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Niccolo Tirelli
**Easter Monday started with a bang—literally.**
Market openings yesterday came **mainly with gap ups**—nothing extreme, just **small gaps**, but enough to spark one of the **strongest bullish moves in recent days** across several currencies (on top of many others already seen).
📊 A couple of stats:
- **EUR: +1.85%**
- **GBP: +1.15%**
- **CHF: +1.92%**
These figures are **pushing and rewriting recent highs** (we’ll take a closer look at those three pairs soon).
Even more impressive? The **volume**:
📈 **Heavy and almost entirely on the buy side**,
📌 All **POCs built high**, right in the **middle of the Value Area**,
→ Meaning: **no real counter-trend pressure** waiting to kick in,
and we can **safely rule out a return to pre-Easter price levels**—at least not today.
🧭 **Counter-trend entries?** Only if you’re trying to catch exact highs—
otherwise, best to **stay out for now**.
💵 Meanwhile, the **dollar weakens further**, losing over **1.5%**, hitting a **new low at 98**.
Market openings yesterday came **mainly with gap ups**—nothing extreme, just **small gaps**, but enough to spark one of the **strongest bullish moves in recent days** across several currencies (on top of many others already seen).
📊 A couple of stats:
- **EUR: +1.85%**
- **GBP: +1.15%**
- **CHF: +1.92%**
These figures are **pushing and rewriting recent highs** (we’ll take a closer look at those three pairs soon).
Even more impressive? The **volume**:
📈 **Heavy and almost entirely on the buy side**,
📌 All **POCs built high**, right in the **middle of the Value Area**,
→ Meaning: **no real counter-trend pressure** waiting to kick in,
and we can **safely rule out a return to pre-Easter price levels**—at least not today.
🧭 **Counter-trend entries?** Only if you’re trying to catch exact highs—
otherwise, best to **stay out for now**.
💵 Meanwhile, the **dollar weakens further**, losing over **1.5%**, hitting a **new low at 98**.
Niccolo Tirelli
**But why did CAD/CHF crash (again)?**
Because when you have a **currency pair**, and the one “on top” increases by **0.9%**, while the one “on the bottom” jumps **4.2%**, the **numerical value of the pair** will inevitably be **lower than the day before**.
And, surprise surprise—what **worked in our favor yesterday**, when CHF fell and caused an **increase in the pair’s value**, has now **flipped against us**, as **everyone’s back to buying CHF**.
Let’s just hope that the **cluster of high-volume trades near the top** means many are **starting to sell** (although, aside from the last volume row, **buying still seems to dominate**).
**P.S.** During the previous **Asian session**, there wasn’t much **enthusiasm for buying CHF**, so fingers crossed that this **interest fades again now that the price is high**. 🤞
Because when you have a **currency pair**, and the one “on top” increases by **0.9%**, while the one “on the bottom” jumps **4.2%**, the **numerical value of the pair** will inevitably be **lower than the day before**.
And, surprise surprise—what **worked in our favor yesterday**, when CHF fell and caused an **increase in the pair’s value**, has now **flipped against us**, as **everyone’s back to buying CHF**.
Let’s just hope that the **cluster of high-volume trades near the top** means many are **starting to sell** (although, aside from the last volume row, **buying still seems to dominate**).
**P.S.** During the previous **Asian session**, there wasn’t much **enthusiasm for buying CHF**, so fingers crossed that this **interest fades again now that the price is high**. 🤞
Niccolo Tirelli
**Last chart check for today—and for the week.**
Maybe the markets are finally giving a bit of a break to many of us.
Personally, I’ve been able to **recover a little** from today’s **earlier damage**.
I didn’t push too hard on the **GBP drop**, but that **touch on the EMA200** pulled me in—slowly but surely.
🔹 **EUR** is still running with **high volatility**, trying every way it can to **break through the EMA50**, but so far… it keeps **bouncing back**.
🔹 Meanwhile, the **DXY is gaining strength again**, maybe **tired of being slapped around** by everything else this week.
🔹 **CHF**, maybe just because it’s **Friday**, is showing **selling volume across all price levels** touched today. Good news!
Now the real question:
💭 **I have an open position in profit—what do I do?**
Do I **close and lock it in**?
Or do I **let it ride into Monday night**, hoping it doesn’t **gap against me**… or maybe even **triples my gain**?
🎲 The choice is yours!
Maybe the markets are finally giving a bit of a break to many of us.
Personally, I’ve been able to **recover a little** from today’s **earlier damage**.
I didn’t push too hard on the **GBP drop**, but that **touch on the EMA200** pulled me in—slowly but surely.
🔹 **EUR** is still running with **high volatility**, trying every way it can to **break through the EMA50**, but so far… it keeps **bouncing back**.
🔹 Meanwhile, the **DXY is gaining strength again**, maybe **tired of being slapped around** by everything else this week.
🔹 **CHF**, maybe just because it’s **Friday**, is showing **selling volume across all price levels** touched today. Good news!
Now the real question:
💭 **I have an open position in profit—what do I do?**
Do I **close and lock it in**?
Or do I **let it ride into Monday night**, hoping it doesn’t **gap against me**… or maybe even **triples my gain**?
🎲 The choice is yours!
Niccolo Tirelli
**MIRROR UPDATE:** All trades have been manually closed.
**Mirror 2 on GBPUSD** took the biggest hit, basically **giving back all the profit gained so far**.
I also noticed an issue that I need to fix:
Currently, positions open **as long as the conditions are maintained**, but in a situation like this—with such **strong trend momentum**—the system becomes **too vulnerable**, because it ends up opening **too many trades**, which would normally be spaced out more in time.
💰 In terms of budget, we’re **basically back to square one**.
Now that both EAs are flat, I can calmly study this new issue and plan the comeback.
📌 In any case, I’ll say it again: **everything should have been shut down today… even last night**, considering the **macro context**, which was **definitely one to avoid**.
**Mirror 2 on GBPUSD** took the biggest hit, basically **giving back all the profit gained so far**.
I also noticed an issue that I need to fix:
Currently, positions open **as long as the conditions are maintained**, but in a situation like this—with such **strong trend momentum**—the system becomes **too vulnerable**, because it ends up opening **too many trades**, which would normally be spaced out more in time.
💰 In terms of budget, we’re **basically back to square one**.
Now that both EAs are flat, I can calmly study this new issue and plan the comeback.
📌 In any case, I’ll say it again: **everything should have been shut down today… even last night**, considering the **macro context**, which was **definitely one to avoid**.
Niccolo Tirelli
About the research for Mirror, i would ask to you an opinion. Please follow this link to join to my channel telegram and read the post and leave your vote --> https://t.me/tnt_info/566
Niccolo Tirelli
Novità riguardo Mirror EU TEST il segnale
**🚀 UPDATE: Version 3B – Optimized Results!** While running **additional tests** using a **different backtesting system**, I recovered a **variant (Version 3B)** that: ✅ Maintains the **same profit level** as **Version 3A** ✅ **Reduces drawdown by 20%** ✅ **Further shortens trade durations**, now averaging **under 2 hours** on paper 📌 **Important Note:** On the **live signal account**, my **"cash stop loss" remains set at €50**—as always, risk management first! 🔍💡
Niccolo Tirelli
Segnale MetaTrader 5 pubblicato
"Mirror" – Il Terzo Expert Advisor (EA) Sviluppato dall’Osservazione dei Mercati Reali "Mirror" è il terzo EA che ho sviluppato, nato dall'osservazione dei grafici in tempo reale. Questo EA sfrutta una ridondanza di operazioni opposte al macro trend e, a differenza dei miei precedenti EA, non utilizza una griglia . 🔹 Esecuzione delle Operazioni: Le posizioni vengono aperte in entrambe le direzioni , ma solo quando si verificano specifiche
Niccolo Tirelli
**Frustration Mode: ON 😤**
I was **so happy with Mirror**—**excellent results**, **4 months of scattered backtests**, all in **high-volatility periods**, with **ultra-low DD** and **solid profits**.
Then **March happened**, and the past **two weeks have been a disaster** in testing (thankfully, **the live version is paused** due to this shift in market conditions).
📉 **What’s most frustrating?**
I **can’t find a single tweak or adjustment** that effectively slows down this **wave of cash stop losses**.
🔍 **Thought process:**
- The **first stop loss cash**? **Unavoidable**, because **predicting the market is impossible**. That’s its purpose.
- The **next day**? Fine, a **clear sign** the situation is persisting.
- But by **day 4**, when risk is **still sky-high**, it’s clear that **Mirror is completely incompatible with the current market structure**.
And despite **all my testing and adjustments**, I’m **still only collecting stop losses**. 🤯
💻 **So, I’m back at work on it!** But for now… **no breakthrough solutions** yet. 😩
I was **so happy with Mirror**—**excellent results**, **4 months of scattered backtests**, all in **high-volatility periods**, with **ultra-low DD** and **solid profits**.
Then **March happened**, and the past **two weeks have been a disaster** in testing (thankfully, **the live version is paused** due to this shift in market conditions).
📉 **What’s most frustrating?**
I **can’t find a single tweak or adjustment** that effectively slows down this **wave of cash stop losses**.
🔍 **Thought process:**
- The **first stop loss cash**? **Unavoidable**, because **predicting the market is impossible**. That’s its purpose.
- The **next day**? Fine, a **clear sign** the situation is persisting.
- But by **day 4**, when risk is **still sky-high**, it’s clear that **Mirror is completely incompatible with the current market structure**.
And despite **all my testing and adjustments**, I’m **still only collecting stop losses**. 🤯
💻 **So, I’m back at work on it!** But for now… **no breakthrough solutions** yet. 😩
Niccolo Tirelli
Prodotto pubblicato
Expert per la gestione di operazioni manuali, potendo inserire nelle impostazioni un TP ed un SL espresso in punti o in percentuale. Inoltre è presente la possibilità di impostare da subito un trailing stop espresso in punti. Sul pannello, oltre ai pulsanti per aprire una posizione long e short, ci sono anche i pulsanti per aumentare e diminuire la size. Inoltre dalle impostazioni è possibile settare il l'incremento e la diminuzione premendo il pulsante lot + o - Nel pannello verrà visualizzata
Niccolo Tirelli
Se sei italiano e vuoi entrare nel mio gruppo, li si parla di varie cose, idee, news, analisi. Ci sono diverse stanze suddivise per argomento. E poi, se hai qualcosa di interessante, possiamo parlarne insieme e valutare se portarla nella grande famiglia Net Trading!
Ps e se non parli italiano ma non ti spaventa tradurre... fai comunque richiesta! https://t.me/+6wc6O6Pe3LA5MWNk
If you want to join my English channel, where I post some analyses, updates on my research, or even just some funny AI-generated images, then follow this link --> https://t.me/tnt_info
Ps e se non parli italiano ma non ti spaventa tradurre... fai comunque richiesta! https://t.me/+6wc6O6Pe3LA5MWNk
If you want to join my English channel, where I post some analyses, updates on my research, or even just some funny AI-generated images, then follow this link --> https://t.me/tnt_info