Ahmad Ar Abedalaziz Alazaizeh
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2 années
expérience
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7
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2
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1
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We offer comprehensive trading and investment solutions, including technical analysis, risk management, and strategy programming.
Ahmad Ar Abedalaziz Alazaizeh
📊 XAUUSD – 1W SUMMARY
💰 Price: 4,156.39 (-1.25%)
📉 Structure: Corrective pullback from recent highs (5,602). Price holding above key support zone near 4,000–4,250.
📍 Key Support: 4,000–4,250 (previous structure breakout area)
🎯 Targets: 4,500 → 5,000 → 5,250
🛑 Stop Loss: Below 3,900
📌 Plan: Look for bullish reversal confirmation. Holding above 4,000 keeps upside scenario valid.
💰 Price: 4,156.39 (-1.25%)
📉 Structure: Corrective pullback from recent highs (5,602). Price holding above key support zone near 4,000–4,250.
📍 Key Support: 4,000–4,250 (previous structure breakout area)
🎯 Targets: 4,500 → 5,000 → 5,250
🛑 Stop Loss: Below 3,900
📌 Plan: Look for bullish reversal confirmation. Holding above 4,000 keeps upside scenario valid.
Ahmad Ar Abedalaziz Alazaizeh
📉 XAGUSD – 1D UPDATE
Current Price: 65.10760 (-0.93%)
🧠 Wave Structure:
We are tracking a complex corrective triple-three (W-X-Y-X-Z) on the 1H timeframe.
This is NOT a simple impulse – it's a highly overlapping, sideways-to-down structure typical of deep corrections before a larger move.
🔍 Key Observation:
Price has now reached a major demand zone near the 65.00–64.00 area, which aligns with:
78.6%–88.6% Fibonacci retracement of the prior rally
Multiple historical support levels
Oversold conditions on lower timeframes
Current Price: 65.10760 (-0.93%)
🧠 Wave Structure:
We are tracking a complex corrective triple-three (W-X-Y-X-Z) on the 1H timeframe.
This is NOT a simple impulse – it's a highly overlapping, sideways-to-down structure typical of deep corrections before a larger move.
🔍 Key Observation:
Price has now reached a major demand zone near the 65.00–64.00 area, which aligns with:
78.6%–88.6% Fibonacci retracement of the prior rally
Multiple historical support levels
Oversold conditions on lower timeframes
Ahmad Ar Abedalaziz Alazaizeh
🔁 One-Liner Summary
Gold likely retracing to $3,500 — stay in cash until a confirmed reversal signal appears.
Gold likely retracing to $3,500 — stay in cash until a confirmed reversal signal appears.
Ahmad Ar Abedalaziz Alazaizeh
🚀 SpaceX is Being Fast-Tracked into the USTECH,
In a historic move, Nasdaq changed its own rules specifically to accommodate a company of SpaceX's size. The standard waiting period for a new public company to join the USTECH can be up to a year. However, a new "fast entry" rule allows a company to be added in as little as 15 trading days, refer to the post https://t.me/alazaizeh/9476
In a historic move, Nasdaq changed its own rules specifically to accommodate a company of SpaceX's size. The standard waiting period for a new public company to join the USTECH can be up to a year. However, a new "fast entry" rule allows a company to be added in as little as 15 trading days, refer to the post https://t.me/alazaizeh/9476
Ahmad Ar Abedalaziz Alazaizeh
📌 Summary:
Index at 42 (Fear) means market sentiment has cooled significantly from prior greed. Historically, extreme fear (≤25) can signal oversold conditions, but at 42, patience is still key. Wait for price to hold support and sentiment to stop falling before considering longs. refer to https://t.me/alazaizeh/9475 for full analysis
Index at 42 (Fear) means market sentiment has cooled significantly from prior greed. Historically, extreme fear (≤25) can signal oversold conditions, but at 42, patience is still key. Wait for price to hold support and sentiment to stop falling before considering longs. refer to https://t.me/alazaizeh/9475 for full analysis
Ahmad Ar Abedalaziz Alazaizeh
🔍 Overall Market Implications at 4:30pm
USD/CAD will be the most volatile pair, reacting to both US and Canadian data simultaneously.
Scenario 1 – Strong USD + Weak CAD: USD/CAD spikes higher.
Scenario 2 – Weak USD + Strong CAD: USD/CAD drops sharply.
Scenario 3 – Both strong or both weak: Direction depends on relative surprise magnitude.
⚠️ Note: The calendar you provided shows Actual, Forecast, Previous columns mostly empty for 4:30pm slots — meaning these are scheduled releases, not yet reported. The data shown in other rows (e.g., Household Spending, Leading Indicators) are already-released actuals from earlier in the day.
Would you like me to also analyze the Ivey PMI (CAD) and Consumer Credit (USD) at 5:40pm? full analysis is on https://t.me/alazaizeh/9471
USD/CAD will be the most volatile pair, reacting to both US and Canadian data simultaneously.
Scenario 1 – Strong USD + Weak CAD: USD/CAD spikes higher.
Scenario 2 – Weak USD + Strong CAD: USD/CAD drops sharply.
Scenario 3 – Both strong or both weak: Direction depends on relative surprise magnitude.
⚠️ Note: The calendar you provided shows Actual, Forecast, Previous columns mostly empty for 4:30pm slots — meaning these are scheduled releases, not yet reported. The data shown in other rows (e.g., Household Spending, Leading Indicators) are already-released actuals from earlier in the day.
Would you like me to also analyze the Ivey PMI (CAD) and Consumer Credit (USD) at 5:40pm? full analysis is on https://t.me/alazaizeh/9471
Ahmad Ar Abedalaziz Alazaizeh
✅ What does Neutral (54) mean for your daily buy signal?
Neutral is good — it means no extreme greed (which often precedes a dump)
But neutral alone is not a buy signal
You still need price action confirmation (daily close above resistance)
💡 Historically, the best buying opportunities are in Fear (20–30) or Extreme Fear ( Neutral (54) is a waiting zone — neither buy nor sell signal
🎯 Summary:
The index is normal (neutral) because fear and greed are balanced — no extreme emotion in the market. Price is range-bound, and traders are uncertain but not panicking or euphoric.
Would you like me to tell you what Fear & Greed level would confirm your daily buy signal? full analysis on https://t.me/alazaizeh/9470
Neutral is good — it means no extreme greed (which often precedes a dump)
But neutral alone is not a buy signal
You still need price action confirmation (daily close above resistance)
💡 Historically, the best buying opportunities are in Fear (20–30) or Extreme Fear ( Neutral (54) is a waiting zone — neither buy nor sell signal
🎯 Summary:
The index is normal (neutral) because fear and greed are balanced — no extreme emotion in the market. Price is range-bound, and traders are uncertain but not panicking or euphoric.
Would you like me to tell you what Fear & Greed level would confirm your daily buy signal? full analysis on https://t.me/alazaizeh/9470
Ahmad Ar Abedalaziz Alazaizeh
السعر الحالي لـ BTCUSD: ~63,942
التغير خلال 24 ساعة: -0.22%
المتوسطات المتحركة (SMA) الظاهرة:
واحد بالقرب من 72,674
آخر بالقرب من 61,841
النطاق السعري المرتفع المُشار إليه: حتى 120,000
مناطق الدعم: 47,977 و 38,542 للتحليل الكامل راجع الرابط التالي: https://t.me/alazaizeh/9469
التغير خلال 24 ساعة: -0.22%
المتوسطات المتحركة (SMA) الظاهرة:
واحد بالقرب من 72,674
آخر بالقرب من 61,841
النطاق السعري المرتفع المُشار إليه: حتى 120,000
مناطق الدعم: 47,977 و 38,542 للتحليل الكامل راجع الرابط التالي: https://t.me/alazaizeh/9469
Ahmad Ar Abedalaziz Alazaizeh
Visible chart data summary:
Current BTCUSD price: ~63,942
24h change: -0.22%
SMAs visible:
One near 72,674
Another near 61,841
Recent high range suggested: up to 120,000 target zones
Support zones: 47,977 and 38,542
Your context:
You’re waiting for a daily signal to buy — meaning you want a clear long entry based on daily timeframe conditions. refer to https://t.me/alazaizeh/9469 for full analysis
Current BTCUSD price: ~63,942
24h change: -0.22%
SMAs visible:
One near 72,674
Another near 61,841
Recent high range suggested: up to 120,000 target zones
Support zones: 47,977 and 38,542
Your context:
You’re waiting for a daily signal to buy — meaning you want a clear long entry based on daily timeframe conditions. refer to https://t.me/alazaizeh/9469 for full analysis
Ahmad Ar Abedalaziz Alazaizeh
Summary: Gold (XAUUSD) Elliott Wave Outlook
Current Price: ~$4,540 (as of the provided chart)
Recent Peak: ~$5,602
Core Technical View
An extended Elliott Wave structure suggests that gold’s recent upward move (including the last “pump” higher) may represent a terminal fifth wave. This implies a high probability of a significant downward retracement following the completion of the impulsive advance.
Key Support Zone Identified
The analysis points to a potential retracement toward the 3,250–3,750 range. This zone aligns with prior historical support levels visible on the chart (near 3,251and3,703).
Fundamental Context
The final leg higher is attributed to market pricing of an aggressive Federal Reserve rate cut. However, because the market has already priced in this factor, the risk of a reversal increases once the news is fully absorbed (“buy the rumor, sell the news”).
Key Invalidation Level
A sustained break above the recent high of $5,602 would contradict the bearish Elliott count and suggest a continuation of the uptrend instead.
👉 Message me to learn more. https://t.me/aalazaizeh
خلاصة التحليل: توقعات موجات إليوت للذهب (XAUUSD)
السعر الحالي: ~4,540 دولارًا (وفقًا للرسم البياني المرفق)
القمة الأخيرة: ~5,602 دولارًا
الرؤية الفنية الأساسية
يشير هيكل موجات إليوت الممتد إلى أن الحركة الصاعدة الأخيرة للذهب (بما في ذلك "الضخ" الأخير للأعلى) قد تمثل الموجة الخامسة النهائية. هذا يعني احتمالية كبيرة لحدوث تراجع هبوطي كبير بعد اكتمال الموجة الدافعة.
منطقة الدعم الرئيسية المحددة
يشير التحليل إلى احتمالية تراجع نحو نطاق 3,250 – 3,750 دولارًا. تتوافق هذه المنطقة مع مستويات الدعم التاريخية السابقة الظاهرة على الرسم البياني (بالقرب من 3,251 و 3,703).
السياق الأساسي (الأساسيات)
يُعزى الارتفاع في الموجة الأخيرة إلى تسعير السوق لخفض كبير في أسعار الفائدة من قبل الاحتياطي الفيدرالي. ولكن بما أن السوق قد قام بالفعل بتسعير هذا العامل، فإن خطر الانعكاس يزداد بمجرد استيعاب الخبر بالكامل ("اشتر الإشاعة، بع الخبر").
مستوى الإبطال الرئيسي
اختراق مستدام فوق القمة الأخيرة البالغة 5,602 دولارًا من شأنه أن يتعارض مع تعداد موجات إليوت الهبوطي ويشير إلى استمرار الاتجاه الصاعد بدلاً من ذلك.
راسلني لمعرفة المزيد.https://t.me/aalazaizeh
Current Price: ~$4,540 (as of the provided chart)
Recent Peak: ~$5,602
Core Technical View
An extended Elliott Wave structure suggests that gold’s recent upward move (including the last “pump” higher) may represent a terminal fifth wave. This implies a high probability of a significant downward retracement following the completion of the impulsive advance.
Key Support Zone Identified
The analysis points to a potential retracement toward the 3,250–3,750 range. This zone aligns with prior historical support levels visible on the chart (near 3,251and3,703).
Fundamental Context
The final leg higher is attributed to market pricing of an aggressive Federal Reserve rate cut. However, because the market has already priced in this factor, the risk of a reversal increases once the news is fully absorbed (“buy the rumor, sell the news”).
Key Invalidation Level
A sustained break above the recent high of $5,602 would contradict the bearish Elliott count and suggest a continuation of the uptrend instead.
👉 Message me to learn more. https://t.me/aalazaizeh
خلاصة التحليل: توقعات موجات إليوت للذهب (XAUUSD)
السعر الحالي: ~4,540 دولارًا (وفقًا للرسم البياني المرفق)
القمة الأخيرة: ~5,602 دولارًا
الرؤية الفنية الأساسية
يشير هيكل موجات إليوت الممتد إلى أن الحركة الصاعدة الأخيرة للذهب (بما في ذلك "الضخ" الأخير للأعلى) قد تمثل الموجة الخامسة النهائية. هذا يعني احتمالية كبيرة لحدوث تراجع هبوطي كبير بعد اكتمال الموجة الدافعة.
منطقة الدعم الرئيسية المحددة
يشير التحليل إلى احتمالية تراجع نحو نطاق 3,250 – 3,750 دولارًا. تتوافق هذه المنطقة مع مستويات الدعم التاريخية السابقة الظاهرة على الرسم البياني (بالقرب من 3,251 و 3,703).
السياق الأساسي (الأساسيات)
يُعزى الارتفاع في الموجة الأخيرة إلى تسعير السوق لخفض كبير في أسعار الفائدة من قبل الاحتياطي الفيدرالي. ولكن بما أن السوق قد قام بالفعل بتسعير هذا العامل، فإن خطر الانعكاس يزداد بمجرد استيعاب الخبر بالكامل ("اشتر الإشاعة، بع الخبر").
مستوى الإبطال الرئيسي
اختراق مستدام فوق القمة الأخيرة البالغة 5,602 دولارًا من شأنه أن يتعارض مع تعداد موجات إليوت الهبوطي ويشير إلى استمرار الاتجاه الصاعد بدلاً من ذلك.
راسلني لمعرفة المزيد.https://t.me/aalazaizeh
Ahmad Ar Abedalaziz Alazaizeh
📊 Investor living in Jordan, UAE, or any Arab country?
Before you buy any stock – let me teach you how to choose strong companies at a fair price.
I provide professional analysis including:
✅ Company Quality Rating (from 1 to 10)
✅ Fair Value based on DCF model
✅ Current price and discount / premium percentage
✅ Risks that others ignore
Example from my latest analysis:
📈 ServiceNow (NOW)
🏆 Quality: 9/10
💰 Fair Value: 141.40
📉CurrentPrice:123.70
🎯 Discount: +14.3%
Full analysis is on Telegram – free.
👇 Contact me privately:
🔗 Telegram: https://t.me/aalazaizeh
Before you buy any stock – let me teach you how to choose strong companies at a fair price.
I provide professional analysis including:
✅ Company Quality Rating (from 1 to 10)
✅ Fair Value based on DCF model
✅ Current price and discount / premium percentage
✅ Risks that others ignore
Example from my latest analysis:
📈 ServiceNow (NOW)
🏆 Quality: 9/10
💰 Fair Value: 141.40
📉CurrentPrice:123.70
🎯 Discount: +14.3%
Full analysis is on Telegram – free.
👇 Contact me privately:
🔗 Telegram: https://t.me/aalazaizeh
Ahmad Ar Abedalaziz Alazaizeh
📊 مستثمر عربي في الأردن، الإمارات، أو أي دولة؟
قبل ما تشتري سهم – تعلم تختار الشركات القوية بسعر عادل.
✅ جودة الشركة (1-10)
✅ القيمة العادلة (DCF)
✅ الخصم أو العلاوة
✅ المخاطر
مثال: ServiceNow – جودة 9/10 – خصم 14.3%
📲 التحليل الكامل مجاناً على تليجرام:
https://t.me/aalazaizeh
قبل ما تشتري سهم – تعلم تختار الشركات القوية بسعر عادل.
✅ جودة الشركة (1-10)
✅ القيمة العادلة (DCF)
✅ الخصم أو العلاوة
✅ المخاطر
مثال: ServiceNow – جودة 9/10 – خصم 14.3%
📲 التحليل الكامل مجاناً على تليجرام:
https://t.me/aalazaizeh