bota mircea
European equity markets were down after the financial reports of companies came below expectations. U.S. stocks continued their decline as investors fear a cut accelerate monetary stimulus. Asian equity market fell from reduced profitability growth of Chinese industrial companies.
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bota mircea
Annualized sales of new homes down , but the Fed may take the
Hopes and then scattered gather speed in the market ( as in other areas of life ) , especially after a shock like the one on Friday. Stock markets have lost 24 of the month nearly 3 % in Germany and France , and more than 2 % in the U.S. , a drop in investors seem to have forgotten to be possible , after several months passed without similar variations . New houses sold in December led to an annual rate of 414 000 , under the most pessimistic estimate preliminary survey - but the whole year figures add up to a jump of 16 % compared to 2013. Moreover, the first assessment services sector shows positive . So the Fed may not be persuaded by these data , keeping pace slowing 10 billion dollars a month . So think now markets and indices remain under pressure to generate new lows .
Our view is more nuanced : the Fed is forced to temper Wednesday .. more data will be needed for a clear formulation .
Hopes and then scattered gather speed in the market ( as in other areas of life ) , especially after a shock like the one on Friday. Stock markets have lost 24 of the month nearly 3 % in Germany and France , and more than 2 % in the U.S. , a drop in investors seem to have forgotten to be possible , after several months passed without similar variations . New houses sold in December led to an annual rate of 414 000 , under the most pessimistic estimate preliminary survey - but the whole year figures add up to a jump of 16 % compared to 2013. Moreover, the first assessment services sector shows positive . So the Fed may not be persuaded by these data , keeping pace slowing 10 billion dollars a month . So think now markets and indices remain under pressure to generate new lows .
Our view is more nuanced : the Fed is forced to temper Wednesday .. more data will be needed for a clear formulation .
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bota mircea
The Euro is in a hurry to celebrate
Champagne ? At least one glass for investors who had long positions in euros. PMI indices reflected an industry regains its breath in France and solid growth in Germany. Average in the euro area was 53.9 points , while the services sector has managed to exceed estimates although Germany had a marginal improvement . The current account surplus is a more consistent , showing that , despite the wailing of France , on the whole Eurozone is doing pretty well even in a EUR / USD close to 1.36. Pain is 26 % unemployment in Spain, but even stopped growing ( it's still near the top historically suggestive of depression ) . Eurozone composite index , shown below , shows why Europe sees the light trembling of the crisis. It can support the hypothesis of a return to power of the single currency ? For now it seems that there 's a need for more arguments , because the Fed 's strategy rooted in stopping QE program than Europe economy recovery .
Champagne ? At least one glass for investors who had long positions in euros. PMI indices reflected an industry regains its breath in France and solid growth in Germany. Average in the euro area was 53.9 points , while the services sector has managed to exceed estimates although Germany had a marginal improvement . The current account surplus is a more consistent , showing that , despite the wailing of France , on the whole Eurozone is doing pretty well even in a EUR / USD close to 1.36. Pain is 26 % unemployment in Spain, but even stopped growing ( it's still near the top historically suggestive of depression ) . Eurozone composite index , shown below , shows why Europe sees the light trembling of the crisis. It can support the hypothesis of a return to power of the single currency ? For now it seems that there 's a need for more arguments , because the Fed 's strategy rooted in stopping QE program than Europe economy recovery .
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bota mircea
The U.S. dollar declined from the peak last four months in a day when we had economic data from America. Canadian dollar reaches last four years minimum before meeting members of the central bank today. Pound reached year highs against the euro rose after the IMF growth forecast for the UK.
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bota mircea
Oil can return only on optimism about the U.S.?
The U.S. economy will be , from what we can see , a good economic year than ended . Some of brakes made public uncertainty and increase taxes in 2013 will disappear and consumers are now healthier finances . Meanwhile the U.S. is aggressively developing shale resources combustibii , pushing up strong offer on the North American market ( OIL.WTI ) , but almost no impact on Brent (OIL ) .
As the U.S. accelerating, slowing Chinese economy ( although the U.S. and China aimed at 3% down to 7%). But Brent 's is compressed and reduced geopolitical risk premium . Libya is to export more this year after protests from some export facilities . Iran follows the appeasement after economic sanctions regime imposed too heavy times changed. Was halted uranium enrichment work , as announced by the IAEA , and the facilities will be open for inspection. Only the sharp decline in stocks ( winter was tough in the U.S.) prevented a landing sales last week. Now , with the needle in the contraction of core can capture oil ? Funds and large speculators decrease their positions on the buying and selling of growth , with a fluctuation of more than 14,000 contracts net is a sign of lost confidence . But taking into account the depreciation already undergone a positive correction can easily draw , receiving technical arguments after closing above 106.60 .
The U.S. economy will be , from what we can see , a good economic year than ended . Some of brakes made public uncertainty and increase taxes in 2013 will disappear and consumers are now healthier finances . Meanwhile the U.S. is aggressively developing shale resources combustibii , pushing up strong offer on the North American market ( OIL.WTI ) , but almost no impact on Brent (OIL ) .
As the U.S. accelerating, slowing Chinese economy ( although the U.S. and China aimed at 3% down to 7%). But Brent 's is compressed and reduced geopolitical risk premium . Libya is to export more this year after protests from some export facilities . Iran follows the appeasement after economic sanctions regime imposed too heavy times changed. Was halted uranium enrichment work , as announced by the IAEA , and the facilities will be open for inspection. Only the sharp decline in stocks ( winter was tough in the U.S.) prevented a landing sales last week. Now , with the needle in the contraction of core can capture oil ? Funds and large speculators decrease their positions on the buying and selling of growth , with a fluctuation of more than 14,000 contracts net is a sign of lost confidence . But taking into account the depreciation already undergone a positive correction can easily draw , receiving technical arguments after closing above 106.60 .
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bota mircea
The dollar is close to the biggest weekly gain in the last two months after it has appreciated against most of its counterparts while the Japanese yen managed to limit its losses before it. The Australian dollar continued its decline amid rumors on the potential cutting the policy rate.
European stock markets remained close to the maximum of six years after the U.S. macro data was in line with expectations. U.S. stocks fell after the financial reports of companies disappointed investors. Asian capital market fared floating before China's economic reports next week.
European stock markets remained close to the maximum of six years after the U.S. macro data was in line with expectations. U.S. stocks fell after the financial reports of companies disappointed investors. Asian capital market fared floating before China's economic reports next week.
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bota mircea
The dollar appreciated against the Japanese Yen for the third consecutive day on positive data coming from the U.S. economy. The euro weakened against the dollar, reaching 1.3622 level. The Australian dollar fell against its counterparts last three years minimum reached after a surprising increase in unemployment.
European equity markets gained ground after the World Bank increased global economic growth forecast. U.S. stocks have been increasing following the publication than expected indicator of manufacturing sector. Asian capital market had a fluctuating trend data today before the U.S. labor market.
European equity markets gained ground after the World Bank increased global economic growth forecast. U.S. stocks have been increasing following the publication than expected indicator of manufacturing sector. Asian capital market had a fluctuating trend data today before the U.S. labor market.
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bota mircea
The U.S. dollar appreciated against most of its counterparts after retail sales were published than expected. The Canadian dollar continued its decline against the depreciation of oil, the main export of the country. Japanese Yen lost ground against the euro and the dollar as a result of the current account deficit to a record of Japan.
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bota mircea
hi guys,
I want to say that someone copied my trading description...his name is Shivam Gupta
IT IS NOT ME....
I wrote to him and ask him to change the description...now will see..
have a nice evening!
I want to say that someone copied my trading description...his name is Shivam Gupta
IT IS NOT ME....
I wrote to him and ask him to change the description...now will see..
have a nice evening!
· 1
bota mircea
quote of the day: "Probability to fail is as big as likely to succeed, so ... go ahead."
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bota mircea
Sergey Golubev
评论给主题 Something Interesting to Read January 2014
Technical Analysis Of The Financial Markets-John J Murphy John J. Murphy has now updated his landmark bestseller Technical Analysis of the Futures Markets, to include all of the financial markets
bota mircea
Falling interest rhymes with strong Euro .. commonly
Spain received last week from investors the best gift after the financial crisis : interest securities offer 2.21% for 5 years , values comparable to 2006
when no cloud seemed to be looming on the horizon. Market interest rate of 1.01 % on government bonds with maturities of two years , there is minimal post- crisis, but even after 1993 when Bloomberg collect the data . Spanish finance minister warned that the recovery is still fragile , and proved more complicated than anticipated .
Today another big economy " southern " , Italy, raised in the markets Euro 8.2 billion , almost proposed. Cost titles on three years reached 1.51 % record low. What does this mean for the country and for the euro ? Payments on public debt are related Italy deficit - otherwise, would record surplus finances , a situation different from that of France , for example. Interest rates should remain low but a much longer period to help significantly treasury, and also encourage credit flows to the real economy . For the Euro , in the old days of the crisis, lower interest rates mean secondary market appreciation. There seems to be appropriate, wincing slightly and leaving the Euro is then recalibrated dollar booty interest - perhaps adjustments mature interpretation of data on Friday.
With frowning to skim Investors see ECB to provide liquidity determination in a wide range of transmission channels, and decide that sovereign bonds are cheap , but for the same reason , Euro becomes less interesting.
Spain received last week from investors the best gift after the financial crisis : interest securities offer 2.21% for 5 years , values comparable to 2006
when no cloud seemed to be looming on the horizon. Market interest rate of 1.01 % on government bonds with maturities of two years , there is minimal post- crisis, but even after 1993 when Bloomberg collect the data . Spanish finance minister warned that the recovery is still fragile , and proved more complicated than anticipated .
Today another big economy " southern " , Italy, raised in the markets Euro 8.2 billion , almost proposed. Cost titles on three years reached 1.51 % record low. What does this mean for the country and for the euro ? Payments on public debt are related Italy deficit - otherwise, would record surplus finances , a situation different from that of France , for example. Interest rates should remain low but a much longer period to help significantly treasury, and also encourage credit flows to the real economy . For the Euro , in the old days of the crisis, lower interest rates mean secondary market appreciation. There seems to be appropriate, wincing slightly and leaving the Euro is then recalibrated dollar booty interest - perhaps adjustments mature interpretation of data on Friday.
With frowning to skim Investors see ECB to provide liquidity determination in a wide range of transmission channels, and decide that sovereign bonds are cheap , but for the same reason , Euro becomes less interesting.
· 2
bota mircea
Good morning guys!
Soon will be availible Aggressive Trading on MT5...so stay tooned...:)
now...let's make sone pips!
have a nice day everyone!
Soon will be availible Aggressive Trading on MT5...so stay tooned...:)
now...let's make sone pips!
have a nice day everyone!
bota mircea
Scandal at the top of the global banking system : the Federal Reserve initiated an investigation
U.S. Federal Reserve is investigating the largest banks in the world to determine whether traders manipulated pointers currency markets , with a turnover of 5,300 billion per day, according to Bloomberg .
Federal Reserve joins the growing number of central banks and governments that run investigations for suspected market manipulation exchange by exchange of confidential information between traders of the largest banks in order to maximize their profits , said Bloomberg a source close to the situation.
Banks risk heavy fines .
" Fed may at discretion whether and how to amend the banks if poor internal control mechanisms and the lack of proper supervision resulted in manipulating exchange rates by traders ," commented a former federal prosecutor Bloomberg U.S. attorney now .
Fed sanctioned several banks last year to deficiencies in the internal control mechanisms , including breaking the embargo on transactions with entities in Iran and bad bets on financial derivatives market .
Deutsche Bank, Citigroup, Barclays and UBS controls more than half of Currency Trading globally , according to Euromoney Institutional Investor .
Authorities in Britain and Switzerland , and the U.S. Justice Department investigation for handling menus own indexes on foreign exchange markets .
At least 12 banks have been contacted by authorities . Some lending institutions, including British banks Lloyds and Royal Bank of Scotland , announced that an internal investigation menus .
Citigroup announced last week that fired the spot trading director for Europe , Rohan Ramchandani , one of the traders under investigation .
source: zf.ro
U.S. Federal Reserve is investigating the largest banks in the world to determine whether traders manipulated pointers currency markets , with a turnover of 5,300 billion per day, according to Bloomberg .
Federal Reserve joins the growing number of central banks and governments that run investigations for suspected market manipulation exchange by exchange of confidential information between traders of the largest banks in order to maximize their profits , said Bloomberg a source close to the situation.
Banks risk heavy fines .
" Fed may at discretion whether and how to amend the banks if poor internal control mechanisms and the lack of proper supervision resulted in manipulating exchange rates by traders ," commented a former federal prosecutor Bloomberg U.S. attorney now .
Fed sanctioned several banks last year to deficiencies in the internal control mechanisms , including breaking the embargo on transactions with entities in Iran and bad bets on financial derivatives market .
Deutsche Bank, Citigroup, Barclays and UBS controls more than half of Currency Trading globally , according to Euromoney Institutional Investor .
Authorities in Britain and Switzerland , and the U.S. Justice Department investigation for handling menus own indexes on foreign exchange markets .
At least 12 banks have been contacted by authorities . Some lending institutions, including British banks Lloyds and Royal Bank of Scotland , announced that an internal investigation menus .
Citigroup announced last week that fired the spot trading director for Europe , Rohan Ramchandani , one of the traders under investigation .
source: zf.ro
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bota mircea
Friday's report from the U.S. labor market has left many gaping. And while fans dollar pockets were emptied, lowering unemployment was regarded with reserve, while the low figure of only 74,000 new jobs created has captured the entire interest. "Deferral of moderation" opinion makers thought that crossed methodical sales dollars. But if the last dollar decreased interest was evidence of a favorable feeling brought and purchases of shares, this time they were instead sold. Return was only modest U.S. markets.
bota mircea
The dollar appreciated against its counterparties after ADP report showed an improvement in the U.S. labor market. The Canadian dollar continued its decline against the dollar and approaching the minimum set in May 2010. The Australian dollar fell for the third consecutive day amid curing, the U.S. dollar.
European capital markets have fluctuated around the peak of the last five years despite the publication than expected ADP. U.S. stocks fell after improving labor market has fueled speculation that monetary stimulus would be cutting accelerated. Asian capital market lost ground amid China's PPI publication below expectations.
European capital markets have fluctuated around the peak of the last five years despite the publication than expected ADP. U.S. stocks fell after improving labor market has fueled speculation that monetary stimulus would be cutting accelerated. Asian capital market lost ground amid China's PPI publication below expectations.
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bota mircea
EUR / USD intraday: key resistance at 1.3655 short term.
Pivot point (level of invalidation): 1.3655
Our preference: Short positions at 1.3645 with targets at 1359 and 1.3565 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 1.3655 is expected to continue to grow in 1,368 and 1,371 as targets.
Technical Review: while the threshold of resistance is 1.3655, expect the price fluctuation of a negative trend.
Pivot point (level of invalidation): 1.3655
Our preference: Short positions at 1.3645 with targets at 1359 and 1.3565 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 1.3655 is expected to continue to grow in 1,368 and 1,371 as targets.
Technical Review: while the threshold of resistance is 1.3655, expect the price fluctuation of a negative trend.
· 1
bota mircea
Oil or gold ?
Oil is at lows last four weeks , gold is trying a comeback
Protests in Libya have stopped at one of the largest oil fields , allowing future resumption of production and increase supply by 300 thousand barrels of good quality, "sweet" . Not only Brent lost 3.14% , but WTI ( New York) recorded a nearly 5.43% minus 1 to January 6. Profits need to mark the upcoming moderating idea very relaxed monetary policy contributed to slipping on January 2 . But the situation remains unpredictable. Rival power groups can pause Libyan ports , and Iraq is the scene of violence affecting a transmission line of 600 thousand barrels per day. The government is fighting militants with links to Al- Qaeda. At the same time the cold weather in the U.S. blocks the road, but increased demand for heating oil . Located at the beginning of oppression sellers , oil could attempt a corrective recovery , both in New York and London.
Gold has contradicted the first sessions of generalized pessimism , managing to recover from the 1180 dollars / ounce - on 31 December - over 1240 dollars in Monday's session . India consider reducing import barriers , which would increase demand from the consumer world ranked two . But markets seem to begin to understand that although in relative terms would be dollar appreciation against other currencies , however, money growth generates long-term inflationary risks insufficiently integrated into current prices . Gold , however , unlike oil, seems vulnerable to the hours and days ahead.
Oil is at lows last four weeks , gold is trying a comeback
Protests in Libya have stopped at one of the largest oil fields , allowing future resumption of production and increase supply by 300 thousand barrels of good quality, "sweet" . Not only Brent lost 3.14% , but WTI ( New York) recorded a nearly 5.43% minus 1 to January 6. Profits need to mark the upcoming moderating idea very relaxed monetary policy contributed to slipping on January 2 . But the situation remains unpredictable. Rival power groups can pause Libyan ports , and Iraq is the scene of violence affecting a transmission line of 600 thousand barrels per day. The government is fighting militants with links to Al- Qaeda. At the same time the cold weather in the U.S. blocks the road, but increased demand for heating oil . Located at the beginning of oppression sellers , oil could attempt a corrective recovery , both in New York and London.
Gold has contradicted the first sessions of generalized pessimism , managing to recover from the 1180 dollars / ounce - on 31 December - over 1240 dollars in Monday's session . India consider reducing import barriers , which would increase demand from the consumer world ranked two . But markets seem to begin to understand that although in relative terms would be dollar appreciation against other currencies , however, money growth generates long-term inflationary risks insufficiently integrated into current prices . Gold , however , unlike oil, seems vulnerable to the hours and days ahead.
· 2
bota mircea
today's important news: Trade Balance at 15.30 (gmt+2), Difference in value between imported and exported goods and services during the reported month;
Why we care: Export demand and currency demand are directly linked because foreigners must buy the domestic currency to pay for the nation's exports. Export demand also impacts production and prices at domestic manufacturers;
source: forexfactory.com
Why we care: Export demand and currency demand are directly linked because foreigners must buy the domestic currency to pay for the nation's exports. Export demand also impacts production and prices at domestic manufacturers;
source: forexfactory.com
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