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PriceProbabilities

This is a signal indicator for automatic trading which shows probability measures for buys and sells for each bar. It is based on statistical data gathered on existing history and takes into account all observed price changes versus corresponding bar intervals in the past. The core of the indicator is the same as in PriceProbablility indicator intended for manual trading. Unlike PriceProbability this indicator should be called from MQL4 Expert Advisors or used for history visual analysis.

The indicator shows 2 measures:

  1. Plain quantitative measure of buy and sell strengths (green and red thin histigrams), can be used as a secondary signal, or for aggressive trading;
  2. Probability measure as a ratio of buy and sell probabilities (blue and yellow thick histograms), can be used as a primary signal;

It's important to note, that both measures are nondeterministic. Even if a measure counts for almost 100%, this does not guarantee that corresponding price movement does actually occur in near future. Due to the nature of probability, every single signal may behave differently, but overall they conform to general rules. So, in a long perspective the statistical approach yields more wins than losses.

Parameters:

  • HistoryDepth - number of bars to use for statistic calculations; by default - 5000; the larger - the better; please, make sure that there are no holes in history for the specified number of bars; minimum value is 1000;
  • ForecastDepth - number of bars to use for probability calculation; bar intervals up to ForecastDepth are taken into account; by default - 100, maximum - 1000; history should contain HistoryDepth plus ForecastDepth bars; NB: only ~1000 bars of history are available in tester at starting point;
  • MaxBar - number of bars to calculate indicator on; by default - 100; NB! Calculations are very time consuming, so setting MaxBar to 1000 may require minutes to finish processing! when used from an expert, please, set this parameter to 1;
  • Offset - number of bar to shift processing in history at; by default - 0;
  • Divider - step of points to use in calculations; by default - 1, which means most accurate calculations in expense of time; when set to a larger value, for example, 10, it will speed up calculations in the specified number of times but results will be rough;
  • Mode - mode of calculations; allowed values: 0 and 1; by default - 0;

The indicator can operate in 2 modes, any one selected by Mode parameter. The mode 0 is a default one calculating probabilities in a fairly straight-forward manner: any price change on last ForecastDepth bars is taken into account either for buy or sell hypothesis depending from its sign. The mode 1 is a tricky mode - it handles 2 hypotheses for buy and sell conditions separately, that is only positive changes are taken for buy and only negative for sell. The mode 0 better suits medium- and long-term trading, including trends. The mode 1 suits better short-term trading on local price oscillations, without a long-lasting trend conditions.

The indicator is calculated on every new bar, it does not process ticks.

Recommended timeframes: M15 - H1.

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How to use Pair Trading Station Pair Trading Station is recommended for H1 time frame and you can use it for any currency pairs. To generate buy and sell signal, follow few steps below to apply Pair Trading Station to your MetaTrader terminal. When you load Pair Trading Station on your chart, Pair Trading station will assess available historical data in your MetaTrader platforms for each currency pair. On your chart, the amount of historical data available will be displayed for each currency pai
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Agora US $ 147 (aumentando para US $ 499 após algumas atualizações) - Contas ilimitadas (PCs ou Macs) Manual do usuário do RelicusRoad + vídeos de treinamento + acesso ao grupo de discórdia privado + status VIP UMA NOVA FORMA DE OLHAR PARA O MERCADO O RelicusRoad é o indicador de negociação mais poderoso do mundo para forex, futuros, criptomoedas, ações e índices, oferecendo aos traders todas as informações e ferramentas necessárias para se manterem rentáveis. Fornecemos análises técnica
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ICT, SMC, SMART MONEY CONCEPTS, SMART MONEY, Smart Money Concept, Support and Resistance, Trend Analysis, Price Action, Market Structure, Order Blocks, BOS/CHoCH,   Breaker Blocks ,  Momentum Shift,   Supply&Demand Zone/Order Blocks , Strong Imbalance, HH/LL/HL/LH,    Fair Value Gap, FVG,  Premium  &   Discount   Zones, Fibonacci Retracement, OTE, Buy Side Liquidity, Sell Side Liquidity, BSL/SSL Taken, Equal Highs & Lows, MTF Dashboard, Multiple Time Frame, BigBar, HTF OB, HTF Market Structure, 
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Versão 1.5 2021.11.24
Recompilation.
Versão 1.4 2016.06.13
The minimum number of bars required to collect statistics has been reduced to 900 (quality of the statistics is low), which allows to run the indicator in the tester with the default settings. The tester initially contains only 1000 bars. HistoryDepth+ForecastDepth must be less than the number of available bars.
Versão 1.3 2014.08.20
Fixed some errors in calculations, which may lead to inadequate values on symbols with high historical volatility.
Versão 1.2 2014.06.16
1. Statistical data arrays are now allocated dynamically - this is required for some symbols with large price ranges (tens of thousands of points), such as XAUUSD (warning: arrays size may increase significantly);
2. Parameter Offset ignored in previous versions now works as intended;
3. New parameter Overflow added for choosing a method of processing spikes (exceeding array range); default value - false - recommended, as it demonstrates better results.
Versão 1.1 2014.06.13
Fixed a redraw problem after terminal restart.