Australia goes to the polls about a week after Brexit. This could shape the direction of the Aussie while the world is not looking...
Boris speaking but he hasn't actually declared he's in the running. He's making a big speech which sounds like he might go either way. The way he's speaking he sounds like he's not going to enter. I'm a tax cutting conservative but wants a fairer capitalism You live longer under conservatives...
Swiss National Bank vice-chairman Zurbruegg speaking in Russia 30 June Flexible like a 30% appreciation in a session after you remove a cap? Constant intervention ? Yep all very fiexible, for the SNB at least. Excuse me while I fall about laughing. deposit rate of minus 0...
June 2016 Eurozone CPI flash report 30 June 2016 Prior -0.1% Core 0.9% vs 0.8% exp y/y. Prior 0.8% TAPER!! No real details come with the flash report so that's that...
Details of the Q1 2016 UK GDP final revision data report 30 June 2016 Prior 0.4% 2.0% vs 2.0% exp y/y. Prior 2.0% Business investment -0.6% vs -0.5% prior q/q -0.8% vs -0.4% prior y/y...
UK justice secretary Michael Gove has just announced his intention to lead the Conservative Party A change of heart/mid from Gove who had previously said he would support Boris...
Germany May retail sales report 30 June 2016 -0.3% prev revised up from -0.9% yy +2.6% vs +2.5% exp vs +2.7% prev revised up from +2.3% prev Stronger retails welcome news for the German domestic economy. EURUSD 1.1090 EURGBP 0.8286 EURJPY 113.82...
Despite the Brexit result it's still business as usual as far as UK payments to the EU are concerned 30 June The German Bundesbank buys euros each month-end, in excess of €2bln, to cover the UK's EU membership fee...
The results of a Reuters poll of 8 Chinese fund managers 30 June recommend cash holdings to be reduced to 16.9% vs 20.6% last month suggest raising equity exposure for next 3 months to 76.9% vs 71...
Japan May housing report 30 June 2016 +9.0% prev annualised starts +1.017m vs +0.973m exp vs +0.995m prev Slightly delayed but now out. Not a price changer in its own right. USDJPY 102.64 .Expect bids/demand into 102.50 after its retreat from 103.00...
Reuters with the news from Fitch ratings: Brexit has no direct APAC sovereigns, bank ratings impact UK's vote to leave European Union has no immediate direct ratings impact on Asia-Pacific sovereigns or banks Spike in political uncertainty in UK - and resulting effects on investor risk appetite...
Fitch with a dour assessment on China Overcapacity weighs on china bank operating environment Over-capacity and over-leverage remain significant challenges for Chinese steel industry Expects steel sector to continue relying on commercial paper refinancing High levels of indebtedness in industrial...
Aussie data Job vacancies for May, -1.9% m/m prior 2.7% Private Sector Credit for May, +0.4% m/m expected 0.5%, prior 0.5...
ANZ data for June Activity Outlook 35.1 prior 30.4 Business Confidence 20.2 prior 11.3...
Here's a piece in Bloomberg on China stockmarkets, and it isn't cheery: Shanghai Composite Index firms reported earnings per share for the past year that were 33% below what analysts had predicted 12 months ago The gap widened to the most since 2009 The gap , far outstrips the difference between...
Some highlights from the latest 'China Beige Book' analysis on China's economy Economy bounced in Q2 from the slowdown in the previous two quarters (Q4 of 2015 and Q1 of 2016 were the weakest in the history of the beige Book report) Services and construction the bigger drivers of the bounce Servi...
New Zealand Building Consents for May For the m/m, down 0.9% (prior +6.6% For the y/y, up 13% to an 11 year high From Stats NZ: consents for new dwellings are at a higher level than in 2015, but there has been little growth in recent months...
GfK Consumer Confidence for June A beat, coming in at -1 expected -2 prior -1 This was a pre-Brexit vote survey (conducted June 1 to June 15...
Japan preliminary Industrial Production data for May -2.3% m/m expected -0.2%, prior 0.5% And -0.1% y/y expected +1.9%, prior was -3.3...
We're waiting for comments from two people The EU has made itself clear, it won't negotiate a new deal with Britain until an Article 50 notice. That might be posturing but it's the best we have to go on right now and it won't change imminently...
