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Model Leupa

NOTE: THIS IS A MULTICURRENCY EXPERT ADVISOR AND AS SUCH MAY NOT BE COMPARTIBLE WITH MT4 BACKTESTING. EASIEST WAY TO TEST IT IS BY SIMPLY RUNNING IT IN REAL-TIME ON MT4.


Model Leupa is a forex trading system model packaged into an expert advisor (robot) executable on a PC running Metatrader 4. The model exploits the mean-reversion property of stationary processes. Stationarity is determined or confirmed by performing cointegration tests between forex instruments. In the case that there is strong evidence of cointegration the two instruments are traded by the robot as one stationary process. The robot makes entries (and exits) every time the model spread/deviation (residual time series) crosses a multiple of standard deviation from mean.

To explain this operation further, suppose the model spread crosses the first standard deviation (negative or positive side) away from the mean. Then the robot will open two orders which together act as one order pair for model spread as a synthetic instrument (a stationary one). If the model spread goes further away to cross the second standard deviation from the mean, the robot will close the order pair (with a loss) opened earlier when the model spread crossed the first standard deviation. At the same time (after closing this order pair), the robot will open a new order pair with lot sizes scaled by a factor CR. This mean if CR >= 1 then the loss made by the first order pair will be recovered by the second (or even third, though model spread hardly ever gets to the third standard deviation) when the model spread moves from the N-th standard deviation to cross the N-1-th standard deviation. The end result is always that when the model mean finally reverts back to the mean there will be net profit in so far as the cointegration model is still valid.

There is a good reason why it is safe to keep opening order pairs as the model spread keeps moving away from the mean. That reason is that, since the model spread is a tested stationary process then it has a tendency of mean reversion and binning this process result in Gaussian histogram profile and this tells us that the probability of model spread moving further and further away from the mean decreases exponentially. It is for this reason that always betting that model spread is bound to revert back to the mean value results in an investment system with a positive expectation value which can be calculated explicitly given the mean and variance of the Gaussian histogram profile.


The robot has various input parameters (set at default settings) some of which are described below:

1. N is the data size for building cointegration model.
2. CR is the common ration for adjusting lot sizes (CR >= 1).
3. Lots is the nominal lot size. Minimum usually 0.01.
4. Magic & magik are magic numbers (should never be the same) used to uniquely identify trades opened by this robot. As such every magic number should be uniquely chosen positive integer.
5. TFrame is the time frame in minutes.
6. MaxLots is the maximum lot size that a user doesn’t want a single trade to exceed.
7. PairOne & PairTwo are two trading instruments which are to tested for cointegration and traded if the test succeeds. The robot will report back if the chosen instruments have weak or no significant cointegration and the user should react by choosing a different combination. 
8. ModeDemo is the switching Boolean parameter. When true the model will work on Demo accounts but if false it will work on real (or live) accounts.
9. SaveData is the switching Boolean parameter. It switches from data-consuming (but indestructible) mode and data-saving (but prone to inaccuracies if there are internet cuts and temporary disallowed trading conditions set by broker). Mode.
10. AlertsOn is switching Boolean parameter. When true, recurrent alerts will be shown, otherwise they won’t be shown.
11. RSThreshold is the threshold for R^2 goodness of fit measure (for cointegration model) below which trading will not happen.
12. CCThreshold is the threshold for correlation coefficient measure below which no trading will happen.

The robot displays useful measurements on the chart including cointegration model, statistical test, std deviation, model spread, lots ratio, etc.
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Accurate Night/Intraday Scalping & Smart Grid System Expected perfomance 5-10% / mo  (eurusd M5) 20-40% / mo (gbpusd M1) Features 100% automated trades Hard stoploss for every position Dynamic basket takeprofit High spread protection Fixed & Auto volume Easy to use & ready to go 2014-2020 99% tick quality optimized & backtesed True Range Pro MT5 >>  https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/54578 Set files   https://www.mql5.com/en/blogs/post/726783 Monitoring   True Range MT5  (MT5) 
395 USD
ProFx MT4
Sergej Maehler
40%  OFF  $̶4̶̶9̶̶9̶   FOR CYBER MONDAY!  - EARLY ACCESS - LIMITED TIME OFFER $299 FxPro Expert Advisor  is a fully automated forex trading robot designed to work on the most traded currency pair EURUSD. The strategy based on breaking through price levels and does not uses lagging indicators, each entry point is calculated using an advanced input filter based on the analysis of the movement of the price chart. Each order is secured by a fixed stop-loss while profits are carried out using a dy
299 USD
Twin Max Mixed DC
Stanislau Siatsko
✅ Lowest Price for Twin_Max-Mixed_DC  ($3500 ---> $455), details here:  https://www.mql5.com/en/blogs/post/724197   >>>>> Valid until December-06' 2020 . This is a multicurrency adviser where, when opening positions, the conditions of two correlation pairs are taken into account at the same time, which is impossible to see when testing in MT4. For testing, use the version for MT5:  https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/50562 Real Trading:  https://www.mql5.com/en/signals/770666 VERY IMPORTANT:
455 USD
TWO Direction MT4
Sugianto
Two Direction is specially made to trade correlation   between currencies   , both positive correlations and negative correlations. This expert is the result of many years of trading experience that has been applied as an expert advisor. At First, only for semi manual, like set n forget bot, but it can also be used as a scalper. You do the analysis in the morning of the Asian session, if there is a pair that can be traded, install the bot, use vps, and the rest of the bot will do its jo
500 USD
Magic Seven MT4
Ozkan Kara
Price: $495      This price is only for the first 10 buyers! Next Price: $795   Magic Seven  is a fully automated  EURUSD Daily Trend System. Before London Trading Season, EURUSD movements are small and predictable. The system focuses only   Small and Steady Profits . The EA does not use grid, martingale, averaging  or other dangerous strategies.   It uses fixed stoploss for every position. I will always help you, please contact me ! General Strategy Definition Correct Open Time:    It opens
495 USD
Serenade MT4
Evgeniy Zhdan
🔥   The autonomous trading system Serenade works on the basis of a unique strategy for determining impulse movements after false breakouts and price rollbacks for a subsequent strong movement. 🔥   The Expert Advisor has been successfully tested with 99% quotes quality, floating spread and random ping since 2010. 🔥   Advisor optimization is not required. In the process, the algorithm of the adviser adjusts the sensitivity of the strategy. 🔥   This is NOT a scalper, NOT a martingale, NOT a
1 320 USD
Chakra MT4
The Huy Phan
Chakra MT4 is a trending following EA. This EA uses a custom indicators to detect entry signal. The fixed stop loss and take profit are always set for each trade. This EA has smart money management. Users only need to determine the accepted loss for each trade, EA will calculate the lot size for each trade according to stop loss price. Therefore, this EA is very safe. This EA is very easy to use and can apply for many currency pairs. Recommended time frame is  H1. Recommended pairs:  EURUSD, US
1 000 USD
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Versión 1.2 2020.11.12
Added more user-friendly features
Versión 1.1 2020.11.04
Input parameter "Continue" has been replaced by "CurLevel" which now allows a user to directly set the last known level crossed.