EUR/USD: re-test of 1.05 seems fairly unlikely - Nomura

EUR/USD: re-test of 1.05 seems fairly unlikely - Nomura

28 October 2015, 06:11
Sergey Golubev
1
1 959

Nomura made a forecast for EUR/USD based on some technical conclusion for example:

  • "In coming weeks, risk sentiment and US data may be the most important drivers of the EUR/USD cross...If risk sentiment stays more constructive, such that capital outflows from the Eurozone can recover, we would not be surprised to see a move to 1.08 in coming weeks, even if Fed expectations remain fairly stable."
  • "A double-whammy of easy ECB, Fed lift-off in December and a re-test of 1.05 seems fairly unlikely, also because the speculative community has limited trading ammunition after a couple of rough months."

As we see from the image above - this is really unlikely scenario for the price to test 1.05 support level because S2 Pivot at 1.0672 should be tested first (and it is unlikely too).