Federal Reserve Bank (Fed) of Dallas Trimmed Mean Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Inflation Rate

Country:
United States
USD, US dollar
Sector:
Prices
Low 1.6% 1.5%
1.8%
Last release Importance Actual Forecast
Previous
1.9%
1.6%
Next release Actual Forecast
Previous
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The Trimmed Mean PCE Inflation Rate is an alternative measure of core inflation in the price index of private consumption expenditure (PCE). It is calculated by Dallas Federal Reserve employees using data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA).

A Trimmed Mean PCE Inflation Rate that separates "noise" from "signal" achieves a more accurate measure of core inflation by curtailing the largest increases and decreases in prices by a certain percentage. In the United States, the Dallas Federal Reserve "trims" the values down from 19.4% and up from 25.4%. The Dallas Federal Reserve explained why its indicator better captures inflation: Twice since 2014, the inflation rate of core private consumption expenditure (PCE) excluding food and energy has slowed sharply, but only to reverse direction. The US Federal Reserve's trimmed average PCE inflation rate in Dallas both times identified the downward movement as temporary and was able to look beyond it.

The PCE inflation rate is an important tool for measuring inflation and assessing monetary stability, and it serves as a yardstick for wage negotiations and is included in the calculation of GDP. If the index rises, this usually has a positive effect on the USD.

Last values:

actual data

forecast

The chart of the entire available history of the "Federal Reserve Bank (Fed) of Dallas Trimmed Mean Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Inflation Rate" macroeconomic indicator. The dashed line shows the forecast values ​​of the economic indicator for the specified dates.

A significant deviation of a real value from a forecast one may cause a short-term strengthening or weakening of a national currency in the Forex market. The threshold values ​​of the indicators signaling the approach of the critical state of the national (local) economy occupy a special place.

Date (GMT)
Reference
Actual
Forecast
Previous
Sep 2019
1.6%
1.5%
1.8%
Aug 2019
1.1%
2.6%
2.7%
Jul 2019
2.6%
2.0%
2.3%
Jun 2019
2.4%
2.0%
1.8%
May 2019
2.2%
2.9%
Apr 2019
2.9%
2.0%
Mar 2019
1.9%
2.2%
Feb 2019
2.2%
1.1%
Jan 2019
1.1%
1.7%
Dec 2018
1.7%
2.4%
Nov 2018
2.4%
1.6%
Oct 2018
1.6%
1.5%
Sep 2018
1.4%
1.7%
Aug 2018
1.5%
2.0%
Jul 2018
1.6%
2.4%
Jun 2018
2.2%
2.2%
May 2018
2.3%
2.0%
Apr 2018
1.7%
1.5%
Mar 2018
1.5%
1.7%
Feb 2018
1.7%
2.8%
Jan 2018
2.7%
2.1%
Dec 2017
1.8%
2.1%
Nov 2017
2.2%
1.7%
Oct 2017
1.7%
1.9%
Sep 2017
1.8%
1.6%
Aug 2017
1.5%
1.4%
Jul 2017
1.4%
1.5%
Jun 2017
1.3%
1.6%
May 2017
1.5%
1.7%
Apr 2017
1.9%
0.7%
Mar 2017
0.8%
1.9%
Feb 2017
2.0%
2.2%
Jan 2017
2.4%
1.9%
Dec 2016
1.8%
1.2%
Nov 2016
1.1%
2.2%
Oct 2016
2.2%
1.7%
Sep 2016
1.9%
1.4%
Aug 2016
1.6%
1.4%
Jul 2016
0.8%
1.2%
Jun 2016
1.0%
1.9%
May 2016
1.9%
2.4%
Apr 2016
2.5%
1.8%
Mar 2016
1.6%
1.9%
Feb 2016
1.8%
2.3%
Jan 2016
2.2%
1.0%
Dec 2015
0.9%
1.7%
Nov 2015
1.6%
1.3%
Oct 2015
1.3%
1.8%
Sep 2015
1.7%
1.5%
Aug 2015
1.7%
1.4%

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