Federal Reserve Bank (Fed) of New York Empire State Manufacturing Index

Country:
United States
USD, US dollar
Sector:
Business
Medium 23.3 8.2
21.1
Last release Importance Actual Forecast
Previous
8.4
23.3
Next release Actual Forecast
Previous
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NY Fed Empire State Manufacturing Index measures business conditions in the manufacturing sector in the state of New York. This monthly indicator is calculated based on a survey of several hundred large manufacturers operating in the state of New York. A level above 0 indicates an improvement in conditions, below 0 means worsening.

The questionnaire contains questions about changes in business conditions in the given month compared to the previous month. The survey participants assess changes in the following components:

  • General business conditions
  • The number of new orders
  • Shipment
  • The number of unfilled orders (orders in progress)
  • Suppliers' delivery times
  • Inventories
  • Prices paid (prices for goods and services which the company purchases in the production process)
  • Prices received (prices for produced items received by the company)
  • The number of employees
  • Average working week

The second part of the survey contains an outlook part: participants suggest how the above components may change in the next 6 months. In addition to these 11 elements, the outlook part of the survey contains questions about company's capital expenditures (spendings on equipment and technology).

Separate diffuse indices are calculated based on the survey. The main index of the survey is the general business conditions. It is calculated independently, and other indices calculated based on the survey results do not affect this index.

Analytics see the index as a measure of production activity, the results of which can be extrapolated throughout the country. Its growth can have a positive effect on dollar quotes.

Last values:

actual data

forecast

The chart of the entire available history of the "Federal Reserve Bank (Fed) of New York Empire State Manufacturing Index" macroeconomic indicator. The dashed line shows the forecast values ​​of the economic indicator for the specified dates.

A significant deviation of a real value from a forecast one may cause a short-term strengthening or weakening of a national currency in the Forex market. The threshold values ​​of the indicators signaling the approach of the critical state of the national (local) economy occupy a special place.

Date (GMT)
Reference
Actual
Forecast
Previous
Nov 2018
23.3
8.2
21.1
Oct 2018
21.1
8.6
19
Sep 2018
19
8.6
25.6
Aug 2018
25.6
9.3
22.6
Jul 2018
22.6
9.2
25
Jun 2018
25
9.7
20.1
May 2018
20.1
9.7
15.8
Apr 2018
15.8
10.5
22.5
Mar 2018
22.5
10.8
13.1
Feb 2018
13.1
11.5
17.7
Jan 2018
17.7
11.3
19.6
Dec 2017
18
10.6
19.4
Nov 2017
19.4
12.3
30.2
Oct 2017
30.2
10.3
24.4
Sep 2017
24.4
9.1
25.2
Aug 2017
25.2
9.8
Jul 2017
9.8
19.8
Jun 2017
19.8
-1
May 2017
-1
5.2
Apr 2017
5.2
16.4
Mar 2017
16.4
18.7
Feb 2017
18.7
6.5
Jan 2017
6.5
9
Dec 2016
9
1.5
Nov 2016
1.5
-6.8
Oct 2016
-6.8
-1.99
Sep 2016
-1.99
-4.21
Aug 2016
-4.21
0.55
Jul 2016
0.55
6.01
Jun 2016
6.01
-9.02
May 2016
-9.02
9.56
Apr 2016
9.56
0.62
Mar 2016
0.62
-16.64
Feb 2016
-16.64
-19.37
Jan 2016
-19.37
-6.21
Dec 2015
-4.59
-10.74
Nov 2015
-10.74
-11.36
Oct 2015
-11.36
-14.67
Sep 2015
-14.67
-14.92
Aug 2015
-14.92
3.86
Jul 2015
3.86
-1.98
Jun 2015
-1.98
3.09
May 2015
3.09
-1.19
Apr 2015
-1.19
6.9
Mar 2015
6.9
7.78
Feb 2015
7.78
9.95
Jan 2015
9.95
-3.58
Dec 2014
-1.23
10.16
Nov 2014
10.16
6.17
Oct 2014
6.17
27.54

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