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European economic growth continues to show weakness: it grew 0.20% from the third to the fourth quarter of 2018 to post a yearly gain of 1.20%, a 5-year low and well below the European Central Bank forecast of 2%. There is little upside margin for EU growth...
Pivot (invalidation): 54.35 Our preference Short positions below 54.35 with targets at 53.30 & 52.85 in extension. Alternative scenario Above 54.35 look for further upside with 54.90 & 55.35 as targets...
Pivot (invalidation): 16.0700 Our preference Short positions below 16.0700 with targets at 15.8400 & 15.7700 in extension. Alternative scenario Above 16.0700 look for further upside with 16.1900 & 16.3000 as targets...
Pivot (invalidation): 1315.50 Our preference Long positions above 1315.50 with targets at 1326.00 & 1330.00 in extension. Alternative scenario Below 1315.50 look for further downside with 1312.00 & 1309.00 as targets...
Pivot (invalidation): 2675.50 Our preference Long positions above 2675.50 with targets at 2727.25 & 2753.00 in extension. Alternative scenario Below 2675.50 look for further downside with 2657.50 & 2640.25 as targets...
Pivot (invalidation): 11100.00 Our preference Long positions above 11100.00 with targets at 11260.00 & 11320.00 in extension. Alternative scenario Below 11100.00 look for further downside with 11050.00 & 11000.00 as targets...
Pivot (invalidation): 5.2100 Our preference Short positions below 5.2100 with targets at 5.1570 & 5.1360 in extension. Alternative scenario Above 5.2100 look for further upside with 5.2420 & 5.2730 as targets...
Pivot (invalidation): 0.7275 Our preference Short positions below 0.7275 with targets at 0.7225 & 0.7205 in extension. Alternative scenario Above 0.7275 look for further upside with 0.7295 & 0.7325 as targets...
Pivot (invalidation): 1.3160 Our preference Short positions below 1.3160 with targets at 1.3115 & 1.3085 in extension. Alternative scenario Above 1.3160 look for further upside with 1.3185 & 1.3210 as targets...
Pivot (invalidation): 0.9920 Our preference Long positions above 0.9920 with targets at 0.9955 & 0.9975 in extension. Alternative scenario Below 0.9920 look for further downside with 0.9900 & 0.9885 as targets...
Pivot (invalidation): 108.65 Our preference Long positions above 108.65 with targets at 109.05 & 109.20 in extension. Alternative scenario Below 108.65 look for further downside with 108.50 & 108.30 as targets...
Pivot (invalidation): 1.3120 Our preference Short positions below 1.3120 with targets at 1.3075 & 1.3055 in extension. Alternative scenario Above 1.3120 look for further upside with 1.3160 & 1.3200 as targets...
Pivot (invalidation): 1.1475 Our preference Short positions below 1.1475 with targets at 1.1410 & 1.1390 in extension. Alternative scenario Above 1.1475 look for further upside with 1.1495 & 1.1515 as targets...
Even the euro was very little changed from the buck at $1.1452, in front of some series of PMI readings from the other side of the area. It climbed to 52.4 in 51.1 in December...
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USD/CNY dropped 2.20% since the beginning of the year on US-China trade optimism, USD softness and China’s manufacturing rebound. However, the USD/CNY could rapidly turn north, as a trade deal with the US, China’s by far largest trade partner, would significantly reduce its trade surplus...
Given yesterday’s decision of the US Federal Reserve not to raise interest rates, US dollar weakness for 2019 is on track. The Fed decelerated monetary policy and its tightening path, and it gave a very strong signal that interest rate cycle is finished...
