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The Week Ahead: Central banks to determine the next move The past week was full of action for currency traders, the Yen dropped to lowest levels in three weeks against the dollar, the Canadian currency at highest levels since July led by oil rally, Pound being the best performing currency of the...
Market News
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Mohammed Abdulwadud Soubra, 24 April 2016, 16:52
First, a few words about the forecast for the previous week: ■ if you look at the graphs D1 and W1, it is clear that the EUR/USD continues to move within the ascending channel that started last December...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Sergey Ershov, 23 April 2016, 18:38 #usd/jpy, GBP/USD, EUR/USD
I have developed a low-risk EURUSD Scalping strategy. ◎ specifications Currency pairs: EUR / USD Trading style: Scalping Maximum Number of Positions: 1...
Trading Strategies
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Ryutaro Yumoto, 23 April 2016, 17:40
London's real estate market is getting the Brexit chills. Investment in central London offices hit the lowest level in five years in the first quarter of 2016, as the referendum on Britain's future in the European Union looms...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Francis Dogbe, 23 April 2016, 12:55
While some have felt the US Dollar was oversold, and the JPY overbought, few traders likely expected that USD/JPY would be higher by ~250 pips on the session to close the week. Many know that on January 29, the Bank of Japan announced negative interest rates on excess reserves...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Francis Dogbe, 23 April 2016, 12:51
While China’s first-quarter growth figures pleased some analysts enough to upgrade their forecasts, George Soros was not impressed. Doubling down on his earlier comments that a hard landing for China was inevitable, he now says China’s is facing a financial crisis similar to the U.S. in 2008...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Francis Dogbe, 23 April 2016, 12:49
Speculation that the Bank of Japan could effectively start paying banks to borrow its cash caused the yen to tumble on Friday and gave government bonds a lift after a second bruising week. Disappointing earnings reports on Thursday from some of the world's biggest tech companies weighed on stocks...
Market News
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Francis Dogbe, 23 April 2016, 12:44 #Interest Rate
A little patience goes a long way as a Forex trader. This has never been more true after watching the last three days of price action on NZDUSD. I mentioned the ascending channel you see below on Tuesday, noting that it was a bit too soon to make a commitment one way or the other...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Francis Dogbe, 23 April 2016, 12:40 #nzdusd
Master Trend Dashboard Master Trend Dashboard is a new generation indicator, compact, light and efficient...
Other
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Chantal Sala, 23 April 2016, 10:14
The policy divergence theme that has driven the FX markets for the last two years came to an abrupt end at the start of this year when a combination of soaring global uncertainty and weaker US data forced the Fed to adopt a more dovish stance, and sent the USD tumbling...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 22 April 2016, 22:54 #FOMC, forex
Oil prices fell 3 percent on Thursday, pausing after a two-day rally, after producers from Russia to Saudi Arabia and Iran to Libya hinted at more output amid growing U.S. crude stockpiles. Profit-taking and the dollar's steadying from a slide earlier in the week also weighed on crude futures...
Crude Oil
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Anton Hernawan, 22 April 2016, 22:28
Our economist remains of the view that the next policy move is most likely to occur at the June meeting. Financial conditions have fully recovered (our FCI eased since March) and market inflation expectations have moved off their lows. Two obstacles remain, however...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 22 April 2016, 21:24 #FOMC
In the coming week it is Wednesday’s release of the preliminary estimate of Q1 GDP that takes centre-stage for the British pound, and some slowdown from Q4’s 0.6% quarterly rise looks inevitable...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 22 April 2016, 21:17
The breakout of a key area that we have been watching for many weeks has finally occurred. The GBP/EUR exchange rate is trading at a one-month best having reached 1.2767 on Friday the 22nd of April...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 22 April 2016, 20:59
The focus will now shift to the Bank of Japan and Federal Reserve meetings next week. We expect the Bank of Japan to announce further easing and the Fed to change the April statement to a more balanced risk assessment of the economic outlook...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 22 April 2016, 20:40 #forex
Canada’s headline came in at 1.3%, while core CPI inflation increased to 2.1%. Inflation excluding food and energy remained unchanged at 1.7%. Overall, the report shows that inflationary pressures increased slightly in March mainly as a result of continued pass-through from the weaker CAD...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 22 April 2016, 20:38
The BoJ is scheduled to hold its Monetary Policy Meeting on 27-28 April. After a promising start, Abenomics has clearly lost momentum. How does it get it back? For the BoJ, the next step is critical. The January experience suggests a small move in an adverse market is a mistake...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 22 April 2016, 19:20 #forex
The break of USDJPY above 110 and EURJPY almost reaching 125 is likely to be the start of a new appreciation trend for these pairs, says BNP Paribas. "Our economists’ base case remains that the BoJ will cut the IOER further into negative territory at its June meeting...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 22 April 2016, 19:18 #forex
The belief was that USD/JPY might struggle for a period before being able to break above the psychologically important 110.00 level but that break happened with ease just prior to the start of London trading today, notes BTMU...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 22 April 2016, 19:17 #forex
When it comes to the Eurozone, ECB President Draghi failed to make a bigger case of additional stimulus measures being considered anytime soon...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 22 April 2016, 19:16 #forex