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US Election Outcomes Matter – Goldman Sachs Alec Phillips, Senior US Economist at Goldman Sachs, suggests that the US fiscal stance depends in part on the election outcome. Key Quotes “Republicans are likely to focus on two issues that could provide a net boost: tax reform and defense spending...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Roberto Jacobs, 25 March 2016, 07:54 #Goldman Sachs
CHF: ECB Left Little Pressure on the SNB – Danske Bank Research Team at Danske Bank, notes that as expected, the SNB kept policy measures unchanged in March after the ECB’s easing move being concentrated within the QE/TLTRO sphere left little pressure on the SNB to cut its policy rates further in...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Roberto Jacobs, 25 March 2016, 07:52
The Fed has done its best to propagate confusion recently, first surprisingly markets on the highly dovish side in March – cutting the near-term real rate well into highly expansionary territory, prompting inflation overshooting speculation as well as discussions about a new Shanghai accord...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Francis Dogbe, 25 March 2016, 07:52 #ECB, Fed
GBP/USD Offered at 38.2% Fibo Level GBP/USD made another failed attempt to take out 1.4154 (38.2% of 1.4699-1.3835) before dropping to 1.4118 levels in Europe. Rejected at 1.4182 Pair jumped to 1...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Roberto Jacobs, 25 March 2016, 07:50
Easter comes early this year, and U.S. financial markets will be closed on Good Friday, which falls on March 25, while U.K. and some continental markets will be closed for Easter Monday as well. Good Friday isn't a federal holiday in the U.S...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Francis Dogbe, 25 March 2016, 07:43 #Trading
Japan Jan Leading Index Revised Up The leading index for Japan, which measures the future economic activity, increased at the start of the year instead of a decline initially estimated, final figures from the Cabinet Office showed Friday. The leading index rose to 101...
Market News
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Roberto Jacobs, 25 March 2016, 07:37
Follow EUR/USD Higher via Options – Deutsche Bank Research Team at Deutsche Bank, suggests to follow EUR/USD higher via options while advises to maintain caution on USD/CAD and NZD/USD. Key Quotes “The lack of trendiness persists in G10 with an average VHF standing at the 21st percentile...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Roberto Jacobs, 25 March 2016, 07:35
Eurozone: Monetary Easing Leaves More Scope for Fiscal Stimulus – Goldman Sachs Research Team at Goldman Sachs, suggests that running an easier fiscal policy is more feasible now than at the peak of the Euro crisis...
Market News
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Roberto Jacobs, 25 March 2016, 07:32 #Goldman Sachs
EUR/CHF: Brexit the Key Risk to a Sustained Rebound – Danske Bank Research Team at Danske Bank, suggests that the data out of Switzerland have made a clear turn for the better over the past month as notably CPI, GDP and employment growth alike surprised on the upside...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Roberto Jacobs, 25 March 2016, 07:29 #eurchf
Policy Stimulus: Running on Empty...
Market News
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Roberto Jacobs, 25 March 2016, 07:26 #Goldman Sachs
USD/JPY: Downside Risk Still Prevails – Deutsche Bank Taisuke Tanaka, Strategist at Deutsche Bank, suggests that the USD/JPY is hovering at around ¥112-113, but downside risk remains prevalent...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Roberto Jacobs, 25 March 2016, 07:18
BoJ to Catch Up on Negative Rates Relative to Europe – Danske Bank Research Team at Danske Bank, suggests that with the introduction of a negative interest rate policy the BoJ has added another dimension to its policy framework and can now pursue monetary easing by combining quantitative and qual...
Market News
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Roberto Jacobs, 25 March 2016, 06:59
USD Remains Generally Bid – ING Research Team at ING, suggests that the USD remains generally bid as declining oil prices and falling equity markets are supportive of the currency against G10 commodity currencies and EM FX in general...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Roberto Jacobs, 25 March 2016, 06:56
USD/JPY: Expect BoJ to Cut by 20bp in April – Danske Bank Research Team at Danske Bank, notes that the Japanese GDP contracted 0.3% q/q in Q4 15, and they see a high risk of a technical recession in Q4-Q1 with yet another negative growth rate in Q1. Key Quotes “Inflation printed at 0...
Currency
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Roberto Jacobs, 25 March 2016, 06:54
Yen Little Changed After Japan CPI, Leading Index Japan's final inflation and leading index reports for January were published at 1:00 am ET Friday. After these data, the yen changed little against its major rivals. As of 1:01 am ET, the yen was trading at 126.25 against the euro, 159...
Market News
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Roberto Jacobs, 25 March 2016, 06:48
Malaysia Feb Inflation Accelerates More Than Expected Malaysia's consumer price inflation quickened at a faster-than-expected pace in February, figures from the Department of Statistics showed Friday. The consumer price index rose 4.2 percent year-over-year in February, faster than the 3...
Market News
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Roberto Jacobs, 25 March 2016, 06:44
FXWIREPRO: Thai Baht Gains on the Back of Better Than expected Trade Balance Data USD/THB is trading around 35.33 levels. It made intraday high at 35.35 and low at 35.29 levels. Today Thailand released trade balance data with positive numbers at USD4.990B m/m vs USD0.240B m/m previous release...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Roberto Jacobs, 25 March 2016, 06:42
Dollar Poised for Weekly Gain After Fed Officials Signal Rate Hikes By Lisa Twaronite TOKYO (Reuters) - The dollar was on track on Friday for a weekly gain of over 1 percent against a basket of currencies after a chorus of U.S...
Market News
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Roberto Jacobs, 25 March 2016, 06:32
Forex - Yen Weaker after CPI Comes in Flat for February Investing.com - The yen traded weaker in Asia on Friday with some markets closed to mark Good Friday in a thin trading day. USD/JPY changed hands at 113.06, up 0.14%, while AUD/USD eased 0.04% to 0.7526...
Currency
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Roberto Jacobs, 25 March 2016, 06:27 #forex
Pairs to be Avoided are... - Deutsche Oliver Harvey, analyst at Deutsche Bank explained that the lack of trendiness persists in G10 with an average VHF standing at the 21st percentile. EUR/USD tops the technical scorecard in G10 space...
Currency
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Roberto Jacobs, 25 March 2016, 05:59