I have an existing working MQL5 Expert Advisor and require an experienced MQL5 programmer/trading-system analyst to independently analyse its historical performance.
This is NOT initially a request to rewrite the EA or simply optimize parameters.
Current strategy:
- MetaTrader 5
- M15 timeframe
- EMA / ADX / ATR based
- Approximately 1,337 historical trades
- Gross Profit approximately USD 271,000
- Gross Loss approximately USD 253,000
- Net Profit approximately USD 18,000
- Profit Factor approximately 1.07
I will provide:
1. Full MQL5 source code (.mq5)
2. Diagnostic CSV containing approximately 1,336 completed trades
3. MT5 Strategy Tester report
OBJECTIVE:
Identify WHY Gross Loss is almost as large as Gross Profit and determine whether robust filters or improvements can substantially reduce losing trades WITHOUT destroying Gross Profit or reducing trading frequency excessively.
I would ideally like approximately 2–3 quality trades per trading day.
Please investigate, among other relevant factors:
- ADX level and direction
- ATR / volatility regime
- EMA behaviour, alignment and separation
- Trend maturity / late entries
- Repeated entries
- Market/session conditions
- Characteristics of winning versus losing trades
- Any statistically significant pattern that can distinguish poor entries from better entries
IMPORTANT:
Do NOT simply perform parameter optimization to find the best historical settings.
I am specifically trying to avoid curve fitting / overfitting.
Any proposed filter or modification should be evaluated by showing:
- Number of trades retained
- Gross Profit retained
- Gross Loss eliminated/reduced
- Net Profit
- Profit Factor
- Maximum Drawdown
- Performance consistency across different periods
Please first provide your independent diagnosis and recommended changes.
After reviewing the analysis, I may award a second job to modify the MQL5 EA and perform further testing.
Please quote a FIXED PRICE for the initial analysis.
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