USD/JPY by Morgan Stanley: Ranging Bullish; Watch Wages

USD/JPY by Morgan Stanley: Ranging Bullish; Watch Wages

7 September 2015, 18:11
Sergey Golubev
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Morgan Stanley believes in neutral JPY related to USD that means the bullish trend to be continuing with secondary ranging market condition:

JPY: Watch Wages. Neutral.
"More global asset market volatility would support the safe haven JPY, but we have to increasingly be aware of the risk of a BoJ response. After a 2Q contraction, the ramp into 3Q growth remains disappointing. Key will be cash earnings to test if the BoJ’s narrative of higher corporate profits filtering through to wages is gaining traction."

Let's evaluate the situation with USD/JPY concerning future possible direction of the trend: bearish or bullish in long-term situation?

USD/JPY: ranging bullish. This pair is on primary bullish market condition with secondary ranging within 125.79 key resistance and 116.13 key support level.

If the price breaks 125.79 resistance so the bullish trend will be continuing.
If the price breaks 116.13 support level so we may see the secondary correction within the primary bullish.
If the price breaks 103.33 support level from above to below so we may see the reversal of the price movement to the primary bearish market condition.

Resistance
Support
125.79116.13
N/A
103.33

Thus, the bearish reversal level is 103.33, and I do not see any possibility for the price to break this level from above to below in the near future for example. It means that Morgan Stanley's forecast is correct one.
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