Federal Reserve Bank (Fed) of New York Empire State Manufacturing Index

Country:
United States
USD, US dollar
Sector:
Business
Medium -1.5 -10.2
-31.3
Last release Importance Actual Forecast
Previous
-13.3
-1.5
Next release Actual Forecast
Previous
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NY Fed Empire State Manufacturing Index measures business conditions in the manufacturing sector in the state of New York. This monthly indicator is calculated based on a survey of several hundred large manufacturers operating in the state of New York. A level above 0 indicates an improvement in conditions, below 0 means worsening.

The questionnaire contains questions about changes in business conditions in the given month compared to the previous month. The survey participants assess changes in the following components:

  • General business conditions
  • The number of new orders
  • Shipment
  • The number of unfilled orders (orders in progress)
  • Suppliers' delivery times
  • Inventories
  • Prices paid (prices for goods and services which the company purchases in the production process)
  • Prices received (prices for produced items received by the company)
  • The number of employees
  • Average working week

The second part of the survey contains an outlook part: participants suggest how the above components may change in the next 6 months. In addition to these 11 elements, the outlook part of the survey contains questions about company's capital expenditures (spendings on equipment and technology).

Separate diffuse indices are calculated based on the survey. The main index of the survey is the general business conditions. It is calculated independently, and other indices calculated based on the survey results do not affect this index.

Analytics see the index as a measure of production activity, the results of which can be extrapolated throughout the country. Its growth can have a positive effect on dollar quotes.

Last values:

actual data

forecast

The chart of the entire available history of the "Federal Reserve Bank (Fed) of New York Empire State Manufacturing Index" macroeconomic indicator. The dashed line shows the forecast values ​​of the economic indicator for the specified dates.

A significant deviation of a real value from a forecast one may cause a short-term strengthening or weakening of a national currency in the Forex market. The threshold values ​​of the indicators signaling the approach of the critical state of the national (local) economy occupy a special place.

Date (GMT)
Reference
Actual
Forecast
Previous
Sep 2022
-1.5
-10.2
-31.3
Aug 2022
-31.3
4.9
11.1
Jul 2022
11.1
-6.3
-1.2
Jun 2022
-1.2
6.5
-11.6
May 2022
-11.6
6.4
24.6
Apr 2022
24.6
-4.3
-11.8
Mar 2022
-11.8
1.2
3.1
Feb 2022
3.1
15.5
-0.7
Jan 2022
-0.7
31.6
31.9
Dec 2021
31.9
25.5
30.9
Nov 2021
30.9
26.9
19.8
Oct 2021
19.8
26.6
34.3
Sep 2021
34.3
30.5
18.3
Aug 2021
18.3
31.1
43.0
Jul 2021
43.0
20.7
17.4
Jun 2021
17.4
25.3
24.3
May 2021
24.3
21.9
26.3
Apr 2021
26.3
14.6
17.4
Mar 2021
17.4
7.7
12.1
Feb 2021
12.1
4.1
3.5
Jan 2021
3.5
5.5
4.9
Dec 2020
4.9
8.3
6.3
Nov 2020
6.3
-10.7
10.5
Oct 2020
10.5
-13.3
17.0
Sep 2020
17.0
6.1
3.7
Aug 2020
3.7
-14.1
17.2
Jul 2020
17.2
-24.1
-0.2
Jun 2020
-0.2
-65.7
-48.5
May 2020
-48.5
-59.0
-78.2
Apr 2020
-78.2
-4.2
-21.5
Mar 2020
-21.5
8.7
12.9
Feb 2020
12.9
4.1
4.8
Jan 2020
4.8
3.1
3.3
Dec 2019
3.5
3.4
2.9
Nov 2019
2.9
2.9
4.0
Oct 2019
4.0
2.7
2.0
Sep 2019
2.0
1.1
4.8
Aug 2019
4.8
4.7
4.3
Jul 2019
4.3
7.2
-8.6
Jun 2019
-8.6
13.8
17.8
May 2019
17.8
6.2
10.1
Apr 2019
10.1
6.2
3.7
Mar 2019
3.7
7.3
8.8
Feb 2019
8.8
7.3
3.9
Jan 2019
3.9
13.3
11.5
Dec 2018
10.9
8.4
23.3
Nov 2018
23.3
8.2
21.1
Oct 2018
21.1
8.6
19.0
Sep 2018
19.0
8.6
25.6
Aug 2018
25.6
9.3
22.6

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