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Volatility in interest rates continues to pick up as inflation data is mixed and central banks' guidance becomes more important. Nowhere is this more apparent than within the Fed. Markets go a full docket for FOMC members speaking publicly last week...
Market News
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Jiming Huang, 26 June 2017, 13:52
The Japanese Yen continues to depreciate at the beginning of the week, now lifting USD/JPY to the area of 111.70, multi-day peaks. USD/JPY up on US yields Spot is moving higher on Monday propped up by the solid performance of US yields, with the 10-year reference retaking the 2...
Currency
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Roman Vashchilin, 26 June 2017, 10:52
The single currency keeps hovering over the 1.1200 handle vs. the buck on Monday, with EUR/USD briefly testing highs around 1.1210 before deflating. EUR/USD unchanged on upbeat IFO The pair is holding on to its daily gains in the 1...
Currency
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Roman Vashchilin, 26 June 2017, 10:42
Barely 15 months after its foundation, LREM achieved a historic triumph in the National Assembly elections, winning 308 out of 577 seats, while Democratic Movement (MoDem), their partner in government, picked up another 42 seats, taking the total for the president to 350...
Market News
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Jiming Huang, 25 June 2017, 14:01
Germany’s IFO business climate will shed some light on the mood in Europe’s biggest economy on Monday, followed by consumer confidence in the US on Tuesday and the University of Michigan Sentiment Index on Friday...
Market News
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Jiming Huang, 25 June 2017, 13:56 #CPI
Not only has Theresa May’s gambit not paid off, but her grip over the Brexit negotiations appears to have been loosened to some extent, feels René Defossez, Research Analyst at Natixis. Key Quotes “Her political future is uncertain...
Currency
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Tamas Molnar, 25 June 2017, 08:27
Markets have completely priced in a 25bp rate hike by the Bank of Canada by the end of 2017 leaving room for economic disappointment. We believe it’s too early for the BoC to be thinking about higher rates. With front-end yields at the near term high, we doubt that CAD will have much more upside...
Market News
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Jiming Huang, 23 June 2017, 14:02
More than a week after the FOMC lifted borrowing costs in the US, financial markets - particularly the equity market - have been treading water as investors struggle to find a new driver. Both the Euro STOXX 50 and S&P 500 are about to close the week flat...
Market News
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Jiming Huang, 23 June 2017, 14:01
In today's U.S. shale fields, tiny sensors attached to production gear harvest data on everything from pumping pressure to the heat and rotational speed of drill bits boring into the rocky earth...
Crude Oil
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Tamas Molnar, 23 June 2017, 10:16
The GBP/USD pair extended previous session's retracement from levels beyond the 1.2700 handle and held weaker through early NA session on Thursday...
Currency
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Roman Vashchilin, 22 June 2017, 17:21
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the buck vs. a basket of its main rivals, is trading in a tight range on Thursday, currently flat for the day in the 97.20 area...
Currency
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Roman Vashchilin, 22 June 2017, 17:08
We continue to suspect that markets are underpricing the probability of a BoE policy adjustment. We suspect that as with the Fed, the threshold of removal of emergency measures is significantly lower than standard interest rate hikes...
Market News
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Jiming Huang, 22 June 2017, 14:08
After the usual March-April contraction, Switzerland’s trade surplus bounced back in May amid a sharp recovery in exports. The trade surplus rose to CHF 3.4 billion in May from CHF 1.96 a month earlier. Exports - in real terms - increased 2.9% m/m while imports eased to 2% m/m...
Market News
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Jiming Huang, 22 June 2017, 14:06
Analysts at UOB Group explained that the Reserve Bank of Australia June Rate Meeting Minutes on Tuesday (20 Jun) showed that the central bank continued to believe it is appropriate to keep accommodative stance of policy unchanged...
Currency
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Roman Vashchilin, 21 June 2017, 19:28
Analysts at Scotiabank explained that comments from BoE economist Haldane that favoured removing some stimulus echoes the sentiment revealed by last week’s 5-3 split on holding policy unchanged at the BoE’s latest policy meeting...
Currency
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Roman Vashchilin, 21 June 2017, 19:26
No one should think that Amazon’s (AMZN) innovative play for Whole Foods is a done deal. News of Amazon’s acquisition of the grocer (WFM) for $13.4bn shocked up the grocery industry and sent big box retailers' stocks tumbling...
Market News
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Jiming Huang, 21 June 2017, 13:36
Yesterday's collapse of oil to a seven-month low clearly punctuates the demise of OPEC in our view. The thin veil of control that markets provided to this dysfunctional committee is no longer...
Market News
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Jiming Huang, 21 June 2017, 13:35
The GBP/USD faced a new selling pressure in the NA session after a recent report by Sky News suggested that the negotiations between the Prime Minister May's Conservatives and the Northern Irish DUP were not proceeding in the way the DUP would have expected...
Currency
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Roman Vashchilin, 20 June 2017, 20:57
A week after the SNB kept rates unchanged, the State Secretariat for Economic Affairs in Bern has issued economic forecasts for Switzerland. The GDP growth in 2018 is expected to reach 1.9% y/y (currently at 0.9%). In the same time, the SECO is forecasting exports to reach 3...
Market News
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Jiming Huang, 20 June 2017, 13:59
Banxico is clearly following the Fed rate. The Mexican central bank even changed its agenda in 2015 to carefully follow the Fed meetings and to maintain a rate differential to avoid any capital outflow. Tonight the institution will raise to 7...
Market News
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Jiming Huang, 19 June 2017, 14:10