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Jiming Huang

The sharp rise in crypto-currency valuations in recent months is a speculative bubble, says UBS Chief Investment Office (CIO). Over the last 25 years, more central banks have become politically independent. Over the past 25 years, inflation has been brought under control...
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Jiming Huang

Why is inflation low? The best argument is that independent central banks (run by economists) are good at their job. Over the last 25 years, more central banks have become politically independent. Over the past 25 years, inflation has been brought under control...
Jiming Huang

The Ottawa round of NAFTA negotiation have turned nasty. The first causality has been the driving ethos of globalizations and cooperation, replaced with strong protectionist bias. In this negative environment, missteps were bound to occur...
Jiming Huang

(13 OCTOBER 2017)DAILY MARKET BRIEF 2:Brexit negotiations: Tensions are coming back
13 October 2017, 14:16
Brexit Negotiations are back into centre stage. The EU 27 Leaders are meeting today in Brussels to discuss about the further trade agreement with the UK. This promises to be intense as 27 Countries that must agree seems like a very difficult task...
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Jiming Huang

(13 OCTOBER 2017)DAILY MARKET BRIEF 1:Distortion in CPI data expected
13 October 2017, 14:15
The US dollar has reversed gains as investors’ confidence in Trump’s tax reform fell again. After sliding as much as 1.50% since the beginning of the week, the dollar index consolidated slightly above 93 on Friday morning...
Jiming Huang

(12 OCTOBER 2017)DAILY MARKET BRIEF 2:Will EUR/CHF finally break the 1.20 threshold?
12 October 2017, 13:28
There is scant chance that the Euro will breach CHF 1.20 before the European Central Bank meeting on monetary policy of 14 December, but after that? A crawl-back to 1.20 – which the Swiss National Bank held as a floor until in early 2015 it let the franc float – could be on the cards...
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Jiming Huang

(12 OCTOBER 2017)DAILY MARKET BRIEF 1:OPEC reports see oil below $55 next year
12 October 2017, 13:26
Oil-exporters’ cartel OPEC has released its outlook for crude to trade at US$55 per barrel in 2018, about 4% higher than its current ‘reference basket’ price. We are not so sure...
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Jiming Huang

What was expected to have been a bold declaration of independence turned out to be a weak statement. Catalan’s President Puigdemont held back from a total declaration of independence merely stated that he had the right to do so...
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Jiming Huang

(11 OCTOBER 2017)DAILY MARKET BRIEF 1:USD edges lower ahead of FOMC minutes
11 October 2017, 13:37
The week has been pretty light in term of economic data so far. Today is different as the minutes of the September FOMC meeting are due for release later today...
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Jiming Huang

(10 OCTOBER 2017)DAILY MARKET BRIEF 3:Silver: Institutional investors are bullish
10 October 2017, 13:29
Silver has strongly bounced back since the start of October and is back above 17$. The precious metal has been very volatile lately. The price of precious metals such as Gold and Silver have been weighed down by the number of “paper” contracts banks have used and abused over the last decade...
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Jiming Huang

We suspect the markets is underestimating the risk involved with the Catalonia independence movements. EURUSD 1 month implied volatility continue to decline despite potential event risk. Markets generally price the most obviously path of events...
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Jiming Huang

(10 OCTOBER 2017)DAILY MARKET BRIEF 1:USD suffers hangover after holiday
10 October 2017, 13:26
After experiencing a solid recovery in the second half of September the US dollar reversed gains, partially at least, and started the week on the back foot. The dollar index traded as low as 93.43 before inching up to 93.54 in late Asian session...
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Jiming Huang

(09 OCTOBER 2017)DAILY MARKET BRIEF 2:AUD’s stabilisation may be temporary
9 October 2017, 13:59
The Australian dollar held steady on Monday morning after tumbling more than 1% against the US dollar last week. The release of disappointing local economic data together with improving US ones, encouraged investors to unwind long AUD position...
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Jiming Huang

Tensions are growing between the United States and Turkey. Last night, both countries have suspended part of their visa services. Indeed, an employee of the US embassy has been arrested on charges of espionage at Istanbul...
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Jiming Huang

Bullish pressures within uptrend channel. (By Yann Quelenn) • Bitcoin is definitely on a strong momentum. Strong support is given at 2975 (22/08/2017 low). Sell walls around $4000 have been broken. Key...
Jiming Huang

(09 OCTOBER 2017)CRUDE OIL (in USD):Strong downside risk.
9 October 2017, 13:55
Strong downside risk. (By Yann Quelenn) • Crude oil is bouncing lower below the $50 level. Key support is given at 45.40 (17/08/2017 high). Strong resistance lies at 52.86...
Jiming Huang

Strong volatility. (By Yann Quelenn) • Silver is trading mixed. Hourly resistance is given at 16.99 (intraday high) while hourly support can be found at 16.33 (06/10/2017 low...
Jiming Huang

Volatility increases (By Yann Quelenn) • Gold has bounced back above broken hourly support given at 1267 (15/08/2017 low). Hourly resistance is located at 1290 (29/09/2016 high...
Jiming Huang

Riding short-term uptrend. (By Yann Quelenn) • EUR/CHF is trading into a new short-term trend. Yet momentum is not "that" strong at the moment. Strong resistance lies at a distance at...
Jiming Huang

Strong bullish momentum. (By Yann Quelenn) • EUR/GBP is trading higher. The pair has broken the resistance at 0.8899 (19/09/2017 low). The very short-term technical structure is now...
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