|Símbolo||Lucro bruto, USD||Loss, USD||Lucro, USD|
|Símbolo||Lucro bruto, pips||Loss, pips||Lucro, pips|
Valores de Máximo lucro (MFE) e Máxima perda (MAE) são registrados para cada ordem aberta durante a existência da sua conta na corretora. Estes parâmetros, adicionalmente caracterizam cada ordem fechada usando os valores do potencial máximo não realizado e o valor máximo de risco. MFE/Lucros e MAE/Lucros são distribuídos em gráficos, exibindo cada posição como um ponto com o valor recebido de lucro/perda plotados ao longo do eixo X, enquanto os valores máximos exibidos de lucro potencial (MFE) e perda potencial (MAE) são plotados ao longo do eixo Y.
Coloque o cursor sobre as legendas parâmetros/gráfico para ver a melhor e a pior série de negociação. Saiba mais sobre distribuições MAE e MFE no artigo Matemática na Negociação: Como Estimar Resultados de Negociação.
A Slippage média está baseada em estatísticas de real contas para diferentes corretoras. Ela depende da diferença entre as cotações de provedores a partir de HalifaxPro-Live e as cotações dos assinantes, bem como dos atrasos nas execuções das ordens. Menor valor significa melhor qualidade de cópias.
|0.00 × 2|
|0.00 × 2|
|0.67 × 3|
|0.82 × 50|
|1.00 × 2|
|1.13 × 15|
|1.22 × 82|
|1.27 × 11|
|1.27 × 11|
|1.33 × 3|
|1.36 × 22|
|1.41 × 82|
|1.66 × 29|
|2.00 × 9|
|2.00 × 1|
|2.10 × 20|
|2.20 × 15|
|2.33 × 6|
|2.57 × 7|
|2.59 × 64|
|2.72 × 68|
|2.77 × 132|
|3.00 × 2|
|3.89 × 28|
|3.93 × 29|
Scalping usando indicadores MACD, RSI, Stochastic e Ichimoku (2 para Reversão Média e 2 para Trend Seguindo entradas / saídas).
Concentre-se nos estudos de ação de preços e no conhecimento sobre o comportamento do mercado do fluxo de ordens institucional em cada sessão, estratégias de mercado, impulso e volume.
O acima mencionado, combinado com conceitos básicos como suporte, resistência, padrões de castiçal e Elliott Wave, fornecem uma base para receber múltiplas confirmações quanto ao tempo de negociação.
O Gerenciamento de Riscos implementa uma abordagem de escala e escala para posições Swing Trade (horizonte de tempo de médio prazo).
Eu sou um professor treinado de Matemática e Computação, treinador pessoal e treinador de vida holística. Eu troquei forex por 11 anos a tempo parcial e por 3 anos em tempo integral. Eu tenho quatro filhos, e 100% da minha renda mensal vem da minha negociação, então acredite em mim, eu levo muito a sério. Tendo feito treinamento extensivo em modelagem quantitativa e estatística preditiva, tenho um olho para precisão e precisão. Estudei e ensinei níveis elevados de Matemática na minha jornada de aprimoramento da minha vantagem comercial.
The best time to stay IN the market is after a loss, as that is the only way of recovering, being invested for future gains after gaining the lesson learned from mistakes, and to grow as a person as an investor/trader. This has been my goal and mindset from the very beginning, and I have seen that this is the steady, resilient, and persevering attitude that the most successful traders and asset/portfolio managers develop and continually protect and foster.
I have paused for a day or two to take a longer look at where and why my entries / lot sizing have been misplaced / misappropriated recently.
I have been adjusting to a different time zone, which has meant I can only trade Asian and American sessions.
I of course will rest and then scale down my risk once I step back into the markets tomorrow.
Please rest assured that I will employ the same strategy I have developed that worked last year and also to help me recover from the other 7 drawdowns that I have experienced in my 14 months trading this strategy.
Outside the Box followers,
We hit new equity highs early in the month (4% above our highest levels), having completed the 7th recovery from Drawdown in the 14 months of this system/strategy, giving evidence that OTB strategy is profitable and is resilient after drawdown. Subscribers or investors who left during a previous drawdown certainly see that they could have recovered their losses if they had adhered to a 6 to 12 month assessment of returns.
My manual trading talent and discretionary strategy is being recognized by "Emerging Trader" websites such as FundSeeder (Ranked Top 5 in 4 categories -- Sharpe Ratio, Sortino Ratio, Gain-to-Pain Ratio, and Annualised Return) and PsyQuation (Rank #6). Alternative Investment managers recognise OTB strategy as an "outlier".
The Commodity dollar longs did not revert to mean on the 1H uptrend and timeframe, but instead the 4H and daily timeframes exerted their force within the macro downtrend that began in 2013 and 2014. Month end and Quarter 1 end price action turned significantly USD bullish, taken together with sour Equity market in March, which is the worst month on average for stocks given Quarter 1 revisions to US Inflation Outlook. This resulted in a drawdown to end the month, now sitting approximately 8% from High Water Mark.
Risk Management --
Given the average daily/monthly returns the OTB system generates, this type of setback is undesirable (given that we just made new equity highs) but acceptable and within the risk management expectations for this strategy. According to trade history, the drawdowns have been progressively reduced so that Fund clients and Trade Copying clients are satisfied with the pace and consistency of appreciation.
I am working on Maximum Adverse Excursion / Maximum Favorable Excursion metrics and where and when is best to cut losers and when to wait on appreciation of specific winners with an investment professional out of London.
Markets thinning out now for Easter weekend.
April on average is best month for anti-dollar currencies and thus all timeframes for USD appreciation should be completed already or very soon. Starting Easter Monday week I will be 100% focused on taking good confirmed entries at a measured risk so that we can reclaim Equity Highs again in 3 to 6 weeks.
Happy Easter to all, and pray your celebrations are happy and peaceful.
Will respond to queries and comments within 48 hours. Thank you for your vote of confidence as we prove that FX investing is profitable within patience, diligence, and continued improvement.
After taking some time to recuperate physically, mentally, and spiritually I am once again excited to let you know my insight, reflection, and goals going forward.
I am always striving to be both introspective and bold with my trading strategy that has taken 100's of hours of hard work and pain-staking determination to implement and perfect.
I took 36 hours after cutting the AUDUSD trades at a loss to:
acknowledge to my mentor that I am fallible and need to accept where I can still improve and to deal truthfully in all my affairs
talk to fellow traders who I respect
debrief with a Risk Manager of portfolio managers in a Large Fund that manages 40 billion dollars
re-visit my technical analysis of associated currency pairs, equities, and commodities
re-read the financial news
and now respond to my clients
First, the sky isn't falling. This newest drawdown from new equity highs is a reality check and learning experience
I will become a better Risk Manager, Fund Manager, and Trade Copy Provider from this bad trade
My technical analysis on higher timeframes was more significant in this price extension move
I will actively scan for trade setups beginning Monday 19 March again
Cutting the losing trades fell well short of my Maximum expected drawdown, as I wanted to be more able to recover new equity highs within 3 to 6 weeks
As we were falling from new equity highs in the middle of a month, the High Water Mark is about 7 to 8% higher than where we currently sit
As you can see on the Technical Analysis screenshot attached, I could have halved the drawdown we suffered if I had been focusing on higher timeframes -- daily and 4H charts
As I have said in the past, I want to be an open, willing, and honest fund manager. I hate those PM's and FM's who parse words. So please be encouraged that I am firmly committed to reaching new equity highs using the same strategy that I have developed, while keeping an eye on being a positive force in the world of risk, obstacles, and brokenness.
If you would like to private message me, I will respond within 48 hours on Donna Forex, MQL5, SimpleTrader, and email --- firstname.lastname@example.org
Profitability of Outside the Box strategy is now evident.
NEW ALL TIME HIGH in equity and I'll just keep trading exactly the same defined strategy going foward.
Numerous Recoveries from drawdown
13 month track record
Edge of strategy clearly evidenced with verified performance statistics
Excellent trading metrics (profit factor, recovery factor, Sharpe Ratio, Calmar Ratio, and Omega)
Risk Management policies set and followed.
40 trade copying subscribers and 25 fund clients
Healthy Equity Curve
Thanks for your investment, patience, resilience, knowledge, and faith.
May God bless us all!
These last few months my Trading Strategy has experienced the final most fierce challenge for its first year. This forex industry is so very exciting, interesting, but also dog-eat-dog at times. FX is great, you get so many life lessons.
We work hard to study, to execute, to hold to our premeditated plans, and to keep our lives properly balanced. My hope is that I can be the type of fund manager that brings more light, more openness, and more honesty to a space that is many times described as being filled with strife, dishonesty, and heart-break.
To celebrate the Outside the Box Strategy One Year anniversary I bring two notices of good news.
1..... #1 Ranking on PsyQuation https://psyquation.com/#!/home/leaderboard
A Unique Platform for Identifying & Developing Trading Talent
2...... Approaching High Water Mark, 10 of 12 months positive profit, and the following Trading Performance
Absolute Gain: +227.08%
Profit Trades: 96.1%
Profit Factor: 5.59
Recovery Factor: 9.63
Sharpe Ratio: 0.78
Calmar Ratio: 5.14
Sortino Ratio: 0.26
Omega Ratio: 2.05
Outside the Box signal
Due to market demand I am now offering this signal at half price.
For the next 3 months, at MQL5, for this audience and this trade copying provider, I will offer my signal at a vastly reduced price.
I will review performance again at the end of April and decide whether the monthly subscription price should be adjusted.
I am a full time money manager for a PAMM fund, but I see that since the signal has yielded 5.25% in the last 3 months, a price of $69 per month is unwarranted.
Please know that my goal of 5 to 10% monthly return still stands, and I will work tirelessly to achieve this once again, as I have done in numerous months previously.
Month End Report
The months of drawdown are always tough ones to address but this is the life of funds, traders, and investments.
December saw an immediate drawdown which I recovered from nicely all month until the last couple days.
Month end and year end flow made for a one-sided market (attributed to institutional flows in an environment of low liquidity) that did not exhibit normal sinusoidal price movements and we also experienced a weekly timeframe price extension. I had a mental stop loss set of .7124 as that was a technical area of R3 on the weekly, former major support turned resistance, and level of trendline channel resistance.
Another drawdown countermeasure / tactic that I have been utilising with excellent success (to limit losses) has been hedging 3 positions over the last month. Upon further reflection and after seeking to limit exposure before the month end long weekend, I realise I should have waited for the current candle to close above .7124 resistance, and we would have been back into profit on one position and nearly half way back to profit on the second position.
In months past, I would have let this drawdown extension ride, given my chosen "mean reversion" strategy.
But now with 140 clients it is no small responsibility, to assure as many investors as possible that exposure and risk are managed within certain palatable limits. And to act in a disciplined manor at levels around 5 to 7% drawdown.
The biggest lesson I have learnt from this price extension is that I needed to scrutinise the technical analysis (inverted head and shoulders price calculation and a "candlestick wick" right slightly above major resistance) just a bit more "flexibly" and wait for 5 min or 15 min candlestick close for confirmation before I close.
Now (after healthy price correction) you can see that my strategy does indeed work. Hindsight is a wonderful thing.
I take the losses with reservation, but they do come.
In the last 3 months my equity is up 14.3%.
In the last 1 month my equity is down 7.9%.
In the last year my equity is up 226.5% (real gains).
See most complete statistical breakdown of my fund's performance here:
I am 100% full time and committed to recovery and further gains in Q1 and the new year.
The best fund managers conserve capital during a loss so that they may come back another day to trade with the best base and ability to recover and achieve new equity highs. I have learned that 10% drawdowns are 4x more difficult to recover from (which I have done 4 times over the past year) so this is mostly why I chose to cut losses before the uncertainty of the month end locked us in -- with possible gap opens to price in the new year, new month, and new week.
I am willing to answer any more questions, and I would like to retain my clients and subscribers so that I can keep doing what I am doing, learning from constantly changing circumstance, and overcoming the curve balls that the market is so good at throwing.
In the new year my main goal is:
--- work on Risk Management tactics, calibrating entry levels, and allowing winning trades to extend their gains before taking profit too soon.
I can certainly tell you I (as a trader and father of four) have learnt some more gratitude and hard work ethic this year.
Please take a little bit of time to reflect on spiritual peace and acceptance this holiday season. We all must work hard during the year, as I currently am still doing - even while travelling, 6 days a week.
Outside the Box now has a positive track record of 1 year, so far 10 months of gains and 1 month of loss. If you take the perspective of 3 to 6 months this kind of signal should make you more than enough profits to warrant subscription and continuing a subscription.
May you all embrace truth, speak truth in love, and believe in what you can achieve in the new year. May God bless you during these grandest holidays.
My plan is to re-enter the AUDUSD basket once the market confirms a bottom on the daily and weekly timeframes and we will recover with that mean reversion after Non Farm Payrolls report Friday and also a bit of EURAUD scalping mixed in
I have received many messages so again I will write here to assure you that I continue with the same strategy that accomplished the gains so far.
All the negative and harsh feedback does not accomplish a good end. So please be confident that drawdowns are a normal part of trading and also have been factored into my Trade Strategy, Risk Management, Probability, Profit factor, Risk/Reward, and Risk % of each trade and basket of trades.
As I have said in the past when I have had a loss, these times come, and I continue to study about when and how my losses occur.
This is the nature of trading and the professional approach to take.
The AUDUSD pair had abnormal features and factors at the time I traded, and I am re-assessing how to avoid that environment in the future and how to mitigate risks. I talked to a London trader and he told me that many market players were using trailing stop losses on the AUDUSD, and any xxxUSD pair, in the 4 days leading up to Non Farm Payrolls report released on Friday USA time. This affected the natural rhythm of the patterns that normally occur, and I decided to cut the risk before it worsened heading into a risk event like NFP.
I have recovered from 20% and 30% before. This time it is 9% which shows that I am growing in my management to not accept such large losses.
I of course will employ the same grit, analysis, hard work, and commitment to recover this time as I have done 3 or 4 times just this year.
Please be attentive to the overall curve, and how it is unproductive to jump on my case when it was not intended and I was only trading the same plan I have traded up to this point and that I have communicated from the start on my signal and Fund descriptions.
If you have any other comments or questions, I'd be happy to explain.
Over 3% this past week.
4.5% for the month.
Continuing to recover from all types of drawdowns.
Here's a complete list of all the information I have made available about my life and my work as an "outside the box" Forex Trader, Fund Manager, and Trade Copying Provider. See the full comprehensive update at Donna Forex:
Ok terrible day for Outside the Box. Prices moved way too fast. A lot of off balance sentiment towards USD
I know we'll have a lot of explaining to do but I am trying to limit the damage the best I know how.
4H timeframe killed me. I will recover as I have done in the past. Just let me know if you need a more in depth explanation for clients and I will give one. I am still in the thick of it. about -12%
So not as deep as other DD's
All I can say is the environment was not suited to my strategy and I got the analysis wrong. And I will work methodically to recover damages.
HotForex will be launching Social Trading (unique blend of Trade Copying and Fund Management) in the next 2 weeks sometime. There are other brokerages that have experienced wild success with this type of Trade Following.
This new Social Trading is OPEN TO EUROPEAN MARKET AND RESIDENTS, which IS THE BIG NEWS.
Here is a basic description of what it will be like: https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/hotforex-launches-hf-social-an-advanced-social-trading-service-497964151.html
Connect with other traders
Share strategies and discuss breaking news
Identify more trading opportunities
Analyse the performance of other traders
Follow the traders that are of greatest interest
Copy the most successful manual and algorithmic traders
Build a portfolio of winning strategies and copy trades automatically
React to market changes on-the-go on iOS or Android mobile devices
Diversify their investments thus reducing their risk
Forex4You already has this type of Leader/Follower set up and running, and they charge followers commissions and give Leaders a part of that commission. They allow Leaders and Followers to communicate, participate in the community, see statistics of Leaders, and have rankings that are linked to statistics.
HotForex's style of Social Trading will involve a blend of subscription fees and monthly performance fees, offering both investor and manager some control of risk, stop losses, take profits, and manual control. I will update you once their new program is launched. I received a marketing phone call this weekend from HotForex as they want to inform professional FX traders first, so we can serve as quality Leaders in this new program once it is started
We're in it together. When you win I win. When I win you win.
October saw our trade system recover 90% of losses from September.
I've acquired more learning and skill regarding recoveries and the patience, skill, and techniques to employ.
Targeting 10 to 15% return in November.
Changes only affect those with significant capital following this signal.
A summary of slight changes to Max Funds / Future Signal Pricing fluctuations:
Accounts over $50,000 may use MQL5 signal -- price may increase on MQL5 in November or December
Accounts under $50,000 may use SimpleTrader -- FIXED PRICE --- those who want to stay on Trade Copying and not switch to PAMM Fund Management at Mt Cook Financial
Accounts under $50,000 may also use MQL5 / SignalStart --- but price may gradually increase --- as these Trade Copying Signals will NOT have restriction of Maximum Cap on Funds allowed to follow the signal -- and this means that investors can profit 10 to 15% monthly with significant amount of funds and pay a monthly subscription fee instead of profit sharing thru performance fee.
The final trade in the NZD basket has now been closed in profit! This basket was open for an unusually long duration, lessons have been learned, skills gained, and not too much damage has been done, nearing all time highs in equity again. Basically I need to limit duration of positions longer than 20 days or more than 130 pips in Drawdown. That's what the data says.
As I mentioned in my previous post, the maximum funds cap has now been set at $75,000 that can follow this trade system. Once we surpass High Water Mark in Equity this max cap will be lowered to $50,000. The gains that one investor can make (with quite low risk) using $25000 to $50000 on this trade copying signal are substantial.
Funds greater than the Max Cap can be put into second account with Trade Copying (or higher signal price at MQL5/SignalStart)
OR invested under my PAMM funds that I manage at Mt Cook Financial which have no maximum investment and a tiered performance fee framework.
End of year and 2018 bring many new changes to my personal life, and you can follow some of my personal journey seeking a simple, sustainable, off-the-grid, digital nomad at the social links below.
Let me know if you have other questions or concerns. Prices for signals have not increased yet. I want to surpass equity highs first.