EDGE OF CHAOS Random Casino Theory
Reliability
14 weeks (since 2019)
0
0 USD
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Growth

Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
YTD
Total:

Balance

Equity

Drawdown

  • Equity
  • Drawdown
Trades:
397
Profit Trades:
251 (63.22%)
Loss Trades:
146 (36.78%)
Best trade:
3.93 USD
Worst trade:
-9.69 USD
Gross Profit:
383.07 USD (41479 pips)
Gross Loss:
-369.08 USD (35359 pips)
Maximum consecutive wins:
46 (58.62 USD)
Maximal consecutive profit:
61.30 USD (29)
Sharpe Ratio:
0.02
Trading activity:
100.00%
Max deposit load:
19.13%
Latest trade:
2 days ago
Trades per week:
188
Avg holding time:
19 hours
Recovery Factor:
0.12
Long Trades:
262 (65.99%)
Short Trades:
135 (34.01%)
Profit Factor:
1.04
Expected Payoff:
0.04 USD
Average Profit:
1.53 USD
Average Loss:
-2.53 USD
Maximum consecutive losses:
24 (-75.69 USD)
Maximal consecutive loss:
-75.69 USD (24)
Monthly growth:
-10.18%
Annual Forecast:
-100.00%
Algo trading:
100%

Distribution

Symbol Deals Sell Buy
EURUSDi 397
50100150200250300350400
50100150200250300350400
50100150200250300350400
Symbol Gross Profit, USD Loss, USD Profit, USD
EURUSDi 14
200400600800
200400600800
200400600800
Symbol Gross Profit, pips Loss, pips Profit, pips
EURUSDi 6.8K
20K40K60K80K
20K40K60K80K
20K40K60K80K

Drawdown

Best trade:
3.93 USD
Maximum consecutive wins:
46 (58.62 USD)
Maximal consecutive profit:
61.30 USD (29)
Worst trade:
-9.69 USD
Maximum consecutive losses:
24 (-75.69 USD)
Maximal consecutive loss:
-75.69 USD (24)
Drawdown by balance:
Absolute:
52.96 USD
Maximal:
113.18 USD (30.35%)
Relative drawdown:
By Balance:
30.35% (113.18 USD)
By Equity:
26.84% (67.39 USD)

MFE and MAE Distribution Point Graphs

Maximum profit (MFE) and maximum loss (MAE) values are recorded for each open order during its lifetime. These parameters additionally characterize each closed order using the values of the maximum unrealized potential and maximum permitted risk. MFE/Profit and MAE/Profit distribution graphs display each order as a point with received profit/loss value plotted along the X-axis, while maximum displayed values of potential profit (MFE) and potential loss (MAE) are plotted along the Y-axis.

No data
No data

Place your cursor over parameters/graph captions to see the best and worst trading series. Find out more about MAE and MFE distributions in the article Mathematics in Trading: How to Estimate Trade Results.

The average slippage based on execution statistics on real accounts of various brokers is specified in pips. It depends on the difference between the provider's quotes from "TradersWay-Live" and the subscriber's quotes, as well as on order execution delays. Lower values mean better quality of copying.

ICMarkets-Live2
0.00 × 5
Armada-Live
0.00 × 4
ThinkForex-Live 2
0.00 × 25
LMAX-LiveUK
0.00 × 40
GerchikCo-Gerchik and Co Ltd.
0.00 × 2
ForexChief-DirectFX
0.00 × 7
FXPIG.com-LD4 LIVE
0.00 × 1
XMGlobal-Real 17
0.00 × 1
ICMarkets-Live09
0.00 × 1
WindsorBrokersBZ-REAL
0.21 × 39
Divisa-Live
0.24 × 17
ICMarkets-Live
0.25 × 4
MYFX-US01-Live
0.41 × 27
Lionstone-Demo
0.50 × 4
Pepperstone-Edge09
0.54 × 159
TradersWay-Live
0.60 × 4695
AUSForex-Live
0.67 × 6
TitanFX-02
0.84 × 37
PepperstoneUK-Edge10
0.85 × 397
Pepperstone-Edge06
0.95 × 133
GKFX-Live-2
1.00 × 2
FXOpenAU-ECN Live Server
1.13 × 24
AxioryAsia-02Live
1.16 × 121
EGlobal-Cent5
1.17 × 175
ICMarkets-Live04
1.21 × 447
138 more...
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Supply/Demand? Or is it a Casino?

Using the "Edges" of mathematics, random chaos, statistics, trends, and volatility to beat the market.

Although the Forex Market pricing and trading activity is based on market forces, this is only true for small portions of the day/month, or in a general sense concerning the long-term trend. The remaining portions are the key.

By far, the majority of the daily or minute-by-minute fluctuations are comprised of what can only be described as chaos. This chaos consists of broker manipulation, stop-hunting, support/resistance levels being breached/fake-outs (both technical and psychological), undisciplined trader emotional reaction, aimless drifting, large position unwinding, profit taking, and plain old random fluctuations.

Trading systems which depend on analysis of market patterns or any of the seemingly infinite number of technical indicators available, which describes practically all trading systems, are essentially worthless when trying to make sense of completely chaotic and random market activity. 

Strategy of Chaos

It makes sense to approach trading the Forex Market as if it were similar to a Casino rather than a fundamentally and technically influenced market-driven financial instrument.

As with any Casino, you can Win if you have an "Edge", a small piece of known information that has the potential to completely change the nature of the Game - from Random, to IN YOUR FAVOR. An example is "Card Counting" in Black Jack, where you can leverage your bets when you know the odds are with you. Another example is the Forex Broker. With each trade placed by the customer, the Broker profits via "the spread". It's just  one of their "Edges" in what they consider an otherwise random pool of trading activity (as you know, it's even worse than random - from the customer/trader's role)

The Forex Market can be considered the ultimate Casino. From this perspective and using this approach, you can construct and design any trade to your liking, based on mathematically calculable odds and probabilities in real-time.

With a firm understanding of the mathematics involved, this "Edge" combined with various other simple fundamental truths/edges that are known (for example trend identification, volatility, S/R) can result in a winning and profitable strategy.

The “Edge Of Chaos” Strategy

100% trade execution by my Expert Advisor (EA Robot), named EdgeOfChaos. I have successfully used this algorithm to make consistent profits.

Each trade begins with at least a 64.6% chance of success in winning.

Strategy uses 1 minute charts, EURUSD pair.

Each Trade can consist of a group of several limited individual small trades, placed at strategic positions.

Take-Profit target is the initial goal, and may be revised during life of Trade.

Stop-Loss is used and always adhered to, never modified. Risk is always known, limited, and manageable.

When Trade is closed, all trades within the group are closed.

Trades are in the market 99.9% of the time. Meaning, when one Trade group is closed, the next Trade is opened almost immediately.

Catches trends early, better positioning.

No use of Martingale or Pyramiding strategy. Losses are recouped by winning more than losing.

Not a Grid Trading system, no Hedging, no huge (or small) open losses carried.

Maximum number of positions that may be opened at one time is 16 (total combined Lot Size of 0.16 for an account trading minimum lot sizes of 0.01), but that will be rare. It will usually be around 2 to 5 individual trades in the Trading Group (combined total lots of 0.02 to 0.05).

The life of the Trade is monitored and adjustments are made as needed.

Unlike risky Martingale strategies where losses are overcome by compounding the risk exponentially, the "Edge Of Chaos" strategy overcomes losses simply by winning more than losing via the combination of many "Edges" and by adjustments made to the overall Trading Group.

These adjustments may consist of several actions depending on the circumstances. There can be adjustments to the Take-Profit level, and/or revising the exit strategy, and also by introducing additional trades but only up to a calculated and acceptable level of risk. By doing so, the Trade has  several instances of being in a high probability scenario of winning before a loss can occur.

This multi-attempt approach to creating high probability winning scenarios provides for an additional powerful “Edge”. The end result is a higher overall success rate than the initial fixed probability of 64.6% chance of success, all with an acceptable level of risk.

Trading Account

Recommended minimum account size:

If trading 0.01 lots sizes, you need to be able to withstand a loss of $65 to $85 and have enough remaining margin for continuation of trading a maximum of 0.16 total lots.

Leverage 100:1 - $500 minimum

Leverage 500:1 - $300 Minimum, $500 or more is safer and recommended

Of course, the conversion of the Lot Size and Volume from the "Edge Of Chaos" Signal to your account is dependent on the balances and leverage of both accounts, as well as the deposit load percentage you choose when connecting to the Signal. See the  "Learn how the volumes are copied" article to make sure you get the best setup for what you need.

Loss Recovery

Concerning this live real-money account, you can see we started with a string of losses (Sept 2019). That's good! (for demonstration...) Nothing to hide here. No need to "wait and see" to find out how the EA handles draw-down. The losses occur when the EA gets out of sync with the market, such as when getting started. This is just what happens as it establishes a rhythm with the market once again.

As you can see, there was no exponential compounding of risk, haphazard or excessive buying/selling, or panic trading. The losses were overcome by sticking to the strategy, and winning.

Because the starting balance is $300, rather than the $500 recommended, the DD from this was 26%. A $500 account would only have been 15.6% DD.

Expert Advisor Robot Available Soon

The "Edge Of Chaos" Expert Advisor (EA Robot) will be available for purchase (and free trial) shortly. There are some additional features I am currently working on to improve the performance and interface, and help make it more informative and flexible for each user.


No reviews
2019.12.13 18:49
80% of growth achieved within 1 days. This comprises 1.08% of days out of 93 days of the signal's entire lifetime.
2019.12.13 16:33
Share of days for 80% of growth is too low
2019.12.11 21:09
80% of growth achieved within 1 days. This comprises 1.1% of days out of 91 days of the signal's entire lifetime.
2019.12.11 02:56
Too frequent deals may negatively impact copying results
2019.12.10 17:11
Share of days for 80% of growth is too low
2019.12.06 17:42
80% of growth achieved within 1 days. This comprises 1.16% of days out of 86 days of the signal's entire lifetime.
2019.12.06 16:41
Share of days for 80% of growth is too low
2019.11.21 22:11
Removed warning: This is a newly opened account. Trading results may be of random nature
2019.10.16 09:08
80% of growth achieved within 1 days. This comprises 2.86% of days out of 35 days of the signal's entire lifetime.
2019.10.15 17:09
Share of days for 80% of growth is too low
2019.10.02 11:28
80% of growth achieved within 1 days. This comprises 4.76% of days out of 21 days of the signal's entire lifetime.
2019.09.25 18:20
Removed warning: The number of deals on the account is too small to evaluate trading
2019.09.19 11:16
Removed warning: Low trading activity - not enough trades detected during the last month
2019.09.17 20:34
Share of days for 80% of trades is too low
2019.09.17 19:33
Share of days for 80% of trades is too low
2019.09.16 13:19
Share of trading days is too low
2019.09.16 13:19
Share of trading days is too low
2019.09.12 21:44
Trading operations on the account were performed for only 0 days. This comprises 0% of days out of the 1 days of the signal's entire lifetime.
2019.09.12 21:44
80% of trades performed within 0 days. This comprises 0% of days out of the 1 days of the signal's entire lifetime.
2019.09.12 21:44
The number of deals on the account is too small to evaluate trading quality
To see trades in realtime, please log in or register
Signal
Price
Growth
Subscribers
Funds
Balance
Weeks
Expert Advisors
Trades
Win %
Activity
PF
Expected Payoff
Drawdown
Leverage
30
USD
5%
0
0
USD
314
USD
14
100%
397
63%
100%
1.03
0.04
USD
30%
1:500
Copy