NZD/USD Reverses Post-RBNZ Rally, Flirts with 0.6900
The NZD/USD pair
retreats nearly half the RBNZ-led rally and now wavers around 0.69
handle as markets come to terms with an outrightly dovish RBNZ stance at
its policy meeting earlier today.
NZD/USD: Shorts squeeze loses steam
Currently,
the NZD/USD pair trades 0.29% higher at 0.6903, retracing further below
10-DMA at 0.6919. The Kiwi is seen reversing the bizarre rally
witnessed after the RBNZ kept rates on hold at a record low of 2.25%, as
widely expected, and talked down the NZD levels, while adding that the
policy is likely to remain accommodative.
The knee-jerk 120-pips
spike post-RBNZ announcement was seen in response to shorts squeezed
after the central bank disappointed markets, with no clear guidance for a
June rate cut. Meanwhile, markets had upgraded the chances of a cut
from 30% to 46% during the previous two days, as analysts at Westpac
noted.
The bird was heavily offered in the overnight trades after
the FOMC meeting bolstered the USD bulls, knocking-off NZD/USD to
0.6808 in an immediate reaction to the Fed announcement. Looking ahead,
markets will assess today’s RBNZ policy statement ahead of the US
advance GDP numbers due later in the NY session.
NZD/USD Levels to consider
To
the upside, the next resistance is located at 0.6942/50 (post-RBNZ
highs), above which it could extend gains to 0.6978/0.7000 (daily R1/
psychological levels). To the downside immediate support might be
located at 0.6879/75 (1h 50 & 100-SMA) and from there to 0.6850/44
(round number/ daily S1).
