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In the forex market for over 5 years . In trade used technical analysis indicators , as well as economic and political news. If you are interested in more conservative and lucrative trade might trust.
Evgeniy Piskachev
Federal Reserve officials on Saturday took stock of a slowdown in the global economy and said it could delay an increase in U.S. interest rates if serious enough.
Most notably, Fed Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer said the effort to finally normalize U.S. monetary policy after years of extraordinary stimulus may be hampered by the global outlook.
"If foreign growth is weaker than anticipated, the consequences for the U.S. economy could lead the Fed to remove accommodation more slowly than otherwise," he said at an event sponsored by International Monetary Fund.
Nevertheless, he said betting in financial markets on the timing of a U.S. rate hike appeared "roughly" on the mark given the Fed's current expectations on how the economy's recovery would unfold.
The IMF trimmed its global growth forecast ahead of its fall meetings this weekend, where discussions focused on ways to stimulate global demand and prevent the euro zone from slipping back into recession.
"I am worried about growth around the world, there are more downside risks than upside risks," Fed Governor Daniel Tarullo said at a conference the Institute of International Finance sponsored on the sidelines. "This is obviously something we have to think about in our own policies."
Chicago Federal Reserve Bank President Charles Evans said a strengthening of the dollar and weak growth abroad could mean slower inflation in the United States, and less justification for the U.S. central bank to raise rates.
Most notably, Fed Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer said the effort to finally normalize U.S. monetary policy after years of extraordinary stimulus may be hampered by the global outlook.
"If foreign growth is weaker than anticipated, the consequences for the U.S. economy could lead the Fed to remove accommodation more slowly than otherwise," he said at an event sponsored by International Monetary Fund.
Nevertheless, he said betting in financial markets on the timing of a U.S. rate hike appeared "roughly" on the mark given the Fed's current expectations on how the economy's recovery would unfold.
The IMF trimmed its global growth forecast ahead of its fall meetings this weekend, where discussions focused on ways to stimulate global demand and prevent the euro zone from slipping back into recession.
"I am worried about growth around the world, there are more downside risks than upside risks," Fed Governor Daniel Tarullo said at a conference the Institute of International Finance sponsored on the sidelines. "This is obviously something we have to think about in our own policies."
Chicago Federal Reserve Bank President Charles Evans said a strengthening of the dollar and weak growth abroad could mean slower inflation in the United States, and less justification for the U.S. central bank to raise rates.
· 4
Evgeniy Piskachev
The International Monetary Fund's member countries on Saturday said bold action was needed to bolster the global economic recovery and they urged governments not to squelch growth by tightening budgets too drastically, although Germany poured cold water on the idea of a new global "crisis."
With Japan's economy floundering, the euro zone at risk of recession and even China's expansion slowing, the IMF's steering committee said focusing on growth was the priority.
"A number of countries face the prospect of low or slowing growth, with unemployment remaining unacceptably high," the International Monetary and Financial Committee said on behalf of the Fund's 188 member countries.
The Fund this week cut its 2014 global growth forecast to 3.3 percent from 3.4 percent, the third reduction this year as the prospects for a sustainable recovery from the 2007-2009 global financial crisis have ebbed, despite hefty injections of cash by the world's central banks.
The IMF has flagged Europe as the top concern, a sentiment echoed by many policymakers, economists and investors gathered in Washington for the Fund's fall meetings.
European officials sought to dispel the gloom. European Central Bank President Mario Draghi said the drag from fiscal tightening in the euro zone was set to fade, while German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble downplayed the idea that the region's largest economy was at risk of recession.
With Japan's economy floundering, the euro zone at risk of recession and even China's expansion slowing, the IMF's steering committee said focusing on growth was the priority.
"A number of countries face the prospect of low or slowing growth, with unemployment remaining unacceptably high," the International Monetary and Financial Committee said on behalf of the Fund's 188 member countries.
The Fund this week cut its 2014 global growth forecast to 3.3 percent from 3.4 percent, the third reduction this year as the prospects for a sustainable recovery from the 2007-2009 global financial crisis have ebbed, despite hefty injections of cash by the world's central banks.
The IMF has flagged Europe as the top concern, a sentiment echoed by many policymakers, economists and investors gathered in Washington for the Fund's fall meetings.
European officials sought to dispel the gloom. European Central Bank President Mario Draghi said the drag from fiscal tightening in the euro zone was set to fade, while German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble downplayed the idea that the region's largest economy was at risk of recession.
· 4
Evgeniy Piskachev
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· 5
Evgeniy Piskachev
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· 5
Evgeniy Piskachev
U.S. stocks were set to open little changed on Wednesday, following a selloff that took the S&P 500 to its lowest level in nearly two months, as concerns lingered over how a strong dollar and weak global growth may impact corporate earnings.
China's services sector growth weakened slightly in September as new business cooled in the world's second-largest economy. That follows weak industrial data out of Germany, the euro zone's growth engine.
Weakness in other economies and the expectation that interest rates will begin to rise in the United States as other major central banks continue to ease have boosted the U.S. currency. The dollar index is on track to post its first weekly loss in the last 13.
"Investors are concerned the strong dollar and the weakness in the euro zone will adversely affect third quarter earnings and more importantly guidance for the fourth quarter," said Art Hogan, chief market strategist at Wunderlich Securities in New York.
He said the Ebola epidemic and the advance of Islamic State in Syria also kept investors on edge.
S&P 500 e-mini futures were up less than a point and fair value, a formula that evaluates pricing by taking into account interest rates, dividends and time to expiration on the contract, indicated a flat open. Dow Jones industrial average e-mini futures fell 12 points and Nasdaq 100 e-mini futures added 1 point.
China's services sector growth weakened slightly in September as new business cooled in the world's second-largest economy. That follows weak industrial data out of Germany, the euro zone's growth engine.
Weakness in other economies and the expectation that interest rates will begin to rise in the United States as other major central banks continue to ease have boosted the U.S. currency. The dollar index is on track to post its first weekly loss in the last 13.
"Investors are concerned the strong dollar and the weakness in the euro zone will adversely affect third quarter earnings and more importantly guidance for the fourth quarter," said Art Hogan, chief market strategist at Wunderlich Securities in New York.
He said the Ebola epidemic and the advance of Islamic State in Syria also kept investors on edge.
S&P 500 e-mini futures were up less than a point and fair value, a formula that evaluates pricing by taking into account interest rates, dividends and time to expiration on the contract, indicated a flat open. Dow Jones industrial average e-mini futures fell 12 points and Nasdaq 100 e-mini futures added 1 point.
· 5
Evgeniy Piskachev
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· 2
Evgeniy Piskachev
The dollar remained just below four-year highs against a basket of other major currencies on Monday, as investors consolidated gains after a strong jobs report on Friday fuelled expectations for an early hike in interest rates.
Forex - Dollar remains just below 4-year highs vs. rivalsDollar edges lower vs. rivals in quiet trade
The US Dollar Index, which tracks the performance of the greenback against a basket of six major currencies, was down 0.38% to 86.45, off Friday’s four-year peaks of 86.79.
It notched up its twelfth consecutive weekly gain last week, the longest rally since the index was created in 1971.
The dollar strengthened broadly after data on Friday showed that the U.S. economy added 248,000 jobs in September, well ahead of forecasts for jobs growth of 215,000. The unemployment rate ticked down to 5.9%, the lowest level since July 2008.
The dollar has rallied in recent months, amid expectations that the Federal Reserve is growing closer to raising interest rates, while central banks in Europe and Japan look likely to stick to a looser monetary policy stance.
USD/JPY was down 0.49% to 109.24, off Friday’s highs near six-year highs of 109.86.
The Bank of Japan was to conclude its two-day policy meeting on Tuesday and was expected to leave monetary policy on hold, despite a recent slew of weak economic data.
The euro was also higher, with EUR/USD gaining 0.40% to 1.2564, easing back from Friday’s two year trough of 1.2499.
Forex - Dollar remains just below 4-year highs vs. rivalsDollar edges lower vs. rivals in quiet trade
The US Dollar Index, which tracks the performance of the greenback against a basket of six major currencies, was down 0.38% to 86.45, off Friday’s four-year peaks of 86.79.
It notched up its twelfth consecutive weekly gain last week, the longest rally since the index was created in 1971.
The dollar strengthened broadly after data on Friday showed that the U.S. economy added 248,000 jobs in September, well ahead of forecasts for jobs growth of 215,000. The unemployment rate ticked down to 5.9%, the lowest level since July 2008.
The dollar has rallied in recent months, amid expectations that the Federal Reserve is growing closer to raising interest rates, while central banks in Europe and Japan look likely to stick to a looser monetary policy stance.
USD/JPY was down 0.49% to 109.24, off Friday’s highs near six-year highs of 109.86.
The Bank of Japan was to conclude its two-day policy meeting on Tuesday and was expected to leave monetary policy on hold, despite a recent slew of weak economic data.
The euro was also higher, with EUR/USD gaining 0.40% to 1.2564, easing back from Friday’s two year trough of 1.2499.
· 5
Evgeniy Piskachev
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· 5
Evgeniy Piskachev
Bill Gross, in his first interview since quitting asset manager Pimco, told Barron's magazine he was "uniquely exuberant" about giving up management responsibilities and was excited to get back to his investment roots.
Bond King Bill Gross says happy to get back to investment rootsBond King Bill Gross says happy to get back to investment roots
"Managing money is in my blood," Gross, who is the co-founder of Pacific Investment Management Co., told Barron's this weekend. "I like to get up at 5:30 in the morning and make money for clients and compete against other money managers. That's something that doesn't go away. I am obsessed with delivering value to investors and winning the game from a personal standpoint. Retiring at this point in my career just doesn't suit me."
Gross, the bond market's most renowned investor, quit Pimco for distant rival Janus Capital Group Inc (N:JNS) on Sept. 26, the day before he was expected to be fired from the huge Newport Beach, Calif. investment firm he co-founded more than 40 years ago. Pimco is a unit of Germany's Allianz SE (DE:ALVG).
Gross, 70, had been clashing with the firm's executive committee and had threatened to resign multiple times, a source familiar with the situation said.
"I was always an investment guy, and the other stuff: hiring, paying people, planning, and so on, became a problem for me," he told Barron's. "I am uniquely exuberant about clearing all that stuff off my dish."
Gross has been given control of the tiny $13 million Janus Unconstrained Bond fund in the expectation that at least some of the clients who invested in his $200 billion Pimco Total Return fund will follow him to his new home.
Bond King Bill Gross says happy to get back to investment rootsBond King Bill Gross says happy to get back to investment roots
"Managing money is in my blood," Gross, who is the co-founder of Pacific Investment Management Co., told Barron's this weekend. "I like to get up at 5:30 in the morning and make money for clients and compete against other money managers. That's something that doesn't go away. I am obsessed with delivering value to investors and winning the game from a personal standpoint. Retiring at this point in my career just doesn't suit me."
Gross, the bond market's most renowned investor, quit Pimco for distant rival Janus Capital Group Inc (N:JNS) on Sept. 26, the day before he was expected to be fired from the huge Newport Beach, Calif. investment firm he co-founded more than 40 years ago. Pimco is a unit of Germany's Allianz SE (DE:ALVG).
Gross, 70, had been clashing with the firm's executive committee and had threatened to resign multiple times, a source familiar with the situation said.
"I was always an investment guy, and the other stuff: hiring, paying people, planning, and so on, became a problem for me," he told Barron's. "I am uniquely exuberant about clearing all that stuff off my dish."
Gross has been given control of the tiny $13 million Janus Unconstrained Bond fund in the expectation that at least some of the clients who invested in his $200 billion Pimco Total Return fund will follow him to his new home.
· 4
Evgeniy Piskachev
U.S. stocks rallied on Friday after a better-than-expected September jobs report fueled hopes that a more robust economy will fuel more business for corporate America.
U.S. stocks shoot up on robust U.S. jobs report; Dow rises 1.24% U.S. stocks rally on upbeat jobs data
At the close of U.S. trading, the Dow 30 rose 1.24%, the S&P 500 index rose 1.12%, while the NASDAQ Composite index rose 1.03%.
The Volatility S&P 500 index, which measures the outlook for market volatility, was down 9.16% at 14.68.
The Department of Labor reported earlier that the U.S. economy added 248,000 jobs in September, far more than the expected 215,000 increase. The number of jobs created in August was revised to 180,000 from a previous estimate of 142,000.
In addition, the U.S. unemployment rate ticked down to 5.9% last month from 6.1% in August.
Analysts had expected the rate to remain unchanged, and the numbers sparked a rally in the stock market by fueling expectations that stronger corporate earnings will accompany a more robust U.S. economy.
Elsewhere, the Institute of Supply Management said its non-manufacturing purchasing managers' index slipped to 58.6 in September from a reading of 59.6 in August. Analysts had expected the index to fall to 58.5 last month, though investors shrugged off the data.
U.S. stocks shoot up on robust U.S. jobs report; Dow rises 1.24% U.S. stocks rally on upbeat jobs data
At the close of U.S. trading, the Dow 30 rose 1.24%, the S&P 500 index rose 1.12%, while the NASDAQ Composite index rose 1.03%.
The Volatility S&P 500 index, which measures the outlook for market volatility, was down 9.16% at 14.68.
The Department of Labor reported earlier that the U.S. economy added 248,000 jobs in September, far more than the expected 215,000 increase. The number of jobs created in August was revised to 180,000 from a previous estimate of 142,000.
In addition, the U.S. unemployment rate ticked down to 5.9% last month from 6.1% in August.
Analysts had expected the rate to remain unchanged, and the numbers sparked a rally in the stock market by fueling expectations that stronger corporate earnings will accompany a more robust U.S. economy.
Elsewhere, the Institute of Supply Management said its non-manufacturing purchasing managers' index slipped to 58.6 in September from a reading of 59.6 in August. Analysts had expected the index to fall to 58.5 last month, though investors shrugged off the data.
· 4
Evgeniy Piskachev
The S&P 500 posted its best day since August on Friday following a stronger-than-expected September U.S. jobs report that bolstered the outlook for the U.S. economy.
Despite the rally, however, major indexes ended down for the week, with the first diagnosis of Ebola in a patient in the United States and protests in Hong Kong among the main catalysts for sharp selling earlier in the week.
The Labor Department reported that U.S. non-farm payrolls rose by 248,000 last month and the jobless rate fell two-tenths of a point to 5.9 percent.
"There were a number of fears in the market, and the market had been giving up a lot of its gains. I think the jobs report took away a lot of the near-term concerns about the pace of the U.S. economy's (growth), and short-covering helped," said Robbert Van Batenburg, director of market strategy at Newedge USA LLC in New York.
All 10 S&P sectors ended in positive territory, though the S&P energy index was the day's weakest and ended barely higher following further declines in oil prices . The energy index was down 3.8 percent for the week.
Despite the rally, however, major indexes ended down for the week, with the first diagnosis of Ebola in a patient in the United States and protests in Hong Kong among the main catalysts for sharp selling earlier in the week.
The Labor Department reported that U.S. non-farm payrolls rose by 248,000 last month and the jobless rate fell two-tenths of a point to 5.9 percent.
"There were a number of fears in the market, and the market had been giving up a lot of its gains. I think the jobs report took away a lot of the near-term concerns about the pace of the U.S. economy's (growth), and short-covering helped," said Robbert Van Batenburg, director of market strategy at Newedge USA LLC in New York.
All 10 S&P sectors ended in positive territory, though the S&P energy index was the day's weakest and ended barely higher following further declines in oil prices . The energy index was down 3.8 percent for the week.
· 4
Evgeniy Piskachev
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· 7
Evgeniy Piskachev
U.S. stocks ended Thursday largely unchanged as investors jumped to the sidelines to await Friday's release of the September jobs report, which many hope will provide clues as to the strength of the world's largest economy.
U.S. stocks hold steady ahead of jobs report; Dow falls 0.02% Stocks end flat ahead of September jobs report
At the close of U.S. trading, the Dow 30 fell 0.02%, the S&P 500 index end the session unchanged, while the NASDAQ Composite index rose 0.18%.
The Volatility S&P 500 index, which measures the outlook for market volatility, was down 3.11% at 16.19.
The Labor Department reported earlier that the number of individuals filing for initial jobless benefits in the week ending Sept. 27 decreased by 8,000 to 287,000 from the previous week’s revised total of 295,000.
Analysts had expected jobless claims to rise by 2,000 to 297,000 last week.
The data came after payroll processor ADP on Wednesday said that the U.S. private sector added 213,000 jobs last month, slightly ahead of expectations for jobs growth of 210,000.
Still, investors remained in standby mode ahead Friday’s U.S. nonfarm payrolls report, which was expected to show that the economy about 215,000 jobs in September.
U.S. stocks hold steady ahead of jobs report; Dow falls 0.02% Stocks end flat ahead of September jobs report
At the close of U.S. trading, the Dow 30 fell 0.02%, the S&P 500 index end the session unchanged, while the NASDAQ Composite index rose 0.18%.
The Volatility S&P 500 index, which measures the outlook for market volatility, was down 3.11% at 16.19.
The Labor Department reported earlier that the number of individuals filing for initial jobless benefits in the week ending Sept. 27 decreased by 8,000 to 287,000 from the previous week’s revised total of 295,000.
Analysts had expected jobless claims to rise by 2,000 to 297,000 last week.
The data came after payroll processor ADP on Wednesday said that the U.S. private sector added 213,000 jobs last month, slightly ahead of expectations for jobs growth of 210,000.
Still, investors remained in standby mode ahead Friday’s U.S. nonfarm payrolls report, which was expected to show that the economy about 215,000 jobs in September.
· 3
Evgeniy Piskachev
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· 3
Evgeniy Piskachev
U.S. non-farm private employment rose more-than-expected in September, fuelling optimism over the strength of the U.S. labor market, industry data showed on Wednesday.
U.S. ADP non-farm payrolls rise by 213,000 in SeptemberU.S. ADP non-farm payrolls rise more than expected in September
In a report, payroll processing firm ADP said non-farm private employment rose by a seasonally adjusted 213,000 last month, above expectations for an increase of 210,000. The economy created 202,000 jobs in August.
While not viewed as a reliable guide for the government jobs report due on Friday, October 3, it does give guidance on private-sector hiring.
EUR/USD was trading at 1.2596 from around 1.2603 ahead of the release of the data, while GBP/USD was at 1.6184 from 1.6191 earlier.
Meanwhile, U.S. stock index futures remained lower. The Dow 30 indicated a loss of 0.1% at the open, the S&P 500 pointed to a drop of 0.1%, while the NASDAQ 100 indicated a decline of 0.15%.
Elsewhere, in the commodities market, gold traded at $1,209.70 a troy ounce, compared to $1,209.50 ahead of the data, while crude oil traded at $91.73 a barrel from $91.76 earlier.
U.S. ADP non-farm payrolls rise by 213,000 in SeptemberU.S. ADP non-farm payrolls rise more than expected in September
In a report, payroll processing firm ADP said non-farm private employment rose by a seasonally adjusted 213,000 last month, above expectations for an increase of 210,000. The economy created 202,000 jobs in August.
While not viewed as a reliable guide for the government jobs report due on Friday, October 3, it does give guidance on private-sector hiring.
EUR/USD was trading at 1.2596 from around 1.2603 ahead of the release of the data, while GBP/USD was at 1.6184 from 1.6191 earlier.
Meanwhile, U.S. stock index futures remained lower. The Dow 30 indicated a loss of 0.1% at the open, the S&P 500 pointed to a drop of 0.1%, while the NASDAQ 100 indicated a decline of 0.15%.
Elsewhere, in the commodities market, gold traded at $1,209.70 a troy ounce, compared to $1,209.50 ahead of the data, while crude oil traded at $91.73 a barrel from $91.76 earlier.
· 3