Federal Reserve Bank (Fed) of Philadelphia Capex Index

Country:
United States
USD, US dollar
Sector:
Business
Low 26.7 25.5
27.1
Last release Importance Actual Forecast
Previous
25.4
26.7
Next release Actual Forecast
Previous
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Philadelphia Fed Capex Outlook reflects an estimated change in capital investments in the Philadelphia Federal Reserve zone for the next six months. This region includes Pennsylvania, New Jersey and Delaware.

The forecast value is calculated based on a survey of leading industrial enterprises in the region. In addition to a general assessment of capital expenditures in the industry, business leaders are polled to assume whether the situation in their companies will improve, worsen or remain unchanged. In particular, respondents assess new orders, shipment, unfilled orders, suppliers' delivery times, inventories, prices paid, prices received, number of employees, average hours worked per week.

The region falling under the responsibility of the Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank is one of the most economically active regions of the country, that is why its manufacturing capex outlook is often monitored by analysts. The manufacturing sector usually demonstrates a more vivid cyclic nature and reflects current changes earlier than the economy in general. Therefore, expectations of participants of this market serve as a leading indicator of the US economy health.

The index is calculated as a difference between the percentage of positive forecasts and the percentage of negative ones. If the final index value is positive, it means that manufacturers in the region plan to invest capital in production. Readings below zero indicate worsening of business sentiment in the manufacturing segment of the economy.

However, the Philadelphia Fed Capex Outlook rarely causes dollar volatility.

Last values:

actual data

forecast

The chart of the entire available history of the "Federal Reserve Bank (Fed) of Philadelphia Capex Index" macroeconomic indicator. The dashed line shows the forecast values ​​of the economic indicator for the specified dates.

A significant deviation of a real value from a forecast one may cause a short-term strengthening or weakening of a national currency in the Forex market. The threshold values ​​of the indicators signaling the approach of the critical state of the national (local) economy occupy a special place.

Date (GMT)
Reference
Actual
Forecast
Previous
Sep 2018
26.7
25.5
27.1
Aug 2018
27.1
26.3
31.4
Jul 2018
31.4
29.9
36.5
Jun 2018
36.5
30.9
21.6
May 2018
21.6
36.8
29.8
Apr 2018
29.8
39.2
35.9
Mar 2018
35.9
39.6
40.4
Feb 2018
40.4
38.6
36.2
Jan 2018
36.2
39.3
38.5
Dec 2017
38
39.8
36.7
Nov 2017
36.7
41.1
37.7
Oct 2017
37.7
41.6
39
Sep 2017
39
38.7
39.2
Aug 2017
39.2
36.1
42
Jul 2017
42
28.6
Jun 2017
28.6
32.6
May 2017
32.6
36.5
Apr 2017
36.5
34.5
Mar 2017
34.5
22.1
Feb 2017
22.1
21.9
Jan 2017
21.9
33.8
Dec 2016
33.8
19.1
Nov 2016
19.1
21.2
Oct 2016
21.2
8.6
Sep 2016
8.6
19.2
Aug 2016
19.2
15.1
Jul 2016
15.1
7.1
Jun 2016
7.1
23.6
May 2016
23.6
12.7
Apr 2016
12.7
13.3
Mar 2016
13.3
2.5
Feb 2016
2.5
9.4
Jan 2016
9.4
10.9
Dec 2015
10.9
25.9
Nov 2015
25.9
7.2
Oct 2015
7.2
27.2
Sep 2015
27.2
18.4
Aug 2015
18.4
7.7
Jul 2015
7.7
8.1
Jun 2015
8.1
16.8
May 2015
16.8
15.8
Apr 2015
15.8
16.4
Mar 2015
16.4
20.9
Feb 2015
20.9
13.2
Jan 2015
13.2
21.7
Dec 2014
21.7
23
Nov 2014
23
18.9
Oct 2014
18.9
23.7
Sep 2014
23.7
18.2
Aug 2014
18.2
25.5

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