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Markets could be too sanguine about the risks to the euro exchange rate complex posed by a Brexit and there is a risk therefore that sterling is being chased too far into the red. The pound has fallen notably versus the euro, from a starting point up at the 1...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 24 March 2016, 11:16
After being Wall Street’s whipping boys, bank stocks may be in position to mount a comeback. At least, Barclays analysts think so. Among the S&P 500’s 10 sectors, banks have been the worst performer, down 6.5% year to date, according to FactSet data as of March 23.READ MORE...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Seth Dompreh, 24 March 2016, 11:11
Oil futures move firmly lower in Thursday’s trade, adding to losses after their biggest one-day rout in more than a month in the wake of disappointing supply data. READ MORE...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Seth Dompreh, 24 March 2016, 11:06
EUR/USD: Neutral: In a broad 1.1120/1.1375 range now. We just shifted to a neutral stance yesterday and there is no change to the view. The current movement is likely part of a broad consolidation phase and we expect this pair to trade within a broad 1.1120/1.1375 range from here...
Pound drops further on ‘Brexit’ fears Permalink Facebook Twitter Expand/Collapse...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Seth Dompreh, 24 March 2016, 11:00
GBP/USD may extend the decline from earlier this week amid concerns surrounding the UK Referendum, while retail sentiment pushes back to near-term extremes. Continue Reading...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Seth Dompreh, 24 March 2016, 10:50
USDCAD is responded a critical support confluence with our near-term focus higher against today’s low. Here are the updated targets & invalidation level...Continue Reading...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Seth Dompreh, 24 March 2016, 10:48
The SARB delivered another 25bp hike at its March MPC meeting last week, against our own expectation that a significant improvement in its inflation forecast would prompt a pause. • While we were correct in anticipating a large downward revision to its 2017 CPI forecast – now in line with our 6...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Batur Asmazoglu, 24 March 2016, 10:46
EUR/USD may face a near-term rebound should a dismal U.S. Durable Goods Report push the Fed to further delay its normalization cycle. Continue Reading...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Seth Dompreh, 24 March 2016, 10:40
ECB Bulletin Downplays Importance of Core Inflation Measure The European Central Bank (ECB) monthly bulletin releases today showed the bank feels Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) ex-energy or core HICP is not an ‘ideal’ measure of underlying inflation...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Roberto Jacobs, 24 March 2016, 10:29
The pound has clearly been the under-performer this week and in the G10 space is the worst performing currency, notes BTMU. "The resignation of Ian Duncan Smith late on Friday has fuelled concerns over a more damaging division within government over ‘Brexit’...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 24 March 2016, 10:29 #GBP/USD
GBP/USD All the Attention to 1.4000 – UOB The research team at UOB Group has noted the relevance of the critical support at 1.4000 the figure...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Roberto Jacobs, 24 March 2016, 10:26
USD/CHF Still Targets 0.9806 Near Term – Commerzbank In view of Axel Rudolph, Senior Technical Analysis at Commerzbank, the pair could reach the 0.9800 area in the shorter run. Key Quotes “USD/CHF has sold off to and continues to rebound from the 2015-2016 uptrend at .9643”...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Roberto Jacobs, 24 March 2016, 10:24 #usdchf
Bunds Edge Higher as Credit Spreads Resume Yday’s Late Widening (Bloomberg) -- Bund futures extend gains, rises as much as 44 ticks to 163.17 as credit spreads continue to widen, stocks weaken steadily since the cash open. iTraxx xover 5Y rises 11bps, Stoxx 600 falls 1...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Batur Asmazoglu, 24 March 2016, 10:10
On Thursday, #NZDUSD and #AUDUSD fell to their 1-week lows against the U.S. dollar, despite a positive fundamental background. The U.S. dollar received significant support after several #Fed officials had mentioned the possibility of the rate hike in April...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vistabrokers CIF Ltd, 24 March 2016, 09:50 #Trading, forex
The sequence of volatile market reactions to central bank policy easing initiated by the BOJ and furthered by ECB had an eventful third round last week, as the Fed’s unexpected dovish shift caused a sharp retrenchment in long USD positions...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 24 March 2016, 09:48
The latest strong signals from BNP Paribas Momentum Model are short GBP/AUD, and long AUD/NOK. *BNP Paribas (French pronunciation: ​[be ɛn pe paʁibɑ]) is a French multinational bank and financial services company with global headquarters in Paris...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 24 March 2016, 09:40
Treasuries had a persistently strong long-end-led bid through the day Wednesday to end with a substantial bull flattening rally that was futures led and left our desk and most clients puzzled it seemed about just what was going on...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Batur Asmazoglu, 24 March 2016, 09:40
Finland PPI Falls At Faster Rate In February Finland's producer prices decreased at a faster pace in February, figures from Statistics Finland showed Thursday. The producer price index for manufactured products fell 4.1 percent year-over-year in February, much faster than the 2...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Roberto Jacobs, 24 March 2016, 09:20
USD is expected to remain bid, with the potential to end the week at levels consistent with a reversal formation in technical terms. Conditions for USD gaining further ground are almost perfect...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Batur Asmazoglu, 24 March 2016, 09:19