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Analysts at BNP Paribas gave a snapshot of global macro economies. Key Quotes: EZ: The European Commission revises upwards its growth forecasts. The Spanish economy recovers. US: GDP growth slowed markedly in Q4 2014. Nonetheless the underlying trend remains robust...
Forecasts
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Andrius Kulvinskas, 6 February 2015, 18:00
Valeria Bednarik, chief analyst at FXStreet, noted the spike in USD/JPY following the spectacular Nonfarm Payrolls numbers. Key Quotes: "The USD/JPY had a strong comeback following US Non Farm Payrolls release, surging over 170 pips in a couple of hours, flirting now with the 119.00 level...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Andrius Kulvinskas, 6 February 2015, 16:54 #usd/jpy
Philadelphia Fed president Charles Plosser said today that a strong labor market and an improving US economy is making it more difficult for the US economy to justify not raising interest rates. Mr...
Forecasts
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Andrius Kulvinskas, 6 February 2015, 16:11 #Fed
Rob Carnell, analyst at ING Bank noted the strong performances of the US jobs market. Key Quotes: "Bond markets for once have a reason to sell off, and this should provide further support for our strong dollar call. Equities may regard this result with mixed feelings...
Forecasts
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Andrius Kulvinskas, 6 February 2015, 15:50
The eFXnews Team shares Barclays’ view for the US NFP and wages data release today. Key Quotes “We expect another solid outcome with headline NFP of 250K and one-tenth decline in the unemployment rate to 5.5...
Forecasts
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Andrius Kulvinskas, 6 February 2015, 13:51
The USD encountered a sell-off for the second time this week as economic data released yesterday from the United States provided further indications to traders that the Federal Reserve will remain in no hurry at all to raise US interest rates...
Analytics & Forecasts
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ForexTime, 6 February 2015, 13:06
According to Strategist at Deutsche Bank George Saravelos, the Eurogroup could end up offering Greece a third programme. Key Quotes “We estimate that Greek bank funding at the ECB financing windows currently runs between 70-80bn EUR, of which approximately 30bn relies on AAA EFSF-based collateral...
Forecasts
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Andrius Kulvinskas, 6 February 2015, 12:56 #ECB
The Danske Bank Research Team previews today’s US employment data release, and further predict a strong job growth and rebound in wages to lead Fed to begin its policy normalisation this year...
Forecasts
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Andrius Kulvinskas, 6 February 2015, 12:54 #Fed
According to Valeria Bednarik, Chief Analyst at FXStreet, a strong US NFP print might trigger a decline in GBP/USD, but chances of a strong recovery are high if the pair sustains above 1.5250. Key Quotes “The GBP/USD pair holds to its latest gains, consolidating above the 1...
Forecasts
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Andrius Kulvinskas, 6 February 2015, 11:44 #GBP/USD
A 230K rise in U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) accompanied by faster wage growth may heighten the appeal of the greenback and spur a short-term selloff in EUR/USD as it boosts expectations of seeing the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) normalize monetary policy in mid-2015...
Trading Systems
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Sergey Golubev, 6 February 2015, 11:04 #fundamental analysis
The KBC Bank Research Teamviews that with consensus remaining optimistic for the NFP print, and the recent US data coming out mixed, a slight disappointment may be felt from today’s payrolls data. Key Quotes “The consensus expects employment growth at 230.000 (from 252.0000...
Forecasts
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Andrius Kulvinskas, 6 February 2015, 09:56
James Knightley, Senior Economist at ING, comments that with the BoE already warning of upside risks to medium-term inflation, we suspect there will be a relatively hawkish tone in next week’s BoE’s inflation report...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Andrius Kulvinskas, 6 February 2015, 09:11
Finding a strong directional move is the first priority of any trend trader. However, when having to select a currency pair to trade, it can be difficult to identify the best trends. For the ADX 50 strategy we will be using the ADX (Average Directional Index) indicator for this process...
Trading Systems
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Sergey Golubev, 6 February 2015, 09:11 #Trading Strategies
Talking Points: Dollar at Risk of Sharp Reversal Given the Wrong NFP Step Euro: How Much Worse Can Things Get? British Pound Unmoved by BoE Decision, But Next’ Report Will Hit Dollar at Risk of Sharp Reversal Given the Wrong NFP Step...
Forecasts
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Andrius Kulvinskas, 6 February 2015, 08:48 #gold
The TD Securities Team previews the data ahead for US, anticipating a 245k gain in headline payrolls...
Forecasts
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Andrius Kulvinskas, 6 February 2015, 07:50
For the 24 hours to 23:00 GMT, the USD declined 1.09% against the CAD to close at 1.2434. In economic news, the international merchandise trade deficit in Canada widened to CAD0.65 billion in December, compared to market expectations of a trade deficit of CAD1.10 billion...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Andrius Kulvinskas, 6 February 2015, 07:25 #usd/cad
Following the RBA Quarterly Statement on Monetary Policy, in which no forward guidance was offered, the Australian IB is now pricing a 19% chance of March cut against the 30%+ pre-release. The change of dynamics in price action following the major reversal off 0...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Andrius Kulvinskas, 6 February 2015, 01:54 #RBA
-“USDCAD has pushed through the 2007 high at 1.1875, 61.8% extension of the 2007-2009 rally from the 2011 low at 1.1882, and several upward sloping parallels. The next cluster of technical levels is between 1.25 and 1.2730.” -USDCAD nearly traded 1...
Forecasts
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Andrius Kulvinskas, 6 February 2015, 01:23 #Elliott Waves
JPMorgan Chase - one of the oldest financial conglomerates on the planet. Financial institution, stationed in New York, is a leader in investment and commercial banking services. Major currencies. Forecasts - JP Morgan: PS: indicators that you can use in your trading system. Good Luck...
Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 5 February 2015, 17:36
Valeria Bednarik, Chief Analyst at FXStreet, notes that the EUR/USD pair is consolidating below the 1.1440 fibonacci level, and a break below this immediate resistance might lead to further gains towards 1.1480...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Andrius Kulvinskas, 5 February 2015, 16:12 #EUR/USD