so interest will be uploaded too quickly. Too little material for reversing direction . In another interpretation , the dollar was not easily traded Thursday after a series of contradictory data : First the good of the labor market , and weak prospects for the industry , and favorable risk aversion due warning that it will not tolerate breaking of Ukraine and Crimea U.S. military moves . Any trading approach which tackles extreme price scenarios , including capital market becomes more relevant in the next sessions .
source: xtb.ro
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bota mircea
The European currency peaked this year after inflation in the euro area has exceeded analysts' expectations. British Pound appreciated against the dollar after data showed an increase macro investment. Japanese Yen appreciated against most of its counterparts as a result of tensions in Ukraine.
European capital markets have increased the intensification of activity in the mergers and acquisitions. U.S. stocks have been in a slight increase over estimates amid publication indicator of consumer sentiment . Asian capital market has been declining after the Chinese manufacturing sector PMI indicator reached the last eight months minimum .
WTI has had an increase in February after Oklahoma stocks were falling and the euro appreciated against the dollar. Gold was down after the appreciation of the shares has reduced demand for the precious metal . Coffee was the largest monthly increase in the past 19 years amid declining crop in Brazil.
European capital markets have increased the intensification of activity in the mergers and acquisitions. U.S. stocks have been in a slight increase over estimates amid publication indicator of consumer sentiment . Asian capital market has been declining after the Chinese manufacturing sector PMI indicator reached the last eight months minimum .
WTI has had an increase in February after Oklahoma stocks were falling and the euro appreciated against the dollar. Gold was down after the appreciation of the shares has reduced demand for the precious metal . Coffee was the largest monthly increase in the past 19 years amid declining crop in Brazil.
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bota mircea
Surprise so small .. jump so high?
Euro zone inflation was 0.8 % in February, according to Eurostat signal value , 0.1 points higher than the estimates . It's a surprise that would have been largely overlooked, in other market conditions but not Friday, February 28 . EUR / USD has a jump of 0.8% in just one hour of publication , much of the accumulated gain immediate aftermath minutes . Like a compressed spring , the reaction energy stored pro EUR and especially against the dollar after the " soft" Yellen 's Congress. And , interestingly, the U.S. GDP in Q4 given right EURUSD fans " avant la lettre " : only 2.4 % growth . Draghi henceforth be bound hand and foot by rising inflation ? Highly unlikely. More likely, inflation was the straw that broke the camel and sellers of Euro gave up - but it really binds anticpările if we think about unemployment - after Italy , 12% seems good news.
Investors aspiring to new heights of indices in the U.S. and Europe after the S & P500 has shown the way . Dow Jones and DAX try not to be outdone , recovering with thirst . The Nasdaq , taking off the force has yet tens of percent to the record set on a wave of unprecedented euphoria in 2000. Set to ignore the abundant liquidity risks , participants see the bright side of consumer sentiment figures and ignores the very poor performance as seasonal real estate pre-contracts . Although the euphoria train is on, and inertia can propel for a while , reason suggests a more conservative orientation .
Euro zone inflation was 0.8 % in February, according to Eurostat signal value , 0.1 points higher than the estimates . It's a surprise that would have been largely overlooked, in other market conditions but not Friday, February 28 . EUR / USD has a jump of 0.8% in just one hour of publication , much of the accumulated gain immediate aftermath minutes . Like a compressed spring , the reaction energy stored pro EUR and especially against the dollar after the " soft" Yellen 's Congress. And , interestingly, the U.S. GDP in Q4 given right EURUSD fans " avant la lettre " : only 2.4 % growth . Draghi henceforth be bound hand and foot by rising inflation ? Highly unlikely. More likely, inflation was the straw that broke the camel and sellers of Euro gave up - but it really binds anticpările if we think about unemployment - after Italy , 12% seems good news.
Investors aspiring to new heights of indices in the U.S. and Europe after the S & P500 has shown the way . Dow Jones and DAX try not to be outdone , recovering with thirst . The Nasdaq , taking off the force has yet tens of percent to the record set on a wave of unprecedented euphoria in 2000. Set to ignore the abundant liquidity risks , participants see the bright side of consumer sentiment figures and ignores the very poor performance as seasonal real estate pre-contracts . Although the euphoria train is on, and inertia can propel for a while , reason suggests a more conservative orientation .
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bota mircea
Yellen choose the perfect balance for investors
In the U.S. many of the macro data was below expectations , each and requests for unemployment benefits to 348 000 , and durable goods orders (excluding volatile items , the monthly growth of 1.1 % is still a good sign ) . Yellen answer questions now OF THE congress -man , so that there may be surprises , but so far the impression that the options are open. This means that although the Fed sees acquisitions concluded in the autumn, it takes a real improvement in the economy continued . For now , the policy should remain mild , and return to "normal " could take years . And even when you will need strengthening policy does not mean you sold the assets are available and other tools - so Fed seeks measures " delicate " action . EUR / USD went on holiday mode , as global indices . Meanwhile the struggle in Ukraine increasingly merges with the background ..
Euro cheer after German consumer confidence data and serenity of the south where Italy pays the lowest borrowing costs in recent years. But the helm is held by the ebb and flow of the dollar and the Fed alliance economic indicators
In the U.S. many of the macro data was below expectations , each and requests for unemployment benefits to 348 000 , and durable goods orders (excluding volatile items , the monthly growth of 1.1 % is still a good sign ) . Yellen answer questions now OF THE congress -man , so that there may be surprises , but so far the impression that the options are open. This means that although the Fed sees acquisitions concluded in the autumn, it takes a real improvement in the economy continued . For now , the policy should remain mild , and return to "normal " could take years . And even when you will need strengthening policy does not mean you sold the assets are available and other tools - so Fed seeks measures " delicate " action . EUR / USD went on holiday mode , as global indices . Meanwhile the struggle in Ukraine increasingly merges with the background ..
Euro cheer after German consumer confidence data and serenity of the south where Italy pays the lowest borrowing costs in recent years. But the helm is held by the ebb and flow of the dollar and the Fed alliance economic indicators
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bota mircea
The U.S. dollar has had the greatest appreciation to the European single currency this month after the indicator housing sales came above expectations. The Australian dollar fell after the investment business sector shrank the most in the last four years.
European equity markets were down after the financial reports of companies have been disappointing. U.S. stocks have been in a slight increase over estimates amid publication of the indicator housing sales. Asian capital market fared stagnant before Yellen's speech today.
WTI has risen despite rising stocks. Gold had the biggest drop in the past four weeks after home sales indicator was published more than expected. Wheat fell from the peak last two months amid speculation reduce U.S. exports.
European equity markets were down after the financial reports of companies have been disappointing. U.S. stocks have been in a slight increase over estimates amid publication of the indicator housing sales. Asian capital market fared stagnant before Yellen's speech today.
WTI has risen despite rising stocks. Gold had the biggest drop in the past four weeks after home sales indicator was published more than expected. Wheat fell from the peak last two months amid speculation reduce U.S. exports.
· 1
bota mircea
25.02.2014 trading results:
AGGRESSIVE TRADING: +3.27%; +85 pips; +17.05 usd
HEDGING EURUSD: 0
REAL TRADING: +1.44%; +69 pips; +16.92 usd
For subscribing follow: http://en.forex-signals.ro/performanta/
"one pip can change your day"
AGGRESSIVE TRADING: +3.27%; +85 pips; +17.05 usd
HEDGING EURUSD: 0
REAL TRADING: +1.44%; +69 pips; +16.92 usd
For subscribing follow: http://en.forex-signals.ro/performanta/
"one pip can change your day"
bota mircea
EU forecasts 1.2 % GDP in 2014
Recent EU forecasts are more optimistic , ignoring PMI
The European Commission has published revised forecasts for 2014 saw an increase of 1.2% for GDP , 0.1 points above the previous estimate . In 2015 growth will accelerate to 1.8% , but below the U.S. rate , estimated at 3.2%. 2014 would shine for Latvia and Lithuania (4.2 % and 3.5%) while France and Italy will mope to 1% or 0.6 % . Germany, with a jump of 1.8% would be exceeded by Romania , which is expected to grow by 2.3%. Inflation will not return to the ECB target even in 2015 , with 0.7 lagging and unemployment will fall slowly to 11.7% over 2 years. Favorable estimates Euro area GDP can be taken as an argument traders to enter in favor of the Euro , although it delimits the PMI index for February series describing the risk of contraction France and shows a brake on the industry and service area euro . Markets are oriented in the sense EURUSD trend prior published forecasts , and thus facilitate the mission buyers .
In Italy the young premier Renzi has the opportunity to demonstrate whether related hopes his appointment will be translated into an outworking of structural reforms painful but necessary . By the fact, investors are willing to give him confidence , as shown in government bonds interest rate on 10-year 3.63 % , lower compared to the peak massive sovereign crisis , and also the performance of the Euro .
Recent EU forecasts are more optimistic , ignoring PMI
The European Commission has published revised forecasts for 2014 saw an increase of 1.2% for GDP , 0.1 points above the previous estimate . In 2015 growth will accelerate to 1.8% , but below the U.S. rate , estimated at 3.2%. 2014 would shine for Latvia and Lithuania (4.2 % and 3.5%) while France and Italy will mope to 1% or 0.6 % . Germany, with a jump of 1.8% would be exceeded by Romania , which is expected to grow by 2.3%. Inflation will not return to the ECB target even in 2015 , with 0.7 lagging and unemployment will fall slowly to 11.7% over 2 years. Favorable estimates Euro area GDP can be taken as an argument traders to enter in favor of the Euro , although it delimits the PMI index for February series describing the risk of contraction France and shows a brake on the industry and service area euro . Markets are oriented in the sense EURUSD trend prior published forecasts , and thus facilitate the mission buyers .
In Italy the young premier Renzi has the opportunity to demonstrate whether related hopes his appointment will be translated into an outworking of structural reforms painful but necessary . By the fact, investors are willing to give him confidence , as shown in government bonds interest rate on 10-year 3.63 % , lower compared to the peak massive sovereign crisis , and also the performance of the Euro .
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