EUR: Outlook for the week by Morgan Stanley

EUR: Outlook for the week by Morgan Stanley

19 October 2015, 21:11
Sergey Golubev
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EUR: Bullish
"We believe that EURUSD could head higher before we see pushback from the ECB. Indeed, we don’t expect anything from next week’s meeting. Our base case is for no further easing, but in the tail risk that the central bank does decide to do more, this would be likely to come in December alongside the ECB’s new forecasts. With further action from the ECB unlikely in the near term, and US rates falling, EUR is becoming less attractive as a short term funder, offering it support."

From the technical point of view - the price is on primary bearish market condition for the ranging between the following key support/resistance levels:

  • 1.1956 resistance level, and
  • 1.0607 support level.
The price may start the bear market rally by the breaking 1.1459 and 1.1713 resistance levels from below to above, and we may see the local uptrend in this case only for example.
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