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Hasanboy Beknazarov
Hello to my clients, please allow me to present my new MT4 indicator to you. I hope you will decide to backtest the demo version: https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/180940?source=Site+Market+Product+Page
· 1
Hasanboy Beknazarov
Hello to my clients, please allow me to present my new MT5 indicator to you. I hope you will decide to backtest the demo version: https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/179422?source=Site+Market+MT5+Indicator+New+Rating007#
· 1
Hasanboy Beknazarov
Predicting Future Prices on the Forex Chart
This is the closest and most painful topic for traders 🙂
📊 Research (Trader Statistics)
70–90% of retail traders lose money
The main reason is not lack of accuracy, but poor risk management
📈 Realistic Forecast Accuracy
Basic technical analysis: 45–50%
Combined approach
(trend + session + volatility): 52–58%
Professional systems
(algorithms + risk control): 55–65%
High-frequency / institutional trading: 60–70%
(but this is inaccessible to retail traders)
🎯 Very Important Point
In Forex, 60% accuracy is considered extremely high.
🧠 Mathematical Reality
If:
Win rate = 55%
Risk/Reward = 1:2
👉 You will be consistently profitable in the long run.
🎲 What does 50% mean?
50% is a coin toss
Up ↕ down
No edge at all
🎯 What does 55% mean?
55% is an edge
It may look small, but mathematically it makes a huge difference
📊 Example
1,000 trades
55% wins → 550 wins / 450 losses
If:
Loss = 1R
Win = 2R
Result:
Profit = (550 × 2) − (450 × 1) = +650R
👉 Conclusion
This is the real secret of professional trading:
not chasing accuracy, but edge + risk management.
This is the closest and most painful topic for traders 🙂
📊 Research (Trader Statistics)
70–90% of retail traders lose money
The main reason is not lack of accuracy, but poor risk management
📈 Realistic Forecast Accuracy
Basic technical analysis: 45–50%
Combined approach
(trend + session + volatility): 52–58%
Professional systems
(algorithms + risk control): 55–65%
High-frequency / institutional trading: 60–70%
(but this is inaccessible to retail traders)
🎯 Very Important Point
In Forex, 60% accuracy is considered extremely high.
🧠 Mathematical Reality
If:
Win rate = 55%
Risk/Reward = 1:2
👉 You will be consistently profitable in the long run.
🎲 What does 50% mean?
50% is a coin toss
Up ↕ down
No edge at all
🎯 What does 55% mean?
55% is an edge
It may look small, but mathematically it makes a huge difference
📊 Example
1,000 trades
55% wins → 550 wins / 450 losses
If:
Loss = 1R
Win = 2R
Result:
Profit = (550 × 2) − (450 × 1) = +650R
👉 Conclusion
This is the real secret of professional trading:
not chasing accuracy, but edge + risk management.
· 2
Silviu Madalin Clapa
As I mentioned last time, I didn’t find many attractive investment opportunities in October, so I decided to stick with the positions I had already opened back in September. I don’t like opening risky trades just for the sake of being active. I’d rather wait patiently for high-quality opportunities.
For October, Harmony Biosciences ($HRMY) turned out quite well. Although the position spent a good part of the month in the red, with a maximum drawdown of only 4.2%, investors finally did what they were supposed to on October 23rd and 24th ... they started buying. That pushed the stock up and gave us a nice 6.6% profit in the end ... not bad if you ask me.
ome months are better than others while others are not, that’s just how the market works. What truly matters is that, when we tally things up, we’re in the green.
On November 4th, we’ll have the Earnings Date, and we’ll decide our next move then. For now, I’m scanning the horizon for new opportunities. The October profit has been withdrawn. See you at the end of next month. Good luck!
https://www.mql5.com/en/signals/2318239
For October, Harmony Biosciences ($HRMY) turned out quite well. Although the position spent a good part of the month in the red, with a maximum drawdown of only 4.2%, investors finally did what they were supposed to on October 23rd and 24th ... they started buying. That pushed the stock up and gave us a nice 6.6% profit in the end ... not bad if you ask me.
ome months are better than others while others are not, that’s just how the market works. What truly matters is that, when we tally things up, we’re in the green.
On November 4th, we’ll have the Earnings Date, and we’ll decide our next move then. For now, I’m scanning the horizon for new opportunities. The October profit has been withdrawn. See you at the end of next month. Good luck!
https://www.mql5.com/en/signals/2318239
Silviu Madalin Clapa
As I mentioned last time, for September I already had a few companies on my radar to invest in. These were BRZE with a profit of over 18%, PYPL with just a little over 6%, and a small position in HRMY. The last one was taken just to be there, since I need more trades to make this signal visible on the MQL5 public lists. That’s the reason I entered HRMY. We now have 3 months of activity and only 9 trades, and because of the maximum deposit load (I believe), this signal has a low rating and is not available in the showcase or the MetaTrader terminal. I want to repeat: on CFDs I use a leverage of 1:5. If you copy me with a leverage of, for example, 1:500, your maximum deposit load will be 100 times smaller, but this is irrelevant — I don’t open too many trades anyway. For this month we achieved more than 26% profit (6% above my maximum target) with a maximum drawdown under 2%! For October I already have a small trade running, but I think that will be it. I can’t find any other opportunities for now — we’ll see. The profit for September has been withdrawn. See you at the end of next month. Good luck!
https://www.mql5.com/en/signals/2318239
https://www.mql5.com/en/signals/2318239
Silviu Madalin Clapa
https://www.mql5.com/en/signals/2318239
Vacation is over, summer is almost finished, but we’re just getting started! We closed August with a profit slightly above 13%, despite having to exit one of our trades — specifically $DIS — in order to avoid paying unnecessary swaps. $DIS still has a high probability of growth going forward, its financial results are solid, but investors remain dissatisfied and reluctant to buy the company’s shares. We, however, will keep monitoring and stay ready for what happens next. On the other hand, $ATRC delivered a fantastic result of over 14%, together with $OKTA and $AMZN. As you can see, we don’t need to open dozens of trades daily when just 3–4 trades per month can bring profit. If you worry about overnight swaps, think about how much spread you pay when opening dozens of trades. What I don’t understand is why the Drawdown increased from 4.1% to 6.8%, since, if you look at the chart, you’ll notice that in August the drawdown never went higher than 1%. That means 4.1% should still be the maximum reached! Anyway… we’re stepping into September and I already have a few companies on my radar. Ready for a new adventure? Let’s go! The profit for August has been withdrawn!
Vacation is over, summer is almost finished, but we’re just getting started! We closed August with a profit slightly above 13%, despite having to exit one of our trades — specifically $DIS — in order to avoid paying unnecessary swaps. $DIS still has a high probability of growth going forward, its financial results are solid, but investors remain dissatisfied and reluctant to buy the company’s shares. We, however, will keep monitoring and stay ready for what happens next. On the other hand, $ATRC delivered a fantastic result of over 14%, together with $OKTA and $AMZN. As you can see, we don’t need to open dozens of trades daily when just 3–4 trades per month can bring profit. If you worry about overnight swaps, think about how much spread you pay when opening dozens of trades. What I don’t understand is why the Drawdown increased from 4.1% to 6.8%, since, if you look at the chart, you’ll notice that in August the drawdown never went higher than 1%. That means 4.1% should still be the maximum reached! Anyway… we’re stepping into September and I already have a few companies on my radar. Ready for a new adventure? Let’s go! The profit for August has been withdrawn!
Silviu Madalin Clapa
https://www.mql5.com/en/signals/2318239
We completed the first month of this service with a wonderful 17% profit from just two solid trades on CFDs of two major companies I’ve been following for a long time — and will continue to follow (HAL and NVDA). For August, we already have two more trades in progress, from which I estimate a profit of at least 10%, and who knows, maybe we’ll spot another opportunity before the end of the month to add another 5%, but I’m not making any promises. The maximum DD for this month was only 4.1% :) Please note that my avg. holding time for my positions is huge, so you will need patience. Don't forget to save this signal to your favorites and come back from time to time to check it. Remember! I am not a daytrader!!! See you at the end of next month. Good luck!
We completed the first month of this service with a wonderful 17% profit from just two solid trades on CFDs of two major companies I’ve been following for a long time — and will continue to follow (HAL and NVDA). For August, we already have two more trades in progress, from which I estimate a profit of at least 10%, and who knows, maybe we’ll spot another opportunity before the end of the month to add another 5%, but I’m not making any promises. The maximum DD for this month was only 4.1% :) Please note that my avg. holding time for my positions is huge, so you will need patience. Don't forget to save this signal to your favorites and come back from time to time to check it. Remember! I am not a daytrader!!! See you at the end of next month. Good luck!