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Francis Dogbe
Post publicado Five Central Banks Meet as Monetary Policy is Downgraded
Fixed exchange rates limit the degrees of freedom for policymakers. The breakdown of Bretton Woods in 1971 removed this constraint on official action, and the results were larger budget deficit and higher inflation. The zero bound on interest rates also posed a constraint on behavior...
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Francis Dogbe
And here we go again.. Another week of Bulls and Bears in the farm to feed. .. Happy trading guys and be-careful. All the best. :D
Francis Dogbe
Post publicado Weekly Trading Forecast: Fed, BoJ and BoE Rate Decisions Look to Further Stir FX Volatility
The ECB's extraordinary effort to expand stimulus this past week revealed the monetary policy doesn't exact the 'typical' influence on exchange rates, and speculative appetite isn't so easy to inspire. That is dangerous given the influence of the Fed decision ahead...READ MORE...
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Francis Dogbe
One in six UK adults have financial worries, with households in Sandwell in the West Midlands and parts of the valleys of south Wales being the most likely to be overburdened, according to latest research...
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Francis Dogbe
Turning clocks back is supposed to save energy and improve efficiency. Here’s the reality. The annual ritual of losing an hour of sleep to Daylight Saving Time (DST) is about to happen on March 13, the second Sunday of March and annual date for the change. The spring forward happens at 2 a.m...
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Francis Dogbe
The following are UBS' latest short-term (mostly intraday) trading strategies for EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, and USD/CHF. EUR/USD: went up 400 pips from the lows Thursday, likely on positioning...
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Francis Dogbe
The ECB's massive policy announcement did not receive the desired fall in the euro, and the US dollar lost ground in an exciting week. Rate decisions in Japan the US, the UK and Switzerland, Employment data from the UK, the US and Australia, US inflation, manufacturing and sentiment figures...
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Francis Dogbe
The nascent recovery in risk sentiment has entered a more mature phase on the back of the fresh easing measures by the ECB and the indications of additional stimulus at the National People’s Congress, China’s legislature...
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Francis Dogbe
Post publicado 5 Things to Watch on the Economic Calendar
1 Retail Resurgence? Consumer spending will come into focus Tuesday with the release of February’s retail spending report from the Commerce Department. January spending surged after a lackluster finish to 2015...
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Francis Dogbe
The euro is paring the recovery that began in the middle of the ECB's press conference yesterday. The markets had reacted as one intuitively would expected to broad easing of interest rates and credit conditions...
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Francis Dogbe
The market reaction to Draghi's indication, once again, that interest rate policy has run its course, will be debated for some time. Draghi delivered the goods that many investors said was lacking last December. The ECB policy was more than anyone expected. All the boxes were checked...
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Francis Dogbe
Here are the three big surprises on yet another notable day for central banks and markets, and what they may imply for the future: • The European Central Bank went beyond expectations by deploying a full range of policy instruments, including a more negative deposit rate and increased asset purch...
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Francis Dogbe
The strong dollar is no longer an excuse not to raise rates. Shortly before the Federal Reserve raised interest rates in December, Fed governor Lael Brainard gave a speech about why it should proceed cautiously...
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Francis Dogbe
Post publicado The shocking truth about Fed's interest rate policy and Dollar's value
It has long been argued that the strength or weakness of the U.S Dollar depends largely on the Interest rate cycle that the FED is operating on. The theory being: • A rate lowering cycle drives down interest cost to borrow the Dollar...
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Francis Dogbe
The British Chambers of Commerce (BCC) has downgraded its growth forecast for the UK economy, blaming "global headwinds and uncertainty". It now expects the UK's economy to grow by 2.2% this year, down from a previous estimate of 2.5%. The BCC also cut its growth forecast for 2017 to 2.3% from 2...
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Francis Dogbe
The driver of the EUR/USD rally is clearly the move higher in shorter-dated European rates, with the 1y/1y rate up by a bit more than Bund yields. Can the ECB now engineer a fall back in 1y/1y rates to their lows (-25bp)? Can it engineer a move down in 10-year Bund yields, in absolute terms and relative to Treasuries? I think the answer to the first question may be ’No’ but the answer to the second is: ‘Probably, but only slowly and only with the FOMC’s help’
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Francis Dogbe
Post publicado How a hacker’s typo helped stop a billion dollar bank heist
A spelling mistake in an online bank transfer instruction helped prevent a nearly $1 billion heist last month involving the Bangladesh central bank and the New York Fed, banking officials said...
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Francis Dogbe
In a near replay of the tumble, then rally, seen in December, the euro Thursday moved first sharply lower and then sharply higher in response to European Central Bank policy actions. On Dec. 3, the euro rallied 4.3%, from a $1.0524 trough to a $1...
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