|Símbolo||Lucro bruto, USD||Loss, USD||Lucro, USD|
|Símbolo||Lucro bruto, pips||Loss, pips||Lucro, pips|
Valores de Máximo lucro (MFE) e Máxima perda (MAE) são registrados para cada ordem aberta durante a existência da sua conta na corretora. Estes parâmetros, adicionalmente caracterizam cada ordem fechada usando os valores do potencial máximo não realizado e o valor máximo de risco. MFE/Lucros e MAE/Lucros são distribuídos em gráficos, exibindo cada posição como um ponto com o valor recebido de lucro/perda plotados ao longo do eixo X, enquanto os valores máximos exibidos de lucro potencial (MFE) e perda potencial (MAE) são plotados ao longo do eixo Y.
Coloque o cursor sobre as legendas parâmetros/gráfico para ver a melhor e a pior série de negociação. Saiba mais sobre distribuições MAE e MFE no artigo Matemática na Negociação: Como Estimar Resultados de Negociação.
A Slippage média está baseada em estatísticas de real contas para diferentes corretoras. Ela depende da diferença entre as cotações de provedores a partir de HalifaxPro-Live e as cotações dos assinantes, bem como dos atrasos nas execuções das ordens. Menor valor significa melhor qualidade de cópias.
|0.00 × 2|
|0.00 × 2|
|0.67 × 3|
|0.82 × 50|
|1.00 × 2|
|1.13 × 15|
|1.22 × 82|
|1.27 × 11|
|1.27 × 11|
|1.33 × 3|
|1.36 × 22|
|1.41 × 82|
|1.66 × 29|
|2.00 × 1|
|2.10 × 20|
|2.13 × 8|
|2.20 × 15|
|2.33 × 6|
|2.57 × 7|
|2.59 × 64|
|2.72 × 68|
|2.78 × 131|
|3.00 × 2|
|3.89 × 28|
|3.93 × 29|
Scalping using MACD, RSI, Stochastic and Ichimoku indicators (2 for Mean Reversion and 2 for Trend Following entries/exits)
Price action studies and knowledge about market behavior of institutional order flow in each session, market maker strategies, momentum, and volume.
The aforementioned combined with basic concepts such as support, resistance, candlestick patterns, and Elliott Wave provide a basis to receive multiple confirmations regarding the timing of trades.
Risk Management implements scale-in and scale-out positions when I target a Swing Trade (medium term time horizon) opportunity.
I am a trained Maths and Computer Design teacher, personal trainer, and holistic life coach. I have traded forex for 11 years part time and for 3 years full time. I have four kids, and 100% of my income comes from trading.
Having done extensive training in quantitative modeling and predictive statistics, I have an eye for accuracy and precision.
I have studied and taught high levels of Mathematics in my journey of honing my trading edge.
These last few months my Trading Strategy has experienced the final most fierce challenge for its first year. This forex industry is so very exciting, interesting, but also dog-eat-dog at times. FX is great, you get so many life lessons.
We work hard to study, to execute, to hold to our premeditated plans, and to keep our lives properly balanced. My hope is that I can be the type of fund manager that brings more light, more openness, and more honesty to a space that is many times described as being filled with strife, dishonesty, and heart-break.
To celebrate the Outside the Box Strategy One Year anniversary I bring two notices of good news.
1..... #1 Ranking on PsyQuation https://psyquation.com/#!/home/leaderboard
A Unique Platform for Identifying & Developing Trading Talent
2...... Approaching High Water Mark, 10 of 12 months positive profit, and the following Trading Performance
Absolute Gain: +227.08%
Profit Trades: 96.1%
Profit Factor: 5.59
Recovery Factor: 9.63
Sharpe Ratio: 0.78
Calmar Ratio: 5.14
Sortino Ratio: 0.26
Omega Ratio: 2.05
Outside the Box signal
Due to market demand I am now offering this signal at half price.
For the next 3 months, at MQL5, for this audience and this trade copying provider, I will offer my signal at a vastly reduced price.
I will review performance again at the end of April and decide whether the monthly subscription price should be adjusted.
I am a full time money manager for a PAMM fund, but I see that since the signal has yielded 5.25% in the last 3 months, a price of $69 per month is unwarranted.
Please know that my goal of 5 to 10% monthly return still stands, and I will work tirelessly to achieve this once again, as I have done in numerous months previously.
Month End Report
The months of drawdown are always tough ones to address but this is the life of funds, traders, and investments.
December saw an immediate drawdown which I recovered from nicely all month until the last couple days.
Month end and year end flow made for a one-sided market (attributed to institutional flows in an environment of low liquidity) that did not exhibit normal sinusoidal price movements and we also experienced a weekly timeframe price extension. I had a mental stop loss set of .7124 as that was a technical area of R3 on the weekly, former major support turned resistance, and level of trendline channel resistance.
Another drawdown countermeasure / tactic that I have been utilising with excellent success (to limit losses) has been hedging 3 positions over the last month. Upon further reflection and after seeking to limit exposure before the month end long weekend, I realise I should have waited for the current candle to close above .7124 resistance, and we would have been back into profit on one position and nearly half way back to profit on the second position.
In months past, I would have let this drawdown extension ride, given my chosen "mean reversion" strategy.
But now with 140 clients it is no small responsibility, to assure as many investors as possible that exposure and risk are managed within certain palatable limits. And to act in a disciplined manor at levels around 5 to 7% drawdown.
The biggest lesson I have learnt from this price extension is that I needed to scrutinise the technical analysis (inverted head and shoulders price calculation and a "candlestick wick" right slightly above major resistance) just a bit more "flexibly" and wait for 5 min or 15 min candlestick close for confirmation before I close.
Now (after healthy price correction) you can see that my strategy does indeed work. Hindsight is a wonderful thing.
I take the losses with reservation, but they do come.
In the last 3 months my equity is up 14.3%.
In the last 1 month my equity is down 7.9%.
In the last year my equity is up 226.5% (real gains).
See most complete statistical breakdown of my fund's performance here:
I am 100% full time and committed to recovery and further gains in Q1 and the new year.
The best fund managers conserve capital during a loss so that they may come back another day to trade with the best base and ability to recover and achieve new equity highs. I have learned that 10% drawdowns are 4x more difficult to recover from (which I have done 4 times over the past year) so this is mostly why I chose to cut losses before the uncertainty of the month end locked us in -- with possible gap opens to price in the new year, new month, and new week.
I am willing to answer any more questions, and I would like to retain my clients and subscribers so that I can keep doing what I am doing, learning from constantly changing circumstance, and overcoming the curve balls that the market is so good at throwing.
In the new year my main goal is:
--- work on Risk Management tactics, calibrating entry levels, and allowing winning trades to extend their gains before taking profit too soon.
I can certainly tell you I (as a trader and father of four) have learnt some more gratitude and hard work ethic this year.
Please take a little bit of time to reflect on spiritual peace and acceptance this holiday season. We all must work hard during the year, as I currently am still doing - even while travelling, 6 days a week.
Outside the Box now has a positive track record of 1 year, so far 10 months of gains and 1 month of loss. If you take the perspective of 3 to 6 months this kind of signal should make you more than enough profits to warrant subscription and continuing a subscription.
May you all embrace truth, speak truth in love, and believe in what you can achieve in the new year. May God bless you during these grandest holidays.
My plan is to re-enter the AUDUSD basket once the market confirms a bottom on the daily and weekly timeframes and we will recover with that mean reversion after Non Farm Payrolls report Friday and also a bit of EURAUD scalping mixed in
I have received many messages so again I will write here to assure you that I continue with the same strategy that accomplished the gains so far.
All the negative and harsh feedback does not accomplish a good end. So please be confident that drawdowns are a normal part of trading and also have been factored into my Trade Strategy, Risk Management, Probability, Profit factor, Risk/Reward, and Risk % of each trade and basket of trades.
As I have said in the past when I have had a loss, these times come, and I continue to study about when and how my losses occur.
This is the nature of trading and the professional approach to take.
The AUDUSD pair had abnormal features and factors at the time I traded, and I am re-assessing how to avoid that environment in the future and how to mitigate risks. I talked to a London trader and he told me that many market players were using trailing stop losses on the AUDUSD, and any xxxUSD pair, in the 4 days leading up to Non Farm Payrolls report released on Friday USA time. This affected the natural rhythm of the patterns that normally occur, and I decided to cut the risk before it worsened heading into a risk event like NFP.
I have recovered from 20% and 30% before. This time it is 9% which shows that I am growing in my management to not accept such large losses.
I of course will employ the same grit, analysis, hard work, and commitment to recover this time as I have done 3 or 4 times just this year.
Please be attentive to the overall curve, and how it is unproductive to jump on my case when it was not intended and I was only trading the same plan I have traded up to this point and that I have communicated from the start on my signal and Fund descriptions.
If you have any other comments or questions, I'd be happy to explain.
Over 3% this past week.
4.5% for the month.
Continuing to recover from all types of drawdowns.
Here's a complete list of all the information I have made available about my life and my work as an "outside the box" Forex Trader, Fund Manager, and Trade Copying Provider. See the full comprehensive update at Donna Forex:
Ok terrible day for Outside the Box. Prices moved way too fast. A lot of off balance sentiment towards USD
I know we'll have a lot of explaining to do but I am trying to limit the damage the best I know how.
4H timeframe killed me. I will recover as I have done in the past. Just let me know if you need a more in depth explanation for clients and I will give one. I am still in the thick of it. about -12%
So not as deep as other DD's
All I can say is the environment was not suited to my strategy and I got the analysis wrong. And I will work methodically to recover damages.
HotForex will be launching Social Trading (unique blend of Trade Copying and Fund Management) in the next 2 weeks sometime. There are other brokerages that have experienced wild success with this type of Trade Following.
This new Social Trading is OPEN TO EUROPEAN MARKET AND RESIDENTS, which IS THE BIG NEWS.
Here is a basic description of what it will be like: https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/hotforex-launches-hf-social-an-advanced-social-trading-service-497964151.html
Connect with other traders
Share strategies and discuss breaking news
Identify more trading opportunities
Analyse the performance of other traders
Follow the traders that are of greatest interest
Copy the most successful manual and algorithmic traders
Build a portfolio of winning strategies and copy trades automatically
React to market changes on-the-go on iOS or Android mobile devices
Diversify their investments thus reducing their risk
Forex4You already has this type of Leader/Follower set up and running, and they charge followers commissions and give Leaders a part of that commission. They allow Leaders and Followers to communicate, participate in the community, see statistics of Leaders, and have rankings that are linked to statistics.
HotForex's style of Social Trading will involve a blend of subscription fees and monthly performance fees, offering both investor and manager some control of risk, stop losses, take profits, and manual control. I will update you once their new program is launched. I received a marketing phone call this weekend from HotForex as they want to inform professional FX traders first, so we can serve as quality Leaders in this new program once it is started
We're in it together. When you win I win. When I win you win.
October saw our trade system recover 90% of losses from September.
I've acquired more learning and skill regarding recoveries and the patience, skill, and techniques to employ.
Targeting 10 to 15% return in November.
Changes only affect those with significant capital following this signal.
A summary of slight changes to Max Funds / Future Signal Pricing fluctuations:
Accounts over $50,000 may use MQL5 signal -- price may increase on MQL5 in November or December
Accounts under $50,000 may use SimpleTrader -- FIXED PRICE --- those who want to stay on Trade Copying and not switch to PAMM Fund Management at Mt Cook Financial
Accounts under $50,000 may also use MQL5 / SignalStart --- but price may gradually increase --- as these Trade Copying Signals will NOT have restriction of Maximum Cap on Funds allowed to follow the signal -- and this means that investors can profit 10 to 15% monthly with significant amount of funds and pay a monthly subscription fee instead of profit sharing thru performance fee.
The final trade in the NZD basket has now been closed in profit! This basket was open for an unusually long duration, lessons have been learned, skills gained, and not too much damage has been done, nearing all time highs in equity again. Basically I need to limit duration of positions longer than 20 days or more than 130 pips in Drawdown. That's what the data says.
As I mentioned in my previous post, the maximum funds cap has now been set at $75,000 that can follow this trade system. Once we surpass High Water Mark in Equity this max cap will be lowered to $50,000. The gains that one investor can make (with quite low risk) using $25000 to $50000 on this trade copying signal are substantial.
Funds greater than the Max Cap can be put into second account with Trade Copying (or higher signal price at MQL5/SignalStart)
OR invested under my PAMM funds that I manage at Mt Cook Financial which have no maximum investment and a tiered performance fee framework.
End of year and 2018 bring many new changes to my personal life, and you can follow some of my personal journey seeking a simple, sustainable, off-the-grid, digital nomad at the social links below.
Let me know if you have other questions or concerns. Prices for signals have not increased yet. I want to surpass equity highs first.
Note the recent recovery my signal has made in just the past 3 weeks. I have recovered 70% of the losses in the space of 3 weeks.
This is what has happened in March and June 2017 using my trade strategy, and this is what I have told subscribers / investors, as they should not be overcome with "risk averse negative emotion" during a period of DD. I have lost 45 subscribers in the past 20 days, and these traders now have not been able to recuperate their losses using this trade system that has a Recovery Factor of 9.5 --- which is a very high rating in this indicator relative to other trade systems ranked here on MQL5 and those listed at other trade copying websites where I also offer trade copying and PAMM fund investments.
Hello and a good weekend to you. Regarding MAX Drawdown........
Pls understand professional traders require targets / lines in the sand that are not precise and angular, at least that is what my strategy demands. I take a much more "holistic" and "multi-dimensional" view of the current price action and market environment when I enter a period of DD.
As you can see in the most recent DD period, I hit max of 31% DD, when I had said 30% on many forums. I now greatly LAMENT that I cut that core position, because that was the PAIN POINT that the banks, brokers, and institutions were aiming for. Then the monthly resistance and trendlines were hit. If I were trading for myself, I would not have exited that trade, and I would have been smartly rewarded for not doing it. You can see 82.65 we got stopped out. And now, just 2 weeks later, mean reversion has kicked in, momentum is now heading for daily and weekly support, and price is at 79.80, and we sit at only 2% DD. Those who set Risk Multiplier too high and then got stopped out may have lost 60%. This is unwise and wreckless. I must be the one who has sole control over Risk Management, whereas if you set Risk Mutliplier and/or set individual trades of your own, set stop loss or take profit in your MT4 account, then the responsibility now rests back on your shoulders to manage your positions.
I aim for 20% DD "softly" and will trade accordingly to protect that limit, but I do not set it as a STRICT limit.
I have my own investment account Risk Multiplier following my trade strategy set at 1.1x and I allow subs and clients to set theirs at their own risk. This is always in the control of the individual client as is the Rescue Level
I am gradually recommending clients/subs to follow my trade strategy with equity of $5000 minimum so that they can capture Nominal returns that are significant enough to add value to your daily lives
Compounding gains over 6 months to 1 year is always the strategy I recommend for my clients, and to limit negative emotion during periods of temporary DD. This is my business plan and trade plan, and I have followed it quite rigorously for the intended goal of attracting capital invested thru signals AND PAMM funds, and then eventually encouraging investors to take a good look at sticking with my money management journey either thru Trade Copying at SimpleTrader under $50,000 equity or for equity invested over that amount, eventually to switch to one of the PAMM funds. I will keep both active, but I am cautioned by many knowledgeable professionals to guard my trade system against those who might use it for purposes that I do not control or can be aware of
Happy weekend to all!
As this month we got caught in our first down month, I have lowered the signal price to the $69 base.
Of course, I am confident that thru my continued hard work we will recover yet again from this current DD, and regain new highs, and I again have learned from this period of xxxjpy trades.
Pls trust me that I am confident now that October will take us back up to the equity highs.