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SSA Trend Predictor

3.5

This indicator extracts a trend from a price series and forecasts its further development. Algorithm is based on modern technique of Singular Spectral Analysis (SSA). SSA is used for extracting the main components (trend, seasonal and wave fluctuations), smoothing and eliminating noise. It does not require the series to be stationary, as well as the information on presence of periodic components and their periods. It can be applied both for trend and for another indicators.


Features of the method and operation principle

Dynamics of prices is presented as a process caused by influence of factor on different scales and additional "noise". Influence factors determine the trend and regularities of price changes, noise oscillations hide the useful information. Processing by the Caterpillar-SSA method allows to separate subspaces of the signal and noise, evaluate the contribution and scale of significant influence factors. Extracted "signal" does not have phase delays unlike the conventional filtering methods and smoothed average. A forecast is plotted based on the identified trend and periodicity. Forecast based on a properly chosen model is the hedging method in the trading strategy.


Usage

Managing the indicator parameters allows to adjust the smoothness of the extracted trend and to control the noise filtering threshold, consider on suppress the contribution of the components in the signal, which affect it on different time scales. The optimum decomposition of data into signal and noise components is determined using the time horizon of the trading strategy and the current market situation.


Forecast

The forecast of the future values is performed according to the constructed model, which considers the statistical characteristics of data and the best within the model. Note that the "left out" influence factors can be very significant. Adequate model - good forecast. It is necessary to focus on quality and not quantity forecast of price fluctuations and use it as a hedging signal.


Parameters

  1. Algorithm — forecast algorithm (1 — vector, 2 — recurrent),
  2. N: Data fragment — length of the analyzed price series,
  3. Time-dependent lag — determine the influence history on counting (N/2, N/2.5, N/3),
  4. Noise High-Freq limit — parameter for filtering noise for the trend (remove the contribution of high frequency oscillations),
  5. Recalculate period – indicator recalculation period (sec),
  6. Predictable points — number of forecast points,
  7. Backward shift (test) — backward shift of analyzed fragment in history. For construction of the model and forecast according to the known data.
  8. * VISUAL OPTIONS *
  9. General parts — color for trend view,
  10. Prediction — color for forecast view,
  11. Plot style — line or histogram plot style.


Recommendations

The best length of the price series fragment (N) is selected based on the statistical uniformity of data (200-600 points).

The parameter for filtering noise - Noise HF Limit: the longer the series, the smaller the filtration parameter. For the short fragments, the evaluation of the statistical properties is performed with an increased error - the level should be increased.

The number of prediction points with acceptable forecast probability is 10-30 in a customized model. For further analysis, it is reasonable to use a more coarse timeframe. Simultaneous application of the two indicators with different parameters (N=400 and 250) will show the divergence of influence factors related to different time scales or will confirm the forecast.

P.S. Implementation with the FFT algorithm allowed to improve the data processing speed by more than 50 times compared to the normal method. It is presented in SSA Fast Trend Forecast.

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You want to become a constantly profitable 5-star forex trader?  1.  Read the basic description of our simple trading  system  &  and it's major strategy update in 2020   2.   Send a screenshot of your purchase to get your personal invitation to our exclusive trading chat FX Trend displays the trend direction, duration, intensity and the resulting trend rating for all time frames in real time. You'll see at a glance at which direction the trends are running, how long they last and how powerf
75 USD
Elliott Wave Trend was designed for the scientific wave counting. This tool focuses to get rid of the vagueness of the classic Elliott Wave Counting using the guideline from the template and pattern approach. In doing so, firstly Elliott Wave Trend offers the template for your wave counting. Secondly, it offers Wave Structural Score to assist to identify accurate wave formation. It offers both impulse wave Structural Score and corrective wave Structure Score. Structural Score is the rating to sh
200 USD
Introduction Harmonic Patterns are best used to predict potential turning point. Hence, Harmonic Patterns are the sub patterns of turning point patterns. Traditionally, Harmonic Pattern was identified manually connecting extreme points in charts. Manual harmonic pattern detection is painfully tedious and not suitable for everyone. You are often exposed under subjective pattern identification with manual pattern detection. To avoid these limitations, Harmonic Pattern Plus was designed to automat
98 USD
About Ace Supply Demand Zone Indicator The concept of supply demand trading rely on the quantity mismatching between buying and selling volumes in financial markets. Supply and demand zone serves as the good entry in our trading. It provides you the detailed trading plan + the risk management. Its ability to predict market direction is high. There are two distinctive points about Ace Supply Demand Zone Indicator. Firstly, Ace Supply Demand Zone indicator was built on the non-repainting and non
100 USD
Channels Indicator MT5
Ahmed Alaaeldin Abdulrahman Ahmed Elherzawi
5 (1)
Channels indicator does not repaint as its based on projecting the falling and raising channels. As a trader you need a path to be able to place your buy and sell trades such as: Supply and Demand , Falling & raising channels. Falling and raising channels can be in any time frame and also can be in all time frames at the same time and the price always flows within these channels. Experienced trades will draw the key levels and channels around the time frames. But, they will not be able to draw
50 USD
Automatic marking of the chart with Pentagram models. This model is based on the Expansion Model from Adversa Tactics. Designed to determine the trend and predict possible levels and targets of price correction in the future. The model describes a developing trend. The trend is relevant until the price crosses the trend line of the model in the opposite direction. Levels of rays of the pentagram, level of HP, distances of 100% and 200% of the distance between points 1-4, levels of HP are possibl
300 USD
Breaking Pro MT5
Tais Miranda Hoffmann
5 (2)
80% discount for the next 10 buyers A indicator to show saturation in buying or selling With fast and complex mathematical calculations Easily find saturation points for buying or selling Can be used in all symbols and time frames with many signals Can be combined with different indicators and different time frames With simple settings and simple working methods Features: Can be used on all symbols Can be used in all time frames Can be used in all markets   (Forex, stock, etc.) Large numb
50 USD
An indicator for receiving a lot of signals Can be used in all time frames and all markets Trade professionally  using professional indicators yourself . Using this indicator, you will have a signal at any time. Do not miss any market movement. Get the signal very simply and clearly. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- How it work:
125 USD
Did You Have A Profitable Trade But Suddenly Reversed? Exiting a trade is equally important as entering! Exit Scope helps maximize your current trade profit and avoid turning winning trades to losers. Attention Exit Signals are NOT to be used in entering a trade! Exit means closing your trades to avoid correction/reversal which can wipe out existing profit or haunt break-even orders. Please watch presentation (Click Here) Features Generates instant exit signals based on price action, volat
88 USD
This multi time frame and multi symbol indicator identifies double top/bottom, head & shoulder, pennant, triangle and flag patterns. It is also possible to setup alerts only when a neckline/triangle/flagpole breakout has occured (neckline breakout = confirmed signal for top/bottoms and head & shoulders). Combined with your own rules and techniques, this indicator will allow you to create (or enhance) your own powerful system. Features Can monitor all symbols visible in your Market Watch window
59 USD
Telegram me https://t.me/ArielfxWyckoff How Does It Work? The Wyckoff Wizard uses Multi-timeframe analysis. In simpler terms, the indicator monitors 2 timeframes. A higher timeframe and a lower timeframe. The indicator determines the trend by analyzing order flow and structure on the higher timeframe(4 hour for instance). Once the trend and order flow have been determined the indicator then uses previous market structure and price action to accurately determine high probability reversal zone
75 USD
PipFinite Trend PRO MT5
Karlo Wilson Vendiola
4.86 (624)
Breakthrough Solution For Trend Trading And Filtering With All Important Features Built Inside One Tool! Trend PRO's smart algorithm detects the trend, filters out market noise and gives entry signals with exit levels. The new features with enhanced rules for statistical calculation improved the overall performance of this indicator. Important Information Revealed Maximize the potential of Trend Pro, please visit www.mql5.com/en/blogs/post/713938 The Powerful Expert Advisor Version Automa
98 USD
Supply Demand uses previous price action to identify potential imbalances between buyers and sellers. The key is to identify the better odds zones, not just the untouched ones. Blahtech Supply Demand indicator delivers functionality previously unavailable on any trading platform. This 4-in-1 indicator not only highlights the higher probability zones using a multi-criteria strength engine, but also combines it with multi-timeframe trend analysis, previously confirmed swings and engulfing detecto
99 USD
サポートとレジスタンス、ハーモニックパターンと市場のボラティリティに基づいて強力なサポートとレジスタンスゾーンを識別するmt5のテクニカル指標。 ブログにアクセスすると、インジケーターの無料バージョンをダウンロードできます。 Metatrader Testerの制限なしで、購入する前に試してみてください。 :  ここをクリック 主な機能 動的サポートおよびレジスタンスゾーン 自動サポートおよびレジスタンスゾーン。 非再塗装のサポートおよび抵抗ゾーン。 キーレベルゾーン 銀行レベルゾーン ドキュメント すべてのサポートおよびレジスタンススクリーナーのドキュメント(手順)と戦略の詳細は、MQL5ブログのこの投稿で入手できます: ここをクリックしてください。 コンタクト ご不明な点がある場合やサポートが必要な場合は、プライベートメッセージでご連絡ください。 著者 SAYADI ACHREF、フィンテックソフトウェアエンジニアおよびFinansyaの創設者。
30 USD
This dashboard is an alert tool for use with the market structure reversal indicator. It's primary purpose is to alert you to reversal opportunities on specific time frames and also to the re-tests of the alerts (confirmation) as the indicator does. The dashboard is designed to sit on a chart on it's own and work in the background to send you alerts on your chosen pairs and timeframes. It was developed after many people requested a dash to monitor multiple pairs and time frames at once rather th
49 USD
Dark Power  is an Indicator for intraday trading. This Indicator is based on   Trend Following  strategy, also adopting the use of an histogram to determine the right power . We can enter in good price with this Indicator, in order to follow the   strong trend   on the current instrument. The histogram is calculated based on the size of the bars and two moving averages calculated on the histogram determine the direction of the signal Key benefits Easily visible take profit/stop loss lines Int
49 USD
このインディケータは、価格アクション分析とドンチャンチャネルのみを使用して、ジグザグ方式で価格の反転を検出します。再描画やバックペインティングを一切行わずに、短期取引向けに特別に設計されています。それは彼らの操作のタイミングを増やすことを目指している賢明なトレーダーにとって素晴らしいツールです。 [ インストールガイド | 更新ガイド | トラブルシューティング | よくある質問 | すべての製品 ] 驚くほど簡単に取引できます すべての時間枠で価値を提供します 自己分析統計を実装します 電子メール/音声/視覚アラートを実装します 可変長のブレイクアウトと混雑ゾーンに基づいて、インディケータは価格アクションのみを使用して取引を選択し、市場が非常に高速に行っていることに反応します。 過去のシグナルの潜在的な利益が表示されます この指標は、独自の品質とパフォーマンスを分析します 負けブレイクアウトは強調表示され、説明されます インジケータは、非バックペインティングおよび非再ペイントです この指標は、日中のトレーダーが単一の価格反転を見逃さないようにするのに役立ちます。ただし、す
299 USD
Investment Castle Supply and Demand
Ahmed Alaaeldin Abdulrahman Ahmed Elherzawi
Supply and Demand indicator does not repaint as it counts the number of tests/retests occurred in the past x number of times. As a trader you need a path to be able to place your buy and sell trades such as: Supply and Demand, Falling & raising channels . Experienced trades will draw the key levels and channels around the timeframes. But, they will not be able to draw them on the small time frames as the price changes too frequent. This indicator is based on Shved supply and demand indicator, b
50 USD
作者のその他のプロダクト
An analogue of the Stochastic oscillator based on algorithms of singular spectrum analysis (SSA) SSA is an effective method to handle non-stationary time series with unknown internal structure. It is used for determining the main components (trend, seasonal and wave fluctuations), smoothing and noise reduction. The method allows finding previously unknown series periods and make forecasts on the basis of the detected periodic patterns. Indicator signals are identical to signals of the original i
FREE
SSACD - Singular Spectrum Average Convergence/Divergence This is an analogue of the MACD indicator based on the Caterpillar-SSA ( Singular Spectrum Analysis ) method. Limited version of the SSACD Forecast indicator. Limitations include the set of parameters and their range. Specificity of the method The Caterpillar-SSA is an effective method to handle non-stationary time series with unknown internal structure. The method allows to find the previously unknown periodicities of the series and mak
FREE
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Aleksandr Sosnovskiy
3545
Aleksandr Sosnovskiy 2021.06.26 00:03 
 

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削除済み 2019.01.14 06:34 
 

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Daniel Andrejczuk
5650
Daniel Andrejczuk 2017.11.09 02:59 
 

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Nork
6198
Nork 2016.12.21 06:41 
 

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レビューに返信
バージョン 2.4 2021.11.25
The latest version of the MQL5 compiler was used.
バージョン 2.2 2016.12.26
Modification to allow working with an expert
バージョン 2.1 2016.09.09
Added ability to apply the product to other indicators (and not to price series only).
Improved managing graphical parameters. Changed the description.
バージョン 2.0 2016.08.25
Interface is improved.
Regime of periodical calculation is realized to reduce the computational load.
The forecasting algorithm has become more accurate.