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특히 주가 지수, 합성 및 원자재를 다루는 CFDS에서 4년 이상의 입증된 경험을 가진 CFDS 딜러 및 시장 기술자. 기술 및 기본 분석에 대한 전문 지식. 내 전략은 가격 행동이 혼합된 스캘핑에 중점을 둡니다. 정확성과 속도는 거래 선택, 실행 및 마감에서 가장 중요합니다.
구독한 시그널마다 리뷰를 남겨주세요! 그라시아스.
구독한 시그널마다 리뷰를 남겨주세요! 그라시아스.
Nobert Barigye Kiiza
Stock futures tick higher ahead of a fresh batch of economic data
U.S. equity futures rose slightly Thursday as investors looked ahead to several economic reports scheduled to come out in the morning.
Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 68 points, or 0.2%. S&P 500 futures advanced 0.2%, and Nasdaq 100 futures gained about 0.1%.
Retail sales, import prices and jobless claims, as well as the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing survey and the Empire State manufacturing survey are all slated for release at 8:30 a.m. ET. Those reports will come after Wednesday’s producer price index report showed an decrease in wholesale prices of 0.1% in August.
Wall Street is coming off a choppy session in which the major averages posted modest gains. The Dow on Wednesday closed slightly higher, by 30 points, after falling more than 200 points at one point. The S&P 500 rose 0.3%, and the Nasdaq Composite advanced 0.7%.
Stocks sought stability after a hotter-than-expected inflation report on Tuesday sent them tumbling to post their worst day since 2020. August’s consumer price index report showed headline inflation rose 0.1% on a monthly basis, despite a drop in gas prices.
Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 68 points, or 0.2%. S&P 500 futures advanced 0.2%, and Nasdaq 100 futures gained about 0.1%.
Retail sales, import prices and jobless claims, as well as the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing survey and the Empire State manufacturing survey are all slated for release at 8:30 a.m. ET. Those reports will come after Wednesday’s producer price index report showed an decrease in wholesale prices of 0.1% in August.
“One-day events are tough to extrapolate,” said Jeff deGraaf, founder and chairman of Renaissance Macro Research, on CNBC’s “Closing Bell: Overtime.” “It is one of those extreme events that doesn’t have follow-through and that tends to be good news, not bad.”
“Inflation is really a dark cloud over equities, but I think it’s really important that people keep in mind that it’s not about good and bad in the markets, it’s about better and worse,” he added, “and it does appear that inflation is getting better.
U.S. equity futures rose slightly Thursday as investors looked ahead to several economic reports scheduled to come out in the morning.
Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 68 points, or 0.2%. S&P 500 futures advanced 0.2%, and Nasdaq 100 futures gained about 0.1%.
Retail sales, import prices and jobless claims, as well as the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing survey and the Empire State manufacturing survey are all slated for release at 8:30 a.m. ET. Those reports will come after Wednesday’s producer price index report showed an decrease in wholesale prices of 0.1% in August.
Wall Street is coming off a choppy session in which the major averages posted modest gains. The Dow on Wednesday closed slightly higher, by 30 points, after falling more than 200 points at one point. The S&P 500 rose 0.3%, and the Nasdaq Composite advanced 0.7%.
Stocks sought stability after a hotter-than-expected inflation report on Tuesday sent them tumbling to post their worst day since 2020. August’s consumer price index report showed headline inflation rose 0.1% on a monthly basis, despite a drop in gas prices.
Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 68 points, or 0.2%. S&P 500 futures advanced 0.2%, and Nasdaq 100 futures gained about 0.1%.
Retail sales, import prices and jobless claims, as well as the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing survey and the Empire State manufacturing survey are all slated for release at 8:30 a.m. ET. Those reports will come after Wednesday’s producer price index report showed an decrease in wholesale prices of 0.1% in August.
“One-day events are tough to extrapolate,” said Jeff deGraaf, founder and chairman of Renaissance Macro Research, on CNBC’s “Closing Bell: Overtime.” “It is one of those extreme events that doesn’t have follow-through and that tends to be good news, not bad.”
“Inflation is really a dark cloud over equities, but I think it’s really important that people keep in mind that it’s not about good and bad in the markets, it’s about better and worse,” he added, “and it does appear that inflation is getting better.
Nobert Barigye Kiiza
US100 latest analysis
Key levels are:
13175
11075
We can expect the September CPI reading to show us where the index is headed. In the interim, we shall see the pair likely retest to the downside the 11057 level.
Key levels are:
13175
11075
We can expect the September CPI reading to show us where the index is headed. In the interim, we shall see the pair likely retest to the downside the 11057 level.
Nobert Barigye Kiiza
Fed rate hikes won’t bring down inflation as long as government spending stays high, paper says
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell proclaimed Friday that the central bank has an “unconditional” responsibility to ease inflation and expressed confidence that it will “get the job done.”
But a paper released at the same Jackson Hole, Wyoming, summit where Powell spoke suggests policymakers can’t do the job by themselves and actually could make matters worse with aggressive interest rate increases.
In the current case, inflation is being driven largely by fiscal spending in response to the Covid crisis, and simply raising interest rates won’t be enough to bring it back down, researchers Francesco Bianchi of Johns Hopkins University and Leonardo Melosi of the Chicago Fed wrote in a white paper released Saturday morning.
“The recent fiscal interventions in response to the Covid pandemic have altered the private sector’s beliefs about the fiscal framework, accelerating the recovery but also determining an increase in fiscal inflation,” the authors said. “This increase in inflation could not have been averted by simply tightening monetary policy.”
The Fed, then, can bring down inflation “only when public debt can be successfully stabilized by credible future fiscal plans,” they added. The paper suggests that without constraints in fiscal spending, rate hikes will make the cost of debt more expensive and drive inflation expectations higher.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell proclaimed Friday that the central bank has an “unconditional” responsibility to ease inflation and expressed confidence that it will “get the job done.”
But a paper released at the same Jackson Hole, Wyoming, summit where Powell spoke suggests policymakers can’t do the job by themselves and actually could make matters worse with aggressive interest rate increases.
In the current case, inflation is being driven largely by fiscal spending in response to the Covid crisis, and simply raising interest rates won’t be enough to bring it back down, researchers Francesco Bianchi of Johns Hopkins University and Leonardo Melosi of the Chicago Fed wrote in a white paper released Saturday morning.
“The recent fiscal interventions in response to the Covid pandemic have altered the private sector’s beliefs about the fiscal framework, accelerating the recovery but also determining an increase in fiscal inflation,” the authors said. “This increase in inflation could not have been averted by simply tightening monetary policy.”
The Fed, then, can bring down inflation “only when public debt can be successfully stabilized by credible future fiscal plans,” they added. The paper suggests that without constraints in fiscal spending, rate hikes will make the cost of debt more expensive and drive inflation expectations higher.
Nobert Barigye Kiiza
Risk of ‘financial accident’ presents opportunity for investors, strategist says
The growing risk of a “major financial accident” that causes a market capitulation later in the year could open up opportunities for investors to “pile up on quality risk assets,” according to Beat Wittman, chairman and partner at Zurich-based Porta Advisors.
With risks from inflation and an economic slowdown mounting and central banks treading an increasingly narrow monetary policy path, Wittman characterized the global economy as “stuck in a perfect storm environment of supply chain frictions, contracting final demand, high inflation, rising interest rates, falling corporate earnings and a potential financial accident.”
He said there is a danger that a “weak link” in the financial system breaks and investors flee en masse, providing investable bottoms for shrewd investors.
“The list of weak-links candidates is rather long and includes zombie-type European universal banks, LBO [leveraged buyout] financed corporates, over-leveraged shadow banking players and over-indebted emerging market sovereigns,” he said in a research note.
“We should not underestimate that interest rates have risen significantly in the last six to nine months and higher interest rates are eating through the economic system, and having an impact of course on business confidence, on consumer confidence, and on anyone who has a leveraged exposure to those interest rates and not enough revenue, topline or simply a cushion in terms of cash or reserves,” he told CNBC’s “Squawk Box Europe” on Monday.
The growing risk of a “major financial accident” that causes a market capitulation later in the year could open up opportunities for investors to “pile up on quality risk assets,” according to Beat Wittman, chairman and partner at Zurich-based Porta Advisors.
With risks from inflation and an economic slowdown mounting and central banks treading an increasingly narrow monetary policy path, Wittman characterized the global economy as “stuck in a perfect storm environment of supply chain frictions, contracting final demand, high inflation, rising interest rates, falling corporate earnings and a potential financial accident.”
He said there is a danger that a “weak link” in the financial system breaks and investors flee en masse, providing investable bottoms for shrewd investors.
“The list of weak-links candidates is rather long and includes zombie-type European universal banks, LBO [leveraged buyout] financed corporates, over-leveraged shadow banking players and over-indebted emerging market sovereigns,” he said in a research note.
“We should not underestimate that interest rates have risen significantly in the last six to nine months and higher interest rates are eating through the economic system, and having an impact of course on business confidence, on consumer confidence, and on anyone who has a leveraged exposure to those interest rates and not enough revenue, topline or simply a cushion in terms of cash or reserves,” he told CNBC’s “Squawk Box Europe” on Monday.
Nobert Barigye Kiiza
A Kremlin official said that IAEA access to the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant may be granted in the “first days of September.”
“It’s too early to say anything about the details, these are all extremely sensitive issues,” said Mikhail Ulyanov of Russia’s foreign ministry, according to an NBC News translation of a TASS report.
“Forecasts do not always come true, but, according to my feelings, we can quite realistically talk about the first days of September, unless some extraneous factors that are not related to the goals arise again and objectives of the IAEA visit,” Ulyanov added.
For months, Western governments have pressed Russia to allow IAEA inspectors access to the occupied nuclear power plant facility.
“It’s too early to say anything about the details, these are all extremely sensitive issues,” said Mikhail Ulyanov of Russia’s foreign ministry, according to an NBC News translation of a TASS report.
“Forecasts do not always come true, but, according to my feelings, we can quite realistically talk about the first days of September, unless some extraneous factors that are not related to the goals arise again and objectives of the IAEA visit,” Ulyanov added.
For months, Western governments have pressed Russia to allow IAEA inspectors access to the occupied nuclear power plant facility.
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Nobert Barigye Kiiza
Chinese President Xi Jinping and his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin are set to attend the G-20 summit in Bali, Indonesia, this November, according to Reuters.
Officials from numerous countries and institutions continue to sound the alarm over the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant in southern Ukraine, which has been occupied by Russian troops since the start of the war. Shelling has intensified around the plant, which Ukraine says has been used by Russia to store ammunition and military equipment. Russia says that Ukraine is shelling the plant.
The international community is increasingly worried about the risk of a catastrophe at the plant, which is Europe’s largest of its kind.
Officials from numerous countries and institutions continue to sound the alarm over the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant in southern Ukraine, which has been occupied by Russian troops since the start of the war. Shelling has intensified around the plant, which Ukraine says has been used by Russia to store ammunition and military equipment. Russia says that Ukraine is shelling the plant.
The international community is increasingly worried about the risk of a catastrophe at the plant, which is Europe’s largest of its kind.
Nobert Barigye Kiiza
The Bank of England on Thursday defended its decision to hike interest rates at the fastest clip in 27 years, saying the U.K. faces a “very big” shock to inflation.
Governor Andrew Bailey told CNBC that the risks of high inflation becoming persistent had risen since the Bank’s previous meeting in June, prompting it to take “stronger action.”
The BOE raised interest rates 50 basis points Thursday, taking borrowing costs to 1.75% in an ongoing bid to curb soaring inflation.
LONDON — The Bank of England on Thursday defended its decision to hike interest rates at the fastest clip in 27 years, saying the U.K. faces a “very big” shock to inflation.
BOE Governor Andrew Bailey said that the risks of high inflation becoming persistent had risen since the Bank’s previous meeting in June, prompting it to take “stronger action.”
“We’re facing a very big shock to inflation,” Bailey told CNBC’s Joumanna Bercetche. “Our action today was very, very clearly [that] we feel we’ve got to take stronger action.”
The BOE on Thursday raised interest rates by 50 basis points, taking borrowing costs to 1.75% in an ongoing bid to curb soaring inflation.
It also issued a dire outlook for U.K. economic growth, predicting that the country will enter recession from the fourth quarter of 2022, with the downturn expected to last for five quarters.
Governor Andrew Bailey told CNBC that the risks of high inflation becoming persistent had risen since the Bank’s previous meeting in June, prompting it to take “stronger action.”
The BOE raised interest rates 50 basis points Thursday, taking borrowing costs to 1.75% in an ongoing bid to curb soaring inflation.
LONDON — The Bank of England on Thursday defended its decision to hike interest rates at the fastest clip in 27 years, saying the U.K. faces a “very big” shock to inflation.
BOE Governor Andrew Bailey said that the risks of high inflation becoming persistent had risen since the Bank’s previous meeting in June, prompting it to take “stronger action.”
“We’re facing a very big shock to inflation,” Bailey told CNBC’s Joumanna Bercetche. “Our action today was very, very clearly [that] we feel we’ve got to take stronger action.”
The BOE on Thursday raised interest rates by 50 basis points, taking borrowing costs to 1.75% in an ongoing bid to curb soaring inflation.
It also issued a dire outlook for U.K. economic growth, predicting that the country will enter recession from the fourth quarter of 2022, with the downturn expected to last for five quarters.
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