First use of FX Volume in our Market Analysis

First use of FX Volume in our Market Analysis

3 March 2020, 13:13
Daniel Stein
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383

First use of FX Volume in our Market Analysis

Last week we've seen lots of powerful trend moves.

This week seems to be quieter and the market takes a break.

0303_fxt

In FX Trend we see a wild mixture of trends across all time frames.

The only pair that is inline on its relevant time frames is USDCHF.


So let's have a closer look on USDCHF and the strength of it's underlying currencies.

0303_fxp

Even though the lines are almost clearly separated we see that they stagnate sideways.

The short term 1-Day CHF history line dropped down to the neutral area but the higher periods are still stable.


So let's have a look at the underlying real market trading volume -> get FX Volume here

0303_fxv3

Based on our analysis of 873,358 real market trading lots we see the following

1. The USD ratio from a Brokers point of view is 25% long and 75% short -> the history line stagnates at this low level since a few hours

2. The CHF ratio from a Brokers point of view is 91% long and 9% short -> the history line rises smoothly

Conclusion: The CHF is still gaining strength while the USD stagnates at a low level.
This indicates a clear and stable downtrend and short market sentiment for USDCHF.

Nonetheless it would be better if the USD will move further down to fuel our short trade idea


So let's move on to the support and resistance situation on that pair.

0303_lh

Yesterday's low marked a new support level on the intraday analysis but
there is still plenty of space for an intraday short trade on USDCHF

And this is how this USDCHF chart looks completely

0303_USDCHF


Attention: This USDCHF trade is still risky because there is currently no power in the market!

Update 15:30 GMT: Thanks to the FED we are facing a decent profit

USDCHF_1530

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All the best and happy trading
Daniel

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