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Ethereum Star MT5

Trend following expert on Ethereum with live performance results (see screenshots) and MT5/Binance trading mode.

Introduction

Have you ever wonder why is it so hard to accumulate impressive capital using expert advisors? The key feature here is reinvestment. You need to constantly increase your deposit so you could receive greater income. And compound that income to your deposit again. Then the power of compound interest will increase your capital exponentially over time. 

To do that you can choose between two types of expert advisors:

  1. Martingale/grid experts with unlimited losses or experts with losses much greater than profits.
  2. Experts with fixed losses which is less or comparable to profits.

  • In the first case you have to withdraw all your profit because sooner or later the expert will burn your entire deposit. Assuming typical performance of grid experts, it will take a year or more to simply return 100% of your investment.
  • In the second case you can compound your profit but it's difficult to achieve the same stability of performance compared to grid systems because such experts always tend to get overfitted to the past prices. 

I've been stuck with this dilemma for a long time until I've created this expert.

Algorithm

  • On the one hand, it uses some adaptive conditions to enter the trend with a relatively short SL, follow that trend with trailing SL and exit or reverse at the end of the trend. These conditions adapt to the market situation.
  • On the other, it has some filters to avoid multiple losses during the flat phase, which were tuned based on my original technique that I call "an optimization without optimization". It was inspired by several research articles ([1], [2], [3]) where I found the answer why most of the optimization techniques used in algotrading are fail. This approach allows to reduce an overfitting to minimum.

Main properties of the expert:

  • No grid, no martingale, not holding loss positions for a long time.
  • Each deal has a fixed SL that can only be shortened.
  • Uses trailing SL to maximize profit from big trends.
  • Requires no optimization, use default settings adjusted to your deposit.
  • Shows stable historical results during both bull and bear crypto trends, high and low volatility, from 2018 to 2024.
  • Shows historical performance (rec.factor=29.5 with a fix.lot) compared to the best grid systems without dangerous trading methods.
  • Demonstrates live performance similar to test results (see screenshots).
  • Comply with FIFO rule.
  • Compatible with both netting and hedging accounts.
  • Minimal deposit is 100$.
  • The only recommended symbol is Ethereum. Can also be used with BNB but performance is worse.
  • The only recommended timeframe is M15.
  • Not sensitive to slippages and not critically sensitive to comission.

Parameters:

Parameter Default value Description Comment
WorkTimeframe
PERIOD_M15
timeframe for trading via MT5
Preferrable timeframe is M15.
TradeBinance false trade on Binance False for trading via MT5. True for trading directy on Binance Futures.
ApiBinance
your Binance account generated API Required if TradeBinance=true.
SecretBinance   your Binance account generated secret Required if TradeBinance=true.
SymbolBin ETHUSDT Binance instrument Symbol name from Binance futures.
TimeFrameBin 15m Binance timeframe Preferrable is 15m. Others: 1m/3m/5m/15m/30m/1h/2h/4h/6h/8h/12h/1d/1w.
DigitsBin 2 decimals of Binance instrument ETHUSDT has 2.
Lot
4 base lot
In practice, I use no more than 1 lot for every 1000 of balance
PriceNorm
3000
price for a volume = Lot
Needed to eliminate the impact of price level on risk. 3000 means it will trade 4 lots when ETH price is 3000, 3 lots when price is 4000, 6 lots when price is 2000 etc. It will keep the size of position (price x lot = 12000) same for every price level.
AdjustLotByBalance
false
increase lot with balance

BalanceNorm
8000 balance for a volume = Lot, when AdjustLotByBalance=true
If Lot=4 will trade 2 lots with 4000 balance, 3 lots with 6000 balance etc.
MaxSpread
0.2 max spread in % of price
On Binance ETHUSDT futures spread is usually 0.003% of price.
AllowBuy
true
buys allowed

AllowSell
true
sells allowed
In case you'll want to use one side trading. I always use both sides even during strong bull market because there's a chance to get additional profit on sudden rapid corrections + you never know when the trend will revert.
CloseAtFriday
false
close all positions at friday evening

  CloseAtFridayHour  22 hour to close all at friday (GMT) In case your broker doesn't give a quote on weekend. The best results achieved when trading 24/7.

Testing

All tests were performed with Binance ETHUSDT spot prices. You can download this data from Binance only using API keys and Python script to transform prices to MT5 format. I provide this script here. Otherwise, you can simply use the MT5-compatible history file prepared by this script.

Create a custom symbol and fill it up with the history from that file as shown here

Tester should have following settings:

  • Period: M15
  • Dates: 2018.01.01 to 2024.04.01
  • Delays: zero latency, ideal execution
  • Modelling: open prices only (no need for better accuracy because the expert ensures enter price to be at the bar open price or puts a limit order)
  • Deposit: 8000 USD
  • Leverage: 1:500
  • Comission: 0.05% for both sides (USDT taker) which is the largest comission on Binance futures (in practice, comission will be between 0.05% and 0.02% because in some cases expert uses limit orders). Set it from my comission config file.

Test results by year and risk mode:

Dates Risk Net profit MaxDD MaxDD% Rec.factor
(net.prof./maxDD)
Deals Sharp 
year 2018 fix.lot=4 28 811 3532 34% 8.2 177 4.00
year 2019 fix.lot=4
5522 3931 34% 1.4 208 0.94
year 2020
fix.lot=4
21 390 2108 19% 10.1 194 3.95
year 2021
fix.lot=4
25 523 3505 29% 7.3 190 4.25
year 2022
fix.lot=4
22 405 3514 17% 6.4 216 4.02
year 2023
fix.lot=4
11 042 2353 21% 4.7 220 2.28
1.1.2018-1.4.2024
fix.lot=4
116 169 3931 34% 29.5 1263 2.32
1.1.2018-1.4.2024 lot=4 for every 20k bal. 1 796 594 168 296 18% 10.7 1263 3.27
BTC 1.1.2018-1.4.2024 buy and hold for 8000$ 32 400 29 409 77% 1.1 1  
ETH 1.1.2018-1.4.2024 buy and hold for 8000$ 30 640 40 410 89% 0.76  

Trading

I personally use this expert to trade on Binance futures. Since it was developed with spot prices it uses spot prices to analyze market and decide what to do but trades futures because of the lower fees and available leverage. It increases performance compared to analyzing futures prices.

See my simple guide how to run this expert in Binance trading mode.

Comparison between ETHUSDT Binance spot and Alpari Real account ETHEREUM CFD (0.07% comission + spread) performance from 1.10.2021 to 1.4.2024, fixlot=4:

symbol comission  net profit maxDD  rec.factor deals sharp
ETHUSDT Binance
 0.05% 38 100  3500 10.9 567 2.17
Alpari Real ETHEREUM CFD  0.07% + spread 33 400  3350 9.2 573 1.41

Of course you will need a VPS server to properly run this expert. I use it with Metatrader VPS.

Results

The results I got on my futures account with this expert absolutly satisfied me. I'm actively continue to trade it and involve more capital. I cannot provide link on my Binance live monitoring because of the Market rules, so I leave only an anonymized screenshot so you could evaluate the performance. For the same reason I provide no MQL signal with my expert: trading conditions that MT5-compatible brokers provide to trade Ethereum CFD are slightly worse than Binance futures.

Feel free to ask me any questions in PM after purchase.

Have a good trade!

References

[1] D. Bailey, J. Borwein, M. López de Prado and J. Zhu, The probability of backtest overfitting, 2013, working paper.

[2] D. Bailey and M. López de Prado, The Sharpe ratio efficient frontier, Journal of Risk 15(2) (2012), 3–44.

[3] Bailey, D., J. Borwein, M. L´opez de Prado and J. Zhu, “Pseudo-mathematics and financial charlatanism: The effects of backtest over fitting on out-of-sample performance,” Notices of the AMS, 61 May (2014), 458–471.

































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Welcome to the world of next-generation investments with our unique trading robot for gold on the MetaTrader platform! Our proprietary developments represent the pinnacle of advanced data analysis computational platforms in the world of trading. One Gold EA is a genuine smart algorithm, operating at a level beyond human traders' reach. Its unique method is based on the principles of a neuroscanner and and advanced technologies in neural networks, EA is capable of analyzing historical and current
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Guillaume Duportal
4.92 (38)
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Stanislav Tomilov
5 (9)
Oracle Trading Expert the Quintessence of Modern Programming Technologies Expert Oracle for MetaTrader, trading on GBPUSD and Gold, represents the quintessence of modern programming technologies. Our unique proprietary methods and developments are based on advanced machine learning concepts, making our trading expert truly one-of-a-kind. We offer cutting-edge modules and neural architecture that embody innovative advancements in financial programming. Our algorithms rely on in-depth data analysi
X Code G
Shintaseftiana
4.38 (16)
ONLY 1 COPIES LEFT AT CURRENT PRICE! , NEXT PRICE  1199 USD,    SO COME ON HURRY UP !! Introducing eXecute-Code (X-CODE) EA - the ultimate Expert Advisor that's out of this world!, X-Code G EA base on Algorithm Levels of Trading.  Live Signal M5     |   Live Signal M1  |     Channel     |    MySetfile_1.5 I design X-Code G EA for XAUUSD/GOLD pair Why should you choose and use X-CODE EA in Trading? X-CODE EA will give you a pleasant trading experience because in X-CODE EA reliable algorit
Diamond Titan FX
Lo Thi Mai Loan
5 (5)
Launch promo: SALE 30% OFF! Only 3 sales left to buy at the current price. Next price: $1033 Free get US30 Scalper EA and Quantum Algo EA -> contact me after purchase Live signal:  https://www.mql5.com/en/signals/2220190?source=Site+Profile+Seller Prop Signal:  https://www.mql5.com/en/signals/2223219?source=Site+Signals+Profile+From+Author MT4:  https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/116012?source=Site+Market+Product+Page Passed Prop Challenge Trade History:  https://www.mql5.com/en/blogs/pos
Gold Excel MT5
Gregory Hay
4.6 (15)
Welcome to   GoldExcel EA , an effective trader for the XAUUSD pair (GOLD). Developed by our team to work in normal accounts, funded prop accounts and prop challenges! Does not use HFT! See all products here:   https://www.mql5.com/en/users/fxmanagedforexltd/seller Trading PERFORMANCE Accounts (over 6+ months verified live trading) on 2 brokers Live $1K Start Now $19.5K (Risk Setup 5 -3 -15) :  https://www.mql5.com/en/signals/2133201 Live ICMarkets Account    (Risk Setup 5 -3 -15)   :  https://
Dragon Multi EA MT5
Mansour Babasafary
4.38 (39)
77% discount for the next 10 buyers (original price $3000): 1 person left Get a 50% bonus by buying (or even renting) any of our products. After buying (or renting), send a message for more information. 3 experts in 1 expert Strategy based on price action Made specifically for the best forex currency pairs Can be used in the best time frame of the market at a very reasonable price This expert is basically 3 different experts. But we have combined these 3 experts in 1 expert so that you can
CyberVision EA
Eduard Nagayev
3.59 (27)
CyberVision EA is a technology I developed during my undergraduate studies. CyberVision EA is not just an advisor, it is a high-speed computing machine that can generate historical data. CyberVision EA is not just an EA, it is a high-speed computing machine that works with recurrent neural network (RNN) and generative adversarial network (GAN), and my EA also uses data quantization. Live Signal High:  https://www.mql5.com/ru/signals/2221931 Live Signal:  https://www.mql5.com/en/signals/2218278 C
XG Gold Robot MT5
Marzena Maria Szmit
4.45 (76)
The XG Gold Robot MT5 is specially designed for Gold. We decided to include this EA in our offering after extensive testing . XG Gold Robot and works perfectly with the XAUUSD, GOLD, XAUEUR pairs. XG Gold Robot has been created for all traders who like to Trade in Gold and includes additional a function that displays weekly Gold levels with the minimum and maximum displayed in the panel as well as on the chart, which will help you in manual trading. It’s a strategy based on Price Action, Cycle S
AI NeuroX EA
Denis Kurnev
4.53 (15)
AI NeuroX EA is an innovative trading advisor based on advanced artificial intelligence technologies, including neural networks and the Perplexity and GPT-4 platforms. This advisor has a unique ability to analyze and predict the dynamics of financial markets using deep learning and advanced algorithms. Thanks to the intuition that even the most experienced traders would envy, AI NeuroX EA is capable of developing unprecedented trading strategies, ensuring excellent performance. This advisor oper
Way To Stars is a night scalping EA specifically designed to trade during periods of low market volatility to capitalize on low-risk opportunities. This night scalping EA focuses on capturing small price movements for frequent trading, thereby accumulating profits over time. It employs strict stop-loss measures to limit potential losses per trade, ensuring effective risk management. Way To Stars is a genuine and honest trading system that does not rely on purported neural networks, artificial i
SST Kill Shot
Stock Sniper Trading Corp.
4.48 (21)
* Note: Link to set files to test as well as other relevant information at the bottom of EA advert!                                                                                            Stock Sniper Trading proudly presents SST Kill Shot, our kill zone intra-day strategy, where we target the fair value gaps/imbalances that form during the most volatile hour(s) of a trading session. High volatility as a result of above normal volume transactions and market orders that take place during these
PrizmaL Pro EA
Vladimir Lekhovitser
PrizmaL Pro   Live signal Signal set file:  PrizmaL_Pro_Signal.set For additional in-depth details, kindly refer to the  Manual Guide Feel free to contact me with any questions:  https://www.mql5.com/en/users/prizmal Also add me as a friend. Dear traders and investors, I present to you a strategy that has proven itself over more than 18 years. Back in 2008, PrizmaL took second place in the World Championship of Trading Robots from MetaQuotes (Automated Trading Championship 2008). Duri
Stock Indexes EA MT5
Marzena Maria Szmit
5 (7)
Stock Indexes EA is a sophisticated   trading robot   meticulously engineered to capitalize on the dynamics of the   US30   index. This expert advisor employs advanced algorithms and technical indicators to analyze market trends, identify potential entry and exit points, and execute trades with precision. A news filter   has also been added to the robot, which prevents it from opening a position during   important economic news , minimizing the risk. In robot, you can also specify the days and
Razor MT5
Anton Kondratev
5 (6)
Razor EA is a Fully Automated and Open System with Drawdown Protection and Fixed SL.   Only 1 Copies of 10 Left  for 815 $ Next Price 1675 $   Signals Guide Commission Refund Updates My Blog Not Simple  Grid, Not Martingale, Not AI , Not Neural Network. Default Settings for One chart  AUDCAD M15 (Supports 1OHLC mode for weak PCs)   This is a Multi-Currency strategy for three currency pairs AUDCAD, AUDNZD, NZDCAD that works on ONE chart. The Algorithm easily passes verification based on Real
Welcome to   GoldEnergy EA , an effective trader for the XAUUSD pair (GOLD). Developed by our team to work in normal accounts, funded prop accounts and prop challenges! Does not use HFT! See all products here:   https://www.mql5.com/en/users/fxmanagedforexltd/seller ***Early Release PRICE*** Live $1K Account over 30% Per month Average :  https://www.mql5.com/en/signals/2212389 GoldEnergy  system uses the chart of both the 1 minute and 5 minute timeframe on MT5. Backtest are found in comments sec
PrizmaL Plus
Vladimir Lekhovitser
PrizmaL Plus   Live signal PrizmaL Pro   Live signal For additional in-depth details, kindly refer to the  Manual Guide Feel free to contact me with any questions:  https://www.mql5.com/en/users/prizmal Also add me as a friend. Introducing the evolution of excellence: PrizmaL Plus. Crafted in response to fervent user demand, this enhanced iteration surpasses its predecessor, PrizmaL Pro, with strategic refinements meticulously tailored to thrive in today's dynamic market landscape.
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Version 1.1 2024.04.27
Direct trading on Binance is added. Set parameter TradeBinance=true and add your API key and secret.