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SSA Trend Predictor

3.5

This indicator extracts a trend from a price series and forecasts its further development. Algorithm is based on modern technique of Singular Spectral Analysis (SSA). SSA is used for extracting the main components (trend, seasonal and wave fluctuations), smoothing and eliminating noise. It does not require the series to be stationary, as well as the information on presence of periodic components and their periods. It can be applied both for trend and for another indicators.


Features of the method and operation principle

Dynamics of prices is presented as a process caused by influence of factor on different scales and additional "noise". Influence factors determine the trend and regularities of price changes, noise oscillations hide the useful information. Processing by the Caterpillar-SSA method allows to separate subspaces of the signal and noise, evaluate the contribution and scale of significant influence factors. Extracted "signal" does not have phase delays unlike the conventional filtering methods and smoothed average. A forecast is plotted based on the identified trend and periodicity. Forecast based on a properly chosen model is the hedging method in the trading strategy.


Usage

Managing the indicator parameters allows to adjust the smoothness of the extracted trend and to control the noise filtering threshold, consider on suppress the contribution of the components in the signal, which affect it on different time scales. The optimum decomposition of data into signal and noise components is determined using the time horizon of the trading strategy and the current market situation.


Forecast

The forecast of the future values is performed according to the constructed model, which considers the statistical characteristics of data and the best within the model. Note that the "left out" influence factors can be very significant. Adequate model - good forecast. It is necessary to focus on quality and not quantity forecast of price fluctuations and use it as a hedging signal.


Parameters

  1. Algorithm — forecast algorithm (1 — vector, 2 — recurrent),
  2. N: Data fragment — length of the analyzed price series,
  3. Time-dependent lag — determine the influence history on counting (N/2, N/2.5, N/3),
  4. Noise High-Freq limit — parameter for filtering noise for the trend (remove the contribution of high frequency oscillations),
  5. Recalculate period – indicator recalculation period (sec),
  6. Predictable points — number of forecast points,
  7. Backward shift (test) — backward shift of analyzed fragment in history. For construction of the model and forecast according to the known data.
  8. * VISUAL OPTIONS *
  9. General parts — color for trend view,
  10. Prediction — color for forecast view,
  11. Plot style — line or histogram plot style.


Recommendations

The best length of the price series fragment (N) is selected based on the statistical uniformity of data (200-600 points).

The parameter for filtering noise - Noise HF Limit: the longer the series, the smaller the filtration parameter. For the short fragments, the evaluation of the statistical properties is performed with an increased error - the level should be increased.

The number of prediction points with acceptable forecast probability is 10-30 in a customized model. For further analysis, it is reasonable to use a more coarse timeframe. Simultaneous application of the two indicators with different parameters (N=400 and 250) will show the divergence of influence factors related to different time scales or will confirm the forecast.

P.S. Implementation with the FFT algorithm allowed to improve the data processing speed by more than 50 times compared to the normal method. It is presented in SSA Fast Trend Forecast.

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The best Tool to Catch Boom and Crash Spikes like a Pro You want to become a constantly Boom and Crash Trader This is an advanced indicator used to catch Boom and Crash Indices spikes beforehand. It alerts on high probability entries with an amazing success rate. We recommend using a Virtual Private Server for receiving 24/7 notifications via email or phone How to trade with Mega Spikes Max 1.4 MT5? When arrow is displayed on the chart wait for audible alert or push notification to be sen
225 USD
ACB Breakout Arrows MT5
KEENBASE SOFTWARE SOLUTIONS
5 (1)
The ACB Breakout Arrows indicator provides a crucial entry signal in the market by detecting a special breakout pattern. The indicator constantly scans the chart for a settling momentum in one direction and provide the accurate entry signal right before the major move. MT4 Version is available here https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/20818 Key features Stoploss   and Take Profit levels are provided by the indicator. Comes with a MTF Scanner dashboard which tracks the breakout signals ac
180 USD
About Ace Supply Demand Zone Indicator The concept of supply demand trading rely on the quantity mismatching between buying and selling volumes in financial markets. Supply and demand zone serves as the good entry in our trading. It provides you the detailed trading plan + the risk management. Its ability to predict market direction is high. There are two distinctive points about Ace Supply Demand Zone Indicator. Firstly, Ace Supply Demand Zone indicator was built on the non-repainting and non
100 USD
PZ Trend Trading MT5
PZ TRADING SLU
3 (2)
Trend Trading is an indicator designed to profit as much as possible from trends taking place in the market, by timing pullbacks and breakouts. It finds trading opportunities by analyzing what the price is doing during established trends. [ Installation Guide | Update Guide | Troubleshooting | FAQ | All Products ] Trade financial markets with confidence and efficiency Profit from established trends without getting whipsawed Recognize profitable pullbacks, breakouts and early reversals The ind
299 USD
The indicator was created for the "Masters of Risk" trading system.  The settings are compared with  volumes in NinjaTrader 8 terminal with CQG datafeed . The settings of EURUSD-6E , GBPUSD-6B , AUDUSD-6A and other currency pairs were compared.  The indicator shows the cumulative volume of candles that are in the rectangle.  You can add a new one with "+" button and delete it with “x” button.  Using the “L” button, you can continue the POC and mode level s.  "MR Volume Profile Rectangles 5" is
150 USD
MT4 Version Gaussian Channel MT5 Gaussian Channel MT5 is the first indicator in the market that uses Ehlers Gaussian Filter methods to define trends. Nowadays, this Gaussian Channel is highly known as a method to support HOLD techniques in crypto. If the price is above the channel the trend is strong, if it comes back to the channel this can react as a resistance and indicate the beginning of a bear market (or Winter) if the price breaks below it. Eventhough the use of this channel focuses on
130 USD
Golden Spikes Detector
Batsirayi L Marango
5 (1)
Golden Spikes Detector This indicator is based on an advanced strategy primarily for trading spikes on Boom and Crash Indices. Complex algorithms were implanted to detect high probability entries only. It alerts on potential Buy and Sell entries. To trade spikes on the Deriv or Binary broker, only take Buy Boom and Sell Cash alerts. It was optimised for 5-minute timeframe. Features ·          Sends push notifications to mobile phone ·          Pop up and sound alerts on computer or laptop ·     
150 USD
FX Volume MT5
Daniel Stein
4.88 (8)
Following the smart money is finally possible! FX Volume   is the FIRST and ONLY volume indicator   that provides a REAL insight into the market sentiment from a broker's point of view. It provides awesome insights into how institutional market participants, like brokers, are positioned in the Forex market, much faster than COT reports. Seeing this information directly on your chart is the real game-changer and breakthrough solution for your trading. Please read our basic tutorial ->   "Ho
75 USD
Pentagram MT5
Andrey Ziablytsev
5 (2)
Automatic marking of the chart with Pentagram models. This model is based on the Expansion Model from Adversa Tactics. Designed to determine the trend and predict possible levels and targets of price correction in the future. The model describes a developing trend. The trend is relevant until the price crosses the trend line of the model in the opposite direction. Levels of rays of the pentagram, level of HP, distances of 100% and 200% of the distance between points 1-4, levels of HP are possibl
300 USD
Market Profile defines a number of day types that can help the trader to determine market behaviour. A key feature is the Value Area, representing the range of price action where 70% of trading took place. Understanding the Value Area can give traders valuable insight into market direction and establish the higher odds trade. It is an excellent addition to any system you may be using. Blahtech Limited presents their Market Profile indicator for the MetaTrader community. Inspired by Jim Dalton’s
124 USD
This indicator analyzes past price action to anticipate buying and selling pressure in the market: it does so by looking back into the past and analyzing price peaks and valleys around the current price. It is a state-of-the-art confirmation indicator. [ Installation Guide | Update Guide | Troubleshooting | FAQ | All Products ] Predict buying and selling pressure in the market Avoid getting caught in buying selling frenzies No settings and no optimization needed The indicator works in all timefr
99 USD
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SSACD - Singular Spectrum Average Convergence/Divergence This is an analogue of the MACD indicator based on the Caterpillar-SSA ( Singular Spectrum Analysis ) method. Limited version of the SSACD Forecast indicator. Limitations include the set of parameters and their range. Specificity of the method The Caterpillar-SSA is an effective method to handle non-stationary time series with unknown internal structure. The method allows to find the previously unknown periodicities of the series and mak
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Aleksandr Sosnovskiy
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Daniel Andrejczuk
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Version 2.4 2021.11.25
The latest version of the MQL5 compiler was used.
Version 2.2 2016.12.26
Modification to allow working with an expert
Version 2.1 2016.09.09
Added ability to apply the product to other indicators (and not to price series only).
Improved managing graphical parameters. Changed the description.
Version 2.0 2016.08.25
Interface is improved.
Regime of periodical calculation is realized to reduce the computational load.
The forecasting algorithm has become more accurate.