XAU/USD likely to break lower

9 February 2015, 06:58
Andrius Kulvinskas
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According to FXStreet Editor and Analyst, Dhwani Mehta, XAU/USD is likely to break lower to retest 1228.64 levels, but a failure to break the support might lead the pair to rebound higher.

Key Quotes

“Gold prices in terms of US dollar (XAU/USD) fell sharply on Friday and ended last week lower at 1233.78 levels, after better than forecasts US Nonfarm payrolls figures boosted the US dollar. The pair bounced-off 50-DMA on Friday.”

“The pair seems to struggle around 1236-1237 levels on the hourly chart, as the upside remains capped by the hourly 5-DMA located at 1237.80 levels.”

“The pair is likely to break below support of hourly 10-DMA as the hourly bearish RSI at 31.54 has turned even lower.”

“To the downside, the pair may retest daily 50-DMA (1228.64). In a yet another failed attempt to breach that level, the pair is expected to rebound to test hourly 20-DMA at 1242.50 levels.”

“Overall, the pair is likely to trade downside pressured by increasing odds of an earlier US interest rate hike which may support the USD.”