OPEC cuts non-OPEC oil supply forecast

9 February 2015, 13:15
Andrius Kulvinskas
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The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) lowered its estimate for non-OPEC supply growth in 2015 as US drillers are expected to pump less oil after the collapse in oil price. 

The group lowered its estimate for non-OPEC supply growth by about 400,000 barrels a day, led by a reduction of 130,000 a day in the US. Supply estimates for Colombia, Canada and Yemen were also trimmed. “The main factors for the lower growth prediction in 2015 are price expectations, a declining number of active rigs in North America, a decrease in drilling permits in the US and a reduction in the 2015 spending plans of international oil companies,” OPEC’s Vienna-based research department said in its monthly market report.

US supply estimates

The supply from the US will increase 820,000 barrels a day in 2015 to 13.64 million a day, which is the half of the gain recorded in 2014. The estimate for total non-OPEC supply growth in 2015 was cut by 420,000 to 850,000 a day. 

The group expects the Global oil demand will increase by 1.17 million barrels a day, or 1.3%, in 2015 to 92.32 million barrels a day.
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