Evgeniy Scherbina
Evgeniy Scherbina
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10+ лет
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Evgeniy Scherbina Выставил продукт

Индикатор IQuantum показывает торговые сигналы по 10 символам на дневном графике: AUDUSD, EURGBP, EURUSD, GBPCHF, GBPUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF, USDJPY, USDNOK и USDSEK. Сигналы индикатора генерируются двумя нейронными моделями, которые были обучены независимо друг от друга. В качестве входов для нейронных моделей используются нормализованные цены символов, а также золота, серебра и указатели текущего дня. Каждая нейронная модель была обучена в двух вариантах. Максимальный режим (Ultimate) представляет

Evgeniy Scherbina
Evgeniy Scherbina
So this is it. Gold has broken it. For the first time in history, Gold is exploring the price of over 2100 USD. We are living it, and we should be proud about it? Happy about it? Or worried about it?

The good thing to know is it can't grow endlessly. It must fall. There is no level that is higher than 2100. So no target value to reach and to roll back. It can roll back any day. Any time. Can it roll back today?

The bad thing, or the bad consequence is evident. No one expected it to grow that high. It just broke all indicators. It has made us incur losses and suffer the pain of frustration. It is not fair! Go back, you brick of bright shiny gold! Go back now!

My two advisors - Gold Chaser and Neural Rabbit - both trade Gold. Their neural model for Gold is identical, and it could not foresee the trend beyond 2100 because it has never happened in the history on which it was trained. Clearly, I will have to retrain the model. To avoid that kind of miscalculation in the future, I am going to try the following ways:

1) Extend the training period.

2) Drop the trade-off between a good historical chart and a good performance on the unseen future data. What this means, is I tried with these 2 advisors to accomodate the 2 approaches. I wanted to please those traders who want to be sure it can pass the history well. And I tried to find such values of neural loss which would allow the strategy make correct trading decisions on the unseen future data. That is why it broke. No more trade-offs! Trade-offs don't work! Or else they work until the market spirals out of control.

3) My latest approach is to leave out 75% of training data to avoid repetitions in the training dataset and make it less addicted to such repetitions. The following validation includes a 100% of the dataset, so I can always make sure it is a valid neural model.

We do not succumb to the frustration wrought by the power of the unwinding market! We adapt and we become stronger! Profit will be ours!
Evgeniy Scherbina
Evgeniy Scherbina
Hey, guys. I am currently working to create a free indicator which will visualize the trading decisions of my newest advisor "QuantumPip".

Below is the picture of how it may look like. I am still thinking of what could be done. I hope I can publish it this week.

It is going to be based on the same data as the advisor "QuantumPip", but it will be a free indicator, not an advisor by itself. Some users like to see how trading decisions were made.

If you have any comments or suggestions, you are invited to comment here or you can write to me via the messages.
Evgeniy Scherbina
Evgeniy Scherbina
ChatGPT is pondering on how to help users understand the concepts of machine learning.

To address this issue, you may consider implementing the following strategies:

- **Educational Materials**: Develop educational materials or presentations that explain the concepts of overfitting, generalization, and the importance of future performance in a simple and accessible way.

- **Comparative Analysis**: Compare the performance of overfit models and properly trained models on real-world data to demonstrate the impact of overfitting on future performance.

- **Risk Assessment**: Discuss the risks associated with overfitting and the potential consequences of basing decisions solely on visually appealing historical charts.

- **Engagement**: Encourage customer engagement by involving them in the model evaluation process and demonstrating the value of robust, generalizable models over visually appealing but overfit models.
Evgeniy Scherbina
Добавил тему Разговор с ChatGPT об улучшении нейронной сети и торговле на Форекс
4 тыс рублей в год за подписку ChatGPT, чтобы все узнать... Жаль, бот сообщает фундаментальные знания, которые она выдает за самую объективную и полную информацию. Конечно, зачем делать машинное обучение. Ведь проще просто спросить, что будет с евро
Evgeniy Scherbina
Добавил тему Хочу сделать стратегию с максимально красивым историческим графиком
Пользователи предпочитают стратегии, которые рисуют красивые графики. Ни продавцов, ни тем более покупателей не волнует, что красивая история не зарабатывает на неизвестном периоде. Многие продавцы-разработчики даже не ломают голову из-за какого-то
Evgeniy Scherbina
Evgeniy Scherbina
​A good pic is better than a thousand words. I have made a pic and I will add words to it to explain it.

Neural networks open possibilities. However, too many users these days do not understand the possibilities.

Neural networks learn prices, fluctuations, patterns... In fact, whatever you feed into a neural network (really - whatever!!), it will learn it. Can I feed random prices? Yes! Can I feed random prices of random symbols? Yes! Can I feed bullshit? Yes! It will learn it.

It will learn it. It is not a problem. The problem arises from learning too much.

Why this post? Because too many users buy bad strategies that show an incredible growth in the historical chart. Too many users do not buy good strategies because they think that a mediocre historical chart will not allow them to make a profit on Forex. Good strategies fall into oblivion, that is to the bottom of the ranking system, which is based on greed and not on analysis or credibility.

So what? Make a real live signal, run it for half a year and show a profit with your good strategy. Prove that it works. Yes, this is what I tried. And they still don't buy, because they found hundreds of strategies that show an incredible growth (from 1k to 1 trillion in several years, literally) in the nice historical chart.

Why this post? I do not want to be a liar. I do not want to sell nice historical charts.

This new strategy "Intraday Rush" shows several levels of accuracy in the training. These levels are defined by the property "Trading pattern". The "reliable" level has a much higher chance to win in the unknown period. While the "ultimate" level, despite the mind-blowing profitability in history, has a much worse chance of winning in the unknown period. This is it. I have written it. I have explained it.

Does the market never repeat itself? Is it true that, from this standpoint, an absolutely unprofitable strategy in history should have the best chance to win in the unknown period? Maybe yes!!!

This is what I think. History has some valuable patterns. A good strategy should try to learn the very basic pattern-like moves from history. Therefore, it should demonstrate profitability in any long period running for at least a year. A good strategy should have drawdowns and wrong trades leading to frustration in some periods. And it should win in other periods. This is what makes a good strategy.

Sometimes users do not want a profit on Forex. They want to buy a hope at this particular moment of their lives and be happy for a few days with that false hope. Yes, I understand it. Switch to the "ultimate" level, this is your false hope. Some users can't stop believing that a nice historical pic will not lead to a profit in the unknown period. Yes, I understand this, too.

Why this post? After months or even years of playing around with so many "nice" strategies out there, come back and read this post again. And switch to the "reliable" trading pattern of "Intraday Rush".
Evgeniy Scherbina
Evgeniy Scherbina
Hi, everyone. I finally found a good way to add an intraday trading to the advisor "Intraday Rush". So now it is mostly daily trading (new trades every new day). I am going to add to the new version another timeframe - 2-hours.

It is going to be the same logic, but you will be able to choose between daily and hourly trading. 2h-timeframe has 12 times more trades than daily. It also bring more flexibility of course, because the advisor can react to market fluctuations much faster.

The indicator "IRush" will also be updated! So stay tuned! The new update will be published no later than next week!
Evgeniy Scherbina
Evgeniy Scherbina
If you are wondering whether I have a MyFXBook page, the answers is: YES!!

myfxbook.com/members/otvazhnii

It has all my best strategies - Neural Rabbit, Gold Chaser etc - updated live. More strategies will be added in the very near future. All in one chart, it is so easy to compare!

If you want to drill down into details, it has lots of nice diagrams and piecharts. Profit per month, missed profit and more. Go check it out!
Evgeniy Scherbina Выставил продукт

Советник Neural Rabbit ("нейронный кролик") торгует одновременно несколько символов в автоматическом режиме: AUDUSD, EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF, USDJPY, а также Золото, Серебро, Биткойн и Нефть. Советник использует рекуррентную нейронную сеть для анализа данных разных графиков. В качестве входов я использования изменения цен и значения индикаторов. Советник использует 4 стратегии: 1 сеть (решения "бай" или "селл") и 2 сети (решения "бай" или неопределенность и "селл" или неопределенность)

Evgeniy Scherbina
Evgeniy Scherbina
Gold Chaser 95$ down from 385$
Intraday Rush 95$ down from 385$
Neural Rabbit 85$ down from 215$
Tokyo 85$ down from 215$

Merry Christmas and Happy New Year!!
End of Year Sale!!
Limited Time Only!!
Sergey Porphiryev
Sergey Porphiryev 2023.12.10
The most bombastic New Year's gift from Santa!!!!
Evgeniy Scherbina
Evgeniy Scherbina
Hi. I am glad to announce that I have just posted a demo version of my newest strategy "Gold Chaser". It only trades on XAUUSD (Gold) on demo accounts. You can run it live but only on demo accounts.

https://www.mql5.com/en/blogs/post/754992

Hurry up! This offer will not be available forever!
Evgeniy Scherbina
Evgeniy Scherbina
Hi, everyone. Below are my early thoughts on how to integrate trading for Bitcoin into my newest advisor "Gold Chaser".

Bitcoin is not easy. Nor it is like other symbols. It seems like Bitcoin was nothing before 2013. It started growing exponentially about 10 years ago from nothing to something everyone desperately needed.

As there is no reliable history, I suggest to myself I should better turn to the 8-hour chart. Thus, I will still have 2 options. First, waiting for a big move up or down like it was in 2013, and then later in 2020, and then again in 2021 to the highest peak of 65K in Autumn of 2021. And then a huge fall to below 25K in 2022. And second, I can still trade in seemingly ever-lasting flat channels, like those in the second half of 2022 and then several times in 2023.

It will be a different approach, overall. It will be different from anything. Previously, I thought Gold was different from the major symbols. Gold pushes huge swaying moves. A Gold move feels like a trend almost every day. But Bitcoin is different from Gold, which is different from the major symbols.

I am going to do a million tests (as usual) for Bitcoin in the 8-hour chart to check if it is a good approach. My best hope I will be able to integrate this symbol to the advisor "Gold Chaser" in December, and it will work as one solid and even more reliable strategy.
Evgeniy Scherbina Выставил продукт
Отзывов: 1
165.00 USD

Советник Gold Chaser ("Искатель золота") торгует полностью автоматически на 4 символах: XAUUSD (Gold), XAGUSD (Silver), BTCUSD (Bitcoin) и XBRUSD (Brent Oil). Я планирую в ближайшем будущем добавить еще криптовалюты и/или фондовые индексы. Возможности "неосновных" символов действительно отличаются от того, к чему привыкаешь с основным набором символов. Прежде всего, золото движется очень быстро. Также как и основные символы, золото реагирует на политическую обстановку, важнейшие экономические

Evgeniy Scherbina
Evgeniy Scherbina
Gold is moving away from its highs. But is it going down as low as 1650, which is the previous support exactly one year ago? Of course, not! Gold will sway in the range of 1800 - 2000 USD per ounce. It will not move out of these bounds, at least, till the end of 2023.

These huge flat moves by Gold are like nothing else. It is hard to find a flat and yet profitable pattern like this in any other symbol. So why isn't there a good strategy to take on this profitability of wide and flat moves? Well, there is soon going to be a fully automatic strategy to trade Gold and probably other metals and commodities! Stay tuned! It's close. Maybe even as close as the next week!
Evgeniy Scherbina Выставил продукт
Отзывов: 3
265.00 USD

Советник Intraday Rush торгует одновременно несколько символов в автоматическом режиме: AUDUSD, EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF и USDJPY. Советник использует измененный вариант популярного индикатора RSI (Relative Strength Index, "Индекс относительной силы"), чтобы принимать торговые решения на открытие и закрытие. Вы можете скачать бесплатный индикатор IRush , на основе которого работает этот советник, чтобы визуализировать торговлю. Главная особенность этого советника в том, что он может

Evgeniy Scherbina
Evgeniy Scherbina
Hi, everyone. Can Britain finally shrug off the US dollar pressure? GBPUSD made a defiant move of 200+ pips last week. It broke up after a flat October. But can it go even higher? And how much higher?

My new indicator IRush shows: no way. GBPUSD daily is completely red right now. So it is bound to fall.

Friday, most likely, British GDP data will be negative. Bloomberg says: Friday negative GDP will be the mark of a starting recession.

So, it has not been a recession thus far? GBPUSD breaching 1.21 and not yet a recession?

My forecast is that it can try to continue the up move next week. And then it will fall back. I do not think it can break the 1.21 support level, but GBPUSD will be pinned to it because Britain may be going into a recession.
Evgeniy Scherbina
Evgeniy Scherbina
Hi, everyone. I would like to comment on the update to the version 1.3. This new version fixes the bug which caused the advisor to mishandle trading when a new week or a new month started. I could not spot this error in tests while developing the advisor. This error of missing data emerged only in live trading. So I fixed it.

If the advisor had not had this error, it would have performed better than the current live signal shows. We can see it now in the history tests - for both default settings and recommended settings. What we see in the picture of the recommended settings is that the balance dropped at the beginning of October, but then it recovered by the end of October. It did not happen in the live signal because the advisor mishandled some of the trades.

Now the error has been fixed, and I am sure it can recover in the month of November.
Evgeniy Scherbina Выставил продукт
Отзывов: 1
FREE

Индикатор IRush использует модифицированную версию популярного индикатора RSI (Relative Strength Index, "Индекс относительной силы") для определения входов в рынок на дневном графике или меньше. Индикатор настроен и проверен для работы на основных символах: AUDUSD, EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF и USDJPY. Автоматическая торговля по этому индикатору реализована в советнике Intraday Rush . Советник умеет открывать, вести и закрывать свои сделки. Обязательно посмотрите, возможно, это то, что вы

Evgeniy Scherbina Выставил продукт

165.00 USD

Советник Tokyo торгует одновременно несколько символов в автоматическом режиме: AUDUSD, EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF и USDJPY. Решения принимает рекуррентная нейронная сеть. В качестве входов я использования изменения цен и значения индикаторов. Для советника Tokyo я придумал особый алгоритм нормализации цен. Я назвал этот алгоритм "скользящим". Текущие цены не всегда можно сравнивать с ценами прошлых лет. Однако анализ истории помогает принимать правильные решения в текущей рыночной ситуации