Tomoaki Ishizaki
Tomoaki Ishizaki
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Hello,Best Traders. I'm not good at English, so I use Google Translate. Sorry if it's unnatural.

FOREX allows individuals to come up with and implement a variety of unique strategies and ideas, and if successful, they can earn big rewards.
It's like a huge online game with a high degree of freedom and is very attractive.

Register my trading system in MQL5, where only real trading accounts can be registered as paid signal distributors.
I hope that it will become a "profile that will be recognized as a pure trader''.

Let's enjoy FOREX and be successful😊

【 WORKS 】
・RUTEN (流転)MT4
https://www.mql5.com/en/signals/2222937
Tomoaki Ishizaki
Tomoaki Ishizaki
Even if the profit factor is high, it is difficult to increase the balance if the number of transactions is small.
Tomoaki Ishizaki
Tomoaki Ishizaki
Probability denominator = 1/winning rate
Required number of times = probability denominator x 300

Based on the above formula, if the winning rate of the tested trading method is 60%,
1÷0.6=1.66
1.66×300=500 times

This means that a trading method with a 60% win rate requires a sample of 500 trades to be reliable.
Tomoaki Ishizaki
Tomoaki Ishizaki
確立分母=1/勝率
必要な回数=確立分母×300

以上の公式を踏まえて、検証したトレード手法の勝率が60%の場合、
1÷0.6=1.66
1.66×300=500回

勝率60%のトレード手法が信頼できるものであるためには、500回のトレードサンプルが必要ということになります。
Tomoaki Ishizaki
Tomoaki Ishizaki
統計学的に検証に必要なトレード回数は、確立分母の300倍と言われています。
The number of trades required for statistical verification is 300 times the probability denominator.

Confidence_interval
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Confidence_interval
Tomoaki Ishizaki
Tomoaki Ishizaki
FX業界の人種マップとその特徴
https://fxantenna.com/post-5004/
Tomoaki Ishizaki
Tomoaki Ishizaki
Assuming that the risk/reward is 1, the latter is better than a signal with an 80% win rate that occurs only 5 times a month and a signal with a 60% win rate that occurs 20 times.
Moreover, in the case of the former, the sample is too small, so there is a high possibility that the winning rate will decrease with each trade.
Tomoaki Ishizaki
Registrato sulla MQL5.community